[In case you missed it in the title, this article contains spoilers for season 5 of Game of Thrones. It also contains predictions on events for season six. Proceed at your own peril!]
The only constant in Game of Thrones is that bad things happen to good people. They happen to bad people, too, sometimes. But mostly it’s the characters you love getting their heads chopped off, and the ones you loathe doing the chopping.
With Season 5 of GoT now over, there’s plenty of speculation about who will be offed next when Season 6 rolls around (April 2016). Showrunners David Benioff and D.B. Weiss are adding fuel to the internet-frenzy, indicating there could be more surprises in store, even for those familiar with the books.
Given what happened at the end of Season 5, we believe them. By the light of the Seven, do we ever.
The list of characters we can root for is growing thinner by the episode.
Thankfully for (most) fans, the Dragon Queen, Daenerys Targaryen, managed to escape an assassination attempt by the Sons of the Harpy thanks to … drum roll … a dragon! (C’mon, it’s right there in her name!)
But she’s now encircled by a Dothraki horde without a friendly face in sight.
Here are our odds on which main characters are going to look considerably less alive come Season 6.
Game of Thrones – odds to die in Season 6:
Loras Tyrell: 2/1 (You get the feeling he’s going to eat it before his sister, Margery. They’re both being held by the Faith Militant, which is like the NRA if the NRA decided it was going to start arresting, trying, and punishing people. They don’t care for the gays (among others).)
Jaime Lannister: 3/1 (He just watched his daughter die from poisoning. We have a feeling he’s going to turn that ship around and go full Rambo in Dorne with good old Bronn. The only problem is that he does mediocre fighting now. You can’t defeat Dorne singlehandedly doing mediocre fighting.)
Sansa Stark: 5/1 (She’s either dead already from the fall or on the run with the remnants of Theon Greyjoy – which is about the least safe one could possibly be. The only thing going for Sansa is that her death would be a mercy at this point, so it probably won’t happen.)
Ramsay Bolton: 8/1 (Ok, this is wishful thinking, but would someone please kill this f***er.)
Tormund Giantsbane: 10/1 (The new de facto leader of the leader-less Wildlings is now in hostile territory without his erstwhile protector and has a temper apt to get him killed.)
Petyr “Littlefinger” Baelish: 10/1 (Yes, he plays “the game” well, but he’s playing against everyone, it seems. That’s not a recipe for long-term success on the being-alive front.)
Daenerys Targaryen and Tyrion Lannister: 12/1 (If there’s such thing as main characters who are too important to kill off, it’s Daenerys Targaryen and Tyrion Lannister. But there isn’t such a thing – case in point, we called Jon Snow too important to kill off in the first iteration of this list – so these two could still bite the dust shortly.)
Cersei Lannister: 15/1 (Her pride might be dead, but she’s free of the High Sparrow’s clutches. You can bet she’ll be on her game come Season 6.)
Margaery Tyrell: 15/1 (She’s too wily to let the Faith Militant end her reign this early. She’ll find a way out.)
Davos Seaworth: 20/1 (Now kingless – we think – and at the Wall, it’s hard to figure out where Davos is going to go next. But no one seems to want him overly dead anymore.)
Arya Stark: 20/1 (She lost her sight, but still draws breath as far as we can tell. With the blind-Arya storyline just getting going, she should last a while longer.)
(Image credit: Xeworlebi, self created (Self created, design from the shows intertitle) [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons.)