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WWE TLC 2019 Odds & Picks: The Miz Facing Insurmountable Odds Against Bray Wyatt

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by Graham "GSM" Matthews in Entertainment

Updated Mar 26, 2020 · 11:14 AM PDT

The Miz climbing the ropes
The Miz will be one of the main events in the WWE's final PPV event of the year, TLC. Photo by memles (Flickr).
  • WWE TLC will take place at the Target Center in Minneapolis on December 15th
  • The event will host two TLC matches featuring the Superstars from SmackDown and Raw
  • Who do sportsbooks see going over in each match at WWE’s final pay-per-view of the year?

Despite TLC traditionally being one of WWE’s more newsworthy events every year, the buildup for the upcoming installment has been less than stellar since Survivor Series wrapped up. It’s clear the company put together these matches at the last minute with little regard for the storylines involved, but it appears to be a solid lineup on paper, nonetheless.

On the SmackDown side of things, Roman Reigns and Baron Corbin will settle their score in a TLC main while The Miz challenges Bray Wyatt. Plus, Raw boasts a must-see TLC match between The Kabuki Warriors and the unlikely duo of Becky Lynch and Charlotte Flair for the WWE Women’s Tag Team Championship.

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Even with the event fast approaching, the card for TLC is still growing and likely won’t be completed until Sunday night. Although odds are only available for the six of the seven matches slated to take place as of now, it will be interesting to see how WWE handles their final pay-per-view of the year and how many of the following predictions end up coming true.

TLC Match Odds: Roman Reigns vs Baron Corbin

Wrestler Odds
Roman Reigns -500
Baron Corbin +300

All odds taken December 13.

To say the Baron Corbin vs. Roman Reigns rivalry has been a bust in recent months would be a massive understatement, as their chemistry in the ring as well as on the mic has been nearly nonexistent thus far. It doesn’t help that the heavy emphasis on dog food (due to Reigns being nicknamed The Big Dog) has been downright deplorable.

Worse yet, there is no reason for their match at the event to be contested under TLC rules, especially with nothing being on the line. It might mean their feud will be blown off on this show, and if so, Reigns beating Corbin decisively is the only outcome that makes sense.

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Reigns being heavily favored against Corbin should come as no surprise. He’s been riding a wave of momentum lately coming off his wins at Hell in a Cell, Crown Jewel and Survivor Series and should be back in the Universal Championship mix before long. It’s high time he avenges that loss to Corbin from SmackDown last month.

Tables Match Odds: Rusev vs Bobby Lashley

Wrestler Odds
Rusev -150
Bobby Lashley +110

The never-ending love triangle between Rusev, Lana and Bobby Lashley has basically been the Raw equivalent to Reigns vs. Corbin in that it has made for insufferable television. Although the crowd has rallied behind Rusev since the storyline started, he was already insanely popular from his Rusev Day phase a year or two ago.

There’s zero reason for this to continue beyond TLC, so here’s hoping this match marks the end of their feud. Although the odds indicate that it could very well go either way, Rusev is the best bet with -150 to Lashley’s +110.

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The only way to win is for one of them to put the other through a table, so count-outs and disqualifications won’t be in play. That could allow Lana to interfere and aid Lashley to victory, but seeing as how that’s too predictable, Rusev must reign supreme.

SmackDown Tag Team Championship Ladder Match Odds: The New Day vs The Revival

Wrestler Odds
The New Day -230
The Revival +160

The New Day and The Revival have been feuding on and off over the SmackDown Tag Team Championship since the summer, and at TLC, their long-running rivalry will finally come to a head in a heated Ladder match. Considering New Day are fresh off regaining the gold from The Revival, there’s no reason to think they’ll drop the belts back to them so soon.

After all, The Revival have yet to have an above-average tag team championship reign on the main roster. They had three runs with the twin titles this year, but none of them were remotely memorable.

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The Revival claimed last week on SmackDown that they want to beat Kofi Kingston and Big E in a standard tag team matchup, but at least the recent addition of the Ladder stipulation makes it more interesting. These two teams should thrive in that environment, but in the end, New Day will walk away with their tag title reign intact.

Aleister Black vs Buddy Murphy Odds

Wrestler Odds
Aleister Black -500
Buddy Murphy +300

Aleister Black’s main roster run can’t be considered anything but underwhelming based off how he’s been booked in 2019. His appearances on SmackDown and Raw have been far and few between and he hasn’t wrestled many matches, but on the bright side, he appears to be on the ascent if his recent winning ways are a sign of what the company has in store for him going forward.

Murphy has had an equally tumultuous year between losing the Cruiserweight Championship at WrestleMania 35 and then being wasted for the better part of his stint on SmackDown. That said, he’s still an incredible athlete and is destined to steal the show with Black at TLC, even if the outcome isn’t much in doubt.

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Black is heavily favored over Murphy and rightfully so. Murphy is no less talented than the former NXT champion, but it’s been apparent from the moment Black arrived on Raw that there were plans in place for him to be pushed to the top of the card over time.

Beating The Best Kept Secret will surely get him one step closer to super stardom in WWE.

Bray Wyatt vs The Miz Odds

Wrestler Odds
Bray Wyatt -1500
The Miz +575

For the first time since his return to WWE TV, Bray Wyatt will be wrestling as himself at TLC and not as The Fiend. It remains to be seen what the Firefly Fun House version of Wyatt will bring to the table against The Miz, but fans are looking forward to finding out on Sunday night.

As of this writing, the Universal Championship is not scheduled to be defended, but that doesn’t change the end result in the slightest. Fans are expecting complete domination from Wyatt, and if he doesn’t win, it would be one of the biggest upsets in modern WWE history based off the current odds.

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Daniel Bryan came up short of winning the title from Wyatt at Survivor Series and hasn’t been seen since being tortured by The Fiend on SmackDown two weeks ago. It’s possible he factors into the finish somehow, but even the idea of him helping Miz defeat Wyatt is fairly far-fetched.

The Kabuki Warriors vs Becky Lynch & Charlotte Flair Odds

Wrestler Odds
The Kabuki Warriors -200
Becky Lynch & Charlotte Flair +150

It’s been strange seeing Becky Lynch and Charlotte Flair back to being friendly with each other again after feuding for nearly a year over the SmackDown Women’s Championship. Then again, Lynch is clearly devoid of fresh challengers to her Raw Women’s Championship at the moment, so it’s understandable why WWE would use her and Flair to spice up the women’s tag team title scene.

The WWE Women’s Tag Team Championship has hardly meant much since its creation in February 2019, but to their credit, The Kabuki Warriors have been doing excellent work as heel champions over the past two months. To cut their reign short so soon would be ridiculous, and looking at the odds, most fans are of that same mindset.

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It’s entirely plausible that Lynch and Flair take the titles from Asuka and Kairi Sane at TLC, but this seems to be a way for WWE to further the feud between Lynch and Asuka heading into the Royal Rumble. As a TLC match, neither Lynch nor Flair need to be pinned or submitted in order to lose, so Kabuki Warriors maintaining their stranglehold on the straps is the most likely scenario.

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