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Election 2020 Odds: Julian Castro is a Savvy Longshot

Donald Trump wrestles with the RNC.
Donald Trump wrestles with the RNC. Is the Repulican Party now the Party of Trump? Photo by Donkey Hotey (Flickr).
  • The Presidential election of 2020 is years away, but it’s never too early to make a pick
  • Donald Trump is the favorite to win, followed by Bernie Sanders and Kamala Harris
  • There’s a lot of value in some of the long-shot picks

If you’re willing to have some cash locked up for the next two years, now is a great time to dive into the 2020 Presidential Election. Sportsbooks just updated their numbers and they’re offering some great odds.

Aside from Donald Trump (+130), every pick has odds north of +1000. Bernie Sanders (+1200) and Kamala Harris (+1200) are the favorites to unseat the President, while Oprah Winfrey (+3300) and Michelle Obama (+4000) are the celebrity front-runners.

However, the true value lies in the long shots. Here are the ones worth considering.

Politician  Odds
Julian Castro (D) +5000

Campaigning in Iowa and New Hampshire: check. Penning a political memoir: check. Increasing media appearances: check!

The former HUD secretary is showing all the signs of a presidential bid. He was a front-runner to become Hillary Clinton’s running mate back in 2016, and he may well lead the Democratic ticket in 2020. Dubbed the “Hispanic Obama”, Castro is a fresh young face in a party dominated by old white folk. He’s not the hottest name in the Democratic Party at the moment, but neither was Obama in 2006.

Politician Odds
Amy Klobuchar (D) +5000

The Minnesotan Senator just had an easy primary win and remains on track for a comfortable reelection in November. Usually, that’s not a big deal, but the 2016 election was decided in the Midwest, and the Democrats may want to go all-out to reclaim the rust belt in 2020. If that’s their strategy, look no further than Amy Klobuchar.

She’s been an established Senator, she’s popular in a must-win region for the Democrats, and she appeals to the Democratic base.

Politician Odds
Joe Kennedy III (D) +5000

If political dynasties are your thing, then Joe Kennedy III is your guy. He was chosen to give the Democratic response to Trump’s State of the Union Address this year, so clearly the Democratic establishment believes he’s a good pick for 2020.

He looks like a Kennedy and sounds like a Kennedy. He’s a blast from the past, a Democrat’s version of “Make America Great Again”. Question is: do the Democrats want to look forward or backward in 2020?

Politician Odds
Tulsi Gabbard (D) +6600

The Hawaiian Congresswoman and Iraq War vet is a rising star in the Democratic Party. She has the backing of Bernie Sanders and has been one of the most vocal Democrats when it comes to hot button topics like Medicare for All, criminal justice reform, and Wall Street reform.

However, she doesn’t always align with her party. She was one of the few Democrats that voted for additional restrictions on Syrian and Iraqi refugees, and her decision to meet with Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad drew criticism from within her own party.

Politician Odds
Marco Rubio (R) +12500

After losing the 2016 Republican primary to Donald Trump in humiliating fashion, Little Marco returned to the Senate and has been biding his time ever since. He’s not exactly a “rising star” in the party anymore, but he remains one of the more recognizable faces in the Republican party. If Trump’s poll numbers remain in the sub-50’s for the next few years, his party may choose to oust him. Rubio would be at the front of the line to take his place.

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