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New Mexico vs San Jose State Prediction, Pick & Odds (Friday, Oct. 3)
By Ryan Potts in College Football
Published:
- New Mexico and San Jose State open their Mountain West schedules
- Will we get fireworks on Friday night in the Bay?
- Check out my New Mexico vs San Jose State prediction and the betting odds below
Two Mountain West foes open their conference slate in a Friday night clash. New Mexico (3-1) and San Jose State (1-3) look to get off on the right foot in their eight-game conference slate. San Jose State plays host at 10:00 PM ET on Friday, October 3rd, on a Fox Sports 1 broadcast.
I have made my New Mexico vs San Jose State prediction and picks, plus set out the betting odds below.
New Mexico vs San Jose State Prediction
New Mexico has rebounded after a Week 1 loss at the Big House in Ann Arbor. They knocked off FCS Idaho State before clobbering UCLA and winning the Rio Grande Rivalry over New Mexico State last week. Now at 3-1, New Mexico has scored at least 32 points in three straight games.
Quarterback Jack Layne has been efficient thus far. He has eight total touchdowns, completing 69.3% of his passes for over 200 yards per game. His top target is tight end Dorian Thomas who has hauled in 24 passes for 247 yards and three touchdowns. Receiver Keagan Johnson and running back Damon Bankston have contributed with over 100 yards and a touchdown each.
The running back room has been a three-horse stable with Scottre Humphrey leading the way in carries, yards, and touchdowns. Bankston has added a pair of rushing touchdowns, and DJ McKinney is second on the team with 41 rushes.
San Jose State has had a brutal start to the season. Their lone win came over FCS Idado. Texas beat them 38-7 back in Week 2, but San Jose State’s other two losses were fourth-quarter collapses – including a last-second loss to Stanford last week.
Walker Eget is trying to will the team to win. He leads the conference with 1,187 yards, just shy of 300 yards per game. He has thrown six touchdowns to three interceptions.
Danny Scudero leads the conference with 514 yards and leads the Spartans with 33 catches and three touchdowns. Kyri Shoels has been a reliable Robin to Scudero’s Batman, posting 23 catches for 269 yards and two touchdowns to this point.
Jabari Bates is second on the team in rushes, but he leads the team with 192 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Floyd Chalk has been a steady presence as well, averaging 4.0 yards per carry on his team-leading 35 rushes.
New Mexico vs San Jose State Pick
- Over 58.5 (+100 ESPNBet)
With my prediction analysis in mind, I expect a tight matchup that will hit the over in the fourth quarter. Give me the Over of 58.5 for my New Mexico vs San Jose State pick.
New Mexico vs San Jose State Betting Odds
The sportsbooks have San Jose State as home favorites with the total at 58.5 points. Over bettors can get over 58.5 for +100 odds at ESPNBet. Under bettors can get under 58.5 at DraftKings for -112 odds.
San Jose State bettors should take them -2.5 at Caesars (-110 odds) or -134 on the moneyline at FanDuel. New Mexico bettors should take them +2.5 at DraftKings (-105 odds) or +115 on the moneyline at BetMGM.
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Odds as of October 3, 2025. Check out the best online sportsbook for New Mexico vs San Jose State.
New Mexico vs San Jose State, Last Five Matchups
San Jose State holds the lifetime edge with a 15-5-1 record. They have won the last three contests. New Mexico has not won in San Jose since 1969, but they did tie the 1971 affair.
In their last meeting, San Jose State turned a halftime deficit into a dominant win, scoring 38 points in the second half. Running back Kairee Robinson scored four total touchdowns. On the New Mexico side, future Washington Commander Jacory Croskey-Merritt scored two touchdowns.
