iCloud Celebrity Leaks vs iPhone 6 Launch Odds

It’s been a busy month for Apple already. Amid the celebrity photo leak scandal – which caused a hit to Apple stock after it unearthed concerns about security in the iCloud – their event on Tuesday unveiled two new iPhones, a watch, and a payment system (which could potentially store users’ credit card numbers in the aforementioned iCloud). How will the new products be greeted by consumers and investors? Will there be another celebrity photo leak (and if so who will be the next victim?) SportsBettingDime has updated odds on a whole ecosystem of scenarios…

Odds the iPhone 6 (both models combined) beats the iPhone 5 in first-year sales: 2/3

Which model will sell more in Q4 2014:

• iPhone 6: 1/3
• iPhone 6 Plus: 3/1

Which phone will sell more in Q4 2014:

• iPhone 6: 2/1
• Samsung s5: 1/2

Which “phablet” will sell more in Q4 2014:

• iPhone 6 Plus: 1/4
• Samsung Note 4: 4/1

What will be the main complaint about the iPhone 6 after it’s released?

• Battery life: 3/1
• Size: 4/1
• Cell reception: 9/1
• Build Quality: 10/1
• Stock Shortage: 2/1
• Price: 1/2

Odds Apple stock will rise above 105 by end of calendar year: 11/1

Odds Apple stock will drop below 95 by end of calendar year: 4/1

Will apple reduce price of Watch…

• Before launch: 10/1
• By end of 2015: 4/1

Over/under of Apple Pay adoption rate among iPhone users by end of 2015: 24.5%

Next major retailer to accept Apple Pay

• Starbucks: 2/1
• Wal-Mart: 6/1
• Kroger: 7/1
• Safeway: 5/1
• 7-11: 9/2
• Chevron/Texaco: 7/1
• Dunkin’ Donuts: 6/1
• Best Buy: 4/1
• Home Depot: 10/1

Odds another celebrity’s iCloud photos leak this year: 14/1

Next company to make news due to hackers spreading their high profile clients’ photos or stored files

• Dropbox: 7/1
• Snapchat: 3/2
• Google: 6/1
• Microsoft: 8/1

Who will be the next celebrity to have scandalous phone photos leaked:

• Katy Perry: 8/1
• Cee-Lo Green: 10/1
• Gisele Bundchen: 15/1
• Beyoncé: 18/1
• Gwen Stefani: 18/1
• Christina Aguilera: 20/1
• Olivia Wilde: 25/1
• Zooey Deschanel: 30/1
• Tom Brady: 30/1
• Charles Barkley: 35/1
• Angelina Jolie: 40/1
• Brad Pitt: 45/1
• Julia Louis-Dreyfus: 50/1
• Donald Trump: 100/1