2016 Golden Globes Odds (Updated)

Look out Oscars, the Golden Globes are coming to a television screen near you on January 10, 2016. Hosted by the ruthlessly hilarious Ricky Gervais, you can expect a broadcast full of insults, on-stage beers, and bruised egos.

There’s also the small matter of the nominees, of course. This year’s chosen few have yet to be announced by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA), but it’s our belief that it’s never too early to make some predictions, so we’re going to set the advanced odds for the 2016 Golden Globes nominations came out today and our odds have been adjusted accordingly!

The Golden Globes are notoriously unpredictable, but this year’s Best Pictures nominees should be pretty straight forward. In the drama category, the festival darling has been Spotlight. Tom McCarthy’s controversial thriller about the Catholic Church’s sex scandal is sure to strike a chord with HFPA voters. In the comedy/musical film group, The Martian is the heavy favorite to win with a strong performance from Matt Damon.

In the individual categories, Jennifer Lawrence will look to make it a perfect three-for-three. Hollywood’s favorite leading lady has partnered up with David O. Russell (Silver Linings Playbook, American Hustle) for a third time in Joy. Lawrence plays Joy Mangano, the highly-successful woman behind the Miracle Mop in this touching feature length film. Another top contender vying for the win is Cate Blanchett for her work in Carol. We also cannot leave out Brie Larson, who has been big on the festival circuit for her performance in Room.

As for the leading men, we should see a few familiar faces in Leonardo DiCaprio, Eddie Redmayne, and Michael Fassbender for their performances in The Revenant, The Dutch Girl, and Steve Jobs, respectively. Tom Hanks is another likely candidate for his role in the Spielberg-directed Cold War drama Bridge of Spies. If Leo wins here, he may be lined up for his long-awaited Oscar come February.

In television, Netflix and HBO are both well represented with nominations for Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt, House of Cards, Game of Thrones, and Orange is the New Black. Fox could have the last laugh, however, as their popular melodrama Empire is one of the most talked about shows of the year.

Early 2016 Golden Globes Odds

Best Motion Picture – Drama:

Spotlight (Open Road): 2/1 (up from 5/2)

Joy (20th Century Fox): 3/1

The Revenant (20th Century Fox): 5/2 (up from 5/1)

Steve Jobs (Universal): 6/1

Carol (The Weinstein Company): 7/3 (up from 7/1)

Mad Max: Fury Road (Warner Bros): 15/1

 

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama:

Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant): 7/4 (up from 11/5)

Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs): 4/1 (down from 7/5)

Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl): 5/1

Bryan Cranston (Trumbo): 7/1

Will Smith (Concussion): 9/1

Johnny Depp (Black Mass): 10/1

Tom Hanks (Bridge of Spies): 12/1

 

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama:

Brie Larson (Room): 2/1 (up from 4/1)

Cate Blanchett (Carol): 7/2 (down from 3/1)

Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn): 4/1 (up from 7/1)

Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl): 7/1

Rooney Mara (Carol): 8/1

Jennifer Lawrence (Joy): 5/1

Carey Mulligan (Suffragette): 8/1

 

Best Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical:

The Martian (20th Century Fox): 7/5 (up from 2/1)

The Big Short (Paramount Pictures): 4/1

Trainwreck (Universal): 5/1 (up from 6/1)

Joy (20th Century Fox): 7/1

Trumbo (Bleecker Street): 10/1 (down from 5/1)

Grandma (Sony Pictures Classics): 10/1

Burnt (The Weinstein Company): 25/1

 

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical:

Matt Damon (The Martian): 3/2 (up from 3/1)

Steve Carell (The Big Short): 3/1 (up from 7/1)

Christian Bale (The Big Short): 7/1

Al Pacino (Danny Collins): 8/1

Mark Ruffalo (Infinitely Polar Bear): 10/1

Bryan Cranston (Trumbo): 4/1

Bradley Cooper (Burnt): 10/1

Bill Hader (Trainwreck): 15/1

 

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical:

Jennifer Lawrence (Joy): 3/2

Lily Tomlin (Grandma): 10/3 (up from 4/1)

Amy Schumer (Trainwreck): 4/1 (up from 5/1)

Maggie Smith (The Lady in the Van): 5/1 (up from 6/1)

Sandra Bullock (Our Brand is Crisis): 12/1

Meryl Streep (Ricki and the Flash): 20/1

 

Best Director – Motion Picture:

Tom McCarthy (Spotlight): 2/1

David O. Russell (Joy): 2/1

Alejandro G. Inarritu (The Revenant): 3/1

Ridley Scott (The Martian): 4/1

Danny Boyle (Steve Jobs): 5/1

Todd Haynes (Carol): 7/1

George Miller (Mad Max: Fury Road): 10/1

 

 

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture:

Michael Keaton (Spotlight): 3/1

Idris Elba (Beasts of No Nation): 2/1 (up from 4/1)

Sylvester Stallone (Creed): 5/1

Paul Dano (Love & Mercy): 6/1

Michael Shannon (99 Homes): 7/1

Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight): 6/1

Tom Hardy (The Revenant): 7/1

Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies): 10/1

 

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture:

Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs): 2/1 (up from 7/1)

Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight): 3/1 (up from 10/1)

Jane Fonda (Youth): 5/1

Rooney Mara (Carol): 1/2

Helen Mirren (Trumbo): 6/1 (up from 25/1)

Alicia Vikander (Ex Machina): 9/1

 

 

Best Television Series – Drama

Empire (20th Century Fox Television): 3/2 (Up from 3/1)

Game of Thrones (HBO): 4/1

Mr. Robot: 6/1

Outlander (Starz): 8/1 (up from 10/1)

Narcos (Netflix): 18/1

House of Cards (Netflix): 15/1

Better Call Saul (AMC): 25/1

 

(Photo Credit: By Mingle MediaTV [CC BY-SA 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons)

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