Here’s How You Can Legally Bet on the Super Bowl Halftime Show
By Paul Lebowitz in Entertainment
Published:
- The Super Bowl halftime show is an event unto itself with the performer as big a story or bigger than the teams and the game
- This year’s halftime show headliner is Grammy-winning artist, Bad Bunny
- Prediction markets offer options on the songs he will sing, the first song, the duration of the performance, and what guests might appear
The Super Bowl halftime show is unique in that it’s part of the game while not being part of the game.
It’s not just a pro football championship game anymore. It’s a global phenomenon. And that includes the halftime show, this year headlined by Bad Bunny.
Just as people can wager on anything and everything that happens on the gridiron, they can also try to profit on the coin toss, the National Anthem, the crowd size, statements made by the broadcasters…whatever. That list of off-shoot markets now includes the halftime show. Since the headliner is always one of the world’s biggest stars, there is usually a vast catalog of hits that fans will want to hear.
There will inevitably be unannounced guests who appear and perform with Bad Bunny. That too will be available on prediction markets.
This accords opportunities for everyone to take part in making predictions and profiting from their picks, not just for football fans who want to bet on the Super Bowl LX MVP.
How to Legally Bet on the Super Bowl Halftime Show
While wagering sites are not yet available in all 50 states, prediction markets offer another avenue for those in several states currently on the outside looking in. It allows picks on sports, news, entertainment, politics and events which are a combination of all of the above, like the Super Bowl.
Just as wagering was a hotly contested debate before it was finally made legal in many states, there is a persistent back and forth about prediction markets. The inevitability is self-evident, but Congress will have its say.
For the Super Bowl halftime show, people can look at Bad Bunny, consider past NFL constraints (or attempted constraints) on what the performer can and cannot say and do, and speculate on what will happen.
The league is very conscious of content in an effort not to alienate any fan regardless of their beliefs and political slant. They particularly do not want to draw the ire of the Sports Fan in Chief in the White House, who will not be shy about expressing his opinion in stark terms via his social media platform and doing so in real time.
It is important to factor these things in when looking at the prediction markets.
Those who want to take part can do so using the Kalshi referral code. New participants can get a $10 Sign Up Bonus after completing $100 in trades.
Super Bowl LX Halftime Prediction Markets
What songs will be played at the halftime show?
Although Bad Bunny’s style is not to everyone’s taste with the gender bending and political commentary, he’s set to headline the Super Bowl LX halftime show in front of a sold out Levi’s Stadium in San Francisco. Claims he does not speak English makes it more difficult for him to alienate as many people as he would otherwise if he turned his appearance into biting social commentary.
He just won a Grammy for Album of the Year, Debí Tirar Más Fotos with the song DtMF. So, it’s safe to say DtMF will be part of his repertoire. That is currently above 90% on the markets. DÁKITI is less certain, but it is widely considered to be his biggest hit to date and is lingering below 60%. That might be a wise investment.
How long will the halftime show last?
Although the NFL and the teams playing in the Super Bowl understand that it is not a “normal” game, the game itself does maintain primary importance. Apart from the Super Bowl, halftime is technically 15 minutes, but by the time the teams get into the locker room, take a break, use the restroom, and meet with coaches about in-progress changes for the second half, they need to get ready to head back out and warm up.
The Super Bowl is vastly different. Coaches will try to prepare for it during the two weeks before the game, but it’s an adjustment.
Occasionally, even the random player wants to see the show as Bengals kicker Evan McPherson did when he went out to see Dr. Dre, Snoop Dogg, Eminem, Mary J. Blige, Kendrick Lamar, and 50 Cent in 2022.
Cincinnati’s coaching staff was unhappy that McPherson did that, but he’s the kicker. Who cares?
The show generally lasts long enough to make it worth the performer’s while to be there. So 15 minutes is customary.
Ten minutes is a gimme. When it gets to 13 minutes, it’s hovering in the mid-70s range. Then it drops precipitously to the low 40s at 14 minutes.
The NFL might want to get him off as quickly as possible for fear of him saying something controversial in English. So it might be better to predict the show lasting on the lower end.
Bad Bunny’s halftime opener?
Tití Me Pregunto is the heavy favorite at around 60%. The song is about his penchant for having many girlfriends and his aunt lambasting him about it. With the NFL conscious of its image and wanting to stay as reasonably family-friendly as possible (within context), this is innocuous enough considering the potential for Bad Bunny to say something about ICE raids and the fraught political climate.
Other songs like BAILE INoLVIDABLE and LA MuDANZA are around 10% each.
This is very difficult to predict.
Who will perform at the Big Game?
The surprise guests are always among the most interesting parts of the halftime show.
While the league does its best to keep this under wraps, social media has made it harder and harder to maintain secrecy with the likelihood that these stars will be spotted or served by people who perform technical functions, are working at hotels, airports, and other areas where the league cannot keep everything within its bubble.
The markets have Tainy at over 70% to appear with Bad Bunny. It makes sense since he is a producer and songwriter who has worked extensively with the headliner in the past.
Cardi B is in the mid-50s and it makes sense for her to appear since her fiancé Stefon Diggs is playing in the game for the Patriots, so she’s going to be there. Down the line are Karol G and Marc Anthony, both near 30%.
Ricky Martin is at around 25%. Shakira is hovering at 20%.
All are likely to want the forum to perform and express their outrage at what is going on in the U.S. and having the biggest stage possible to do it.
Paul Lebowitz is a novelist, columnist, social commentator, and the author of eight published books on baseball – one novel and seven baseball guide/previews. He covers sports, politics, and pop culture. Paul graduated from Hunter College with a degree in English. He lives in New York City.
