Oscars Odds 2016 – Which Whities Will Win This Year?

I thought about leaving the intro section to this article blank. What could be a more fitting introduction to our Oscars odds than a large, thoroughly white space?

The annual Hollywood back-patting session takes place this Sunday (Feb. 28) and, outside of the host (Chris Rock), there’s hardly a minority in sight. Case in point: Creed, one of the blackest films of the year (in terms of African American actors), saw the pasty Sly Stallone get a nod, but not star Michael B. Jordan … nor Tessa Thompson … nor Phylicia Rashad. (The list goes on.)

But I’m guessing you’re not here for my social commentary. You’ve come for some numbers, or nombres for our Latino readers! (See, it’s not so hard to be inclusive.)

Will Leonardo DiCaprio finally get off the Oscar schneid and win Best Actor for his turn in The Revenant? Can J-Law add a second Best Actress trophy to her case? And, most pressing of all, which giant of the audio world will take home Best Sound Mixing??

We’ve got the odds for all those (well, two out of three) below, followed by some fun props for ABC’s broadcast (like how long Rock is going to don this sweet spacesuit).

2016 Oscar Awards Odds

Odds to win Best Picture:

The Revenant: 4/7

Spotlight: 4/1

The Big Short: 11/2

Mad Max: Fury Road: 45/1

Room: 50/1

The Martian: 80/1

Brooklyn: 100/1

Bridge of Spies: 100/1

 

Odds to win Best Actor:

Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant: 1/5

Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl: 8/1

Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs: 20/1

Matt Damon, The Martian: 35/1

Bryan Cranston, Trumbo: 50/1

 

Odds to win Best Actress:

Brie Larson, Room: 1/8

Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn: 10/1

Cate Blanchett, Carol: 15/1

Jennifer Lawrence, Joy: 15/1

Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years: 50/1

 

Odds to win Best Director:

Alejandro G. Iñárritu, The Revenant: 1/3

Adam McKay, The Big Short: 7/1

George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road: 12/1

Lenny Abrahamson, Room: 25/1

Tom McCarthy, Spotlight: 25/1

 

Odds to win Best Supporting Actor:

Sylvester Stallone, Creed: 1/1

Tom Hardy, The Revenant: 5/1

Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies: 5/1

Christian Bale, The Big Short: 8/1

Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight: 25/1

 

Odds to win Best Supporting Actress:

Rooney Mara, Carol: 2/1

Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl: 5/2

Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs: 3/1

Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight: 8/1

Rachel McAdams, Spotlight: 50/1

 

Over/under on how many Oscars _________ will win:

The Revenant (12 nominations): 5.5 o/u

Mad Max: Fury Road (ten nominations): 5.5 o/u

Spotlight (six nominations): 1.5 o/u

The Martian (seven nominations): 0.5 o/u

Bridge of Spies (six nominations): 0.5 o/u

 

2016 Oscars Broadcast/Jokes Props:

Over/under on jokes by Chris Rock about the Oscars being too white: 2.5 o/u

 

Over/under on the length of time Chris Rock will wear the spacesuit featured in this Tweet: 1 minute 59 seconds o/u

 

If ABC shows Matt Damon while Chris Rock is wearing the spacesuit, odds Damon will be …

Amused (either smiling or laughing): 1/9

Not amused (neither smiling nor laughing): 9/1

 

Over/under on presenters/winners who will make a comment or joke about race: 1.5 o/u

 

If a winner does make a comment on race in their acceptance speech, odds it will be:

Sylvester Stallone: 1/1

Alejandro G. Iñárritu: 2/1

Leonardo DiCaprio: 4/1

Brie Larson: 9/1

Rooney Mara: 15/1

Jennifer Lawrence: 75/1

 

Over/under on Sean Penn/El Chapo jokes during ABC’s Oscars broadcast: 0.5

 

Over/under on jokes about Donald Trump during ABC’s Oscars broadcast: 2.5

 

Odds on which character Sacha Baron Cohen will appear as at the 2016 Oscars: 

None/himself: 4/3

Norman ‘Nobby’ Grimsby (from The Brothers Grimsby): 3/1

Time (from Alice Through the Looking Glass): 5/1

Freddie Mercury: 8/1

Ali G: 35/1

Borat: 50/1

Bruno: 75/1

The Dictator: 75/1

Jean Girard: 100/1

 

Odds someone makes a joke about Morgan Freeman voicing Google’s navigation app. during ABC’s Oscars broadcast: 3/1

 

Over/under on how many words ABC will have to bleep during the Oscars broadcast: 2.5 o/u

 

Odds on whose Oscars performance will be ranked highest by the Hollywood Reporter: 

The Weeknd: 1/1

Lady Gaga: 3/1

Dave Grohl: 9/2

Sam Smith: 12/1

 

Odds a celebrity is seen “vaping” during ABC’s broadcast (either on the Red Carpet or in the theatre): 3/1

 

(Photo credit: Danny Harrison (flickr) [https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/legalcode]. Photo has been cropped.)