Week 11 College Football Picks – Best Early Week Bets to Make

• Week 11 of the College Football season kicks off Tuesday
• #8 BYU is 7-1 straight up and ATS as an underdog since joining the Big 12
• See my favorite Week 11 College Football picks below, and the best early week bets to make

It’s hard to believe, but there are only four weeks remaining on the college football regular season schedule. Week 11 kicks off on Tuesday, with games every day through Saturday.

Just four undefeated teams remain in the FBS, and I’ve circled two of them to highlight my Week 11 college football picks. My best early week bet to make is on #8 BYU, whose perfect season is on the line versus #9 Texas Tech.

Week 11 College Football Predictions

Odds as of Nov. 3. Check out the top college football betting apps to wager on for Week 11.

DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK

Offer

T&Cs

Sign Up Today & Receive Up to
$1,050 in Bonuses!

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS).

LOCK IN PROMO

SIGNUP PROMO

SIGN UP
& GET $1,050

BONUS BETS + DEPOSIT BONUS

GET PROMO

The opening college football Week 11 odds pegged the Cougars as 9.5-point underdogs, and that line has since moved up to +10.5. BYU has been an underdog in each of its last two games, and have pulled off the upset each time. I’m also betting under 3.5 first-half points for Purdue versus Ohio State, as the Boilermakers have no shot at testing the Buckeyes’ D.

Last but not least, I’m targeting under 45.5 points in the Washington vs Wisconsin game. The Badgers still can’t score, while the Huskies simply don’t travel.

BYU vs Texas Tech Prediction

I get the Red Raiders love, but a 10.5-point spread is simply too high versus a team like the Cougars. Yes, Texas Tech averages 40+ points at home, and QB Behren Morton is playing at a near Heisman Trophy odds level, but let’s see how he handles a very good BYU defense.

The Cougars rank 19th in scoring defense, and sixth in opponent red zone scoring percentage. They’re allowing only 6.5 yards per pass, and do an excellent job of creating pressure and forcing turnovers.

On the other side of the ball, the Cougars offense is no joke. Led by freshman QB Bear Bachmeier, they’re averaging 31.6 points per game, and 6.0 yards per play. Bachmeier is fresh off his second 300+ yard passing performance in his last four games, and is 18th nationally in QBR.

He’ll need to be great against a stingy Texas Tech defense, but everything we’ve seen from him so far suggests he’s ready for the moment.

As for the trends, check this one out. BYU is 7-1 both straight up and ATS as an underdog since joining the Big 12, and 3-1 outright versus ranked opponents.

Ohio State vs Purdue Pick

On to the undefeated Buckeyes next, the current favorites in the National Championship odds. Ohio State has erased every opposing offense they’ve seen so far, and I just don’t see a scenario where Purdue is able to move the football.

The Buckeyes D ranks first nationally in points and yards allowed per game, yards allowed per play, and opponent red zone scoring percentage. Enemy offenses are converting only 26% of their third-down opportunities, while Ohio State is limiting opposing rushers to 2.6 yards per carry. The Buckeyes’ pass rush is also littered with future Sunday stars, paving the way for another dominant defensive showing.

Ohio State Defense Stats

Purdue, meanwhile, struggles to score even against much inferior competition. They’re 103rd in scoring, 73rd in total offense, and 123rd in red zone scoring rate. No wonder they’re such a massive underdog.

You could also play the Boilermakers team total under 9.5 points for the full game, but I want to bet on the Ohio State defensive starters, who I know will be playing for at least the first 30 minutes before this game gets out of hand.

Washington vs Wisconsin Best Bet

Speaking of bad offenses, allow me to point you in Wisconsin’s direction. The Badgers rank 134th or worse in scoring and yards per play, and have yet to exceed 10 points in five Big Ten games.

On the other side of the ball, the Huskies can be explosive, but there are a couple of reasons to be concerned. First, their offensive line is underachieving and has allowed 18 sacks.

Second, they struggle when forced to travel long distances. Washington is 1-5 straight up since joining the Big Ten in games where they travel more than two time zones. I’m predicting a sleepy start for the Huskies, which, combined with Wisconsin’s offensive woe,s will lead to this game falling short of 45.5 points.