- The GSL Super Tournament 2 gets underway on October 3rd with a 16 player single elimination bracket
- GSL Season 3 Code S winner, Rogue, opens as the favorite alongside Maru
- Trap presents great value if he can avoid Zerg players in the bracket
The second Super Tournament of the 2019 StarCraft II World Championship Series Korea begins on October 3rd with the grand finals happening on October 6th.
Fresh off his win in the GSL Season 3: Code S tournament, Rogue shares the best odds to win with Maru.
GSL Super Tournament 2 Odds
*Odds taken 09/30/19
The Reigning Zerg Champion
Just last week, Rogue became the champion of GSL Season 3: Code S and he did it by absolutely dismantling Trap in the grand finals. In the best of 7, Rogue won the first four games to make quick work of the series and take home the grand prize of $25,000 US.
Following the round of 32 at GSL Season 3, Rogue’s odds of winning that tournament were only +1500. Now after his big win, his odds have skyrocketed to +450 for Super Tournament 2. So far this year in the StarCraft II World Championship Series, there has yet to be a repeat winner.
Of course, this event comes immediately after Rogue’s win in Season 3 so he may be able to carry that momentum into Super Tournament 2. However, he had a couple of close calls against Zest and Solar that show he’s human. I’d stay away from Rogue in this one, considering his value is lower due to some recency bias.
The Two-Time Runner Up
There hasn’t been a repeat winner yet in the 2019 World Championship Series but the closest thing to it is Trap. He’s the only player to reach the grand finals in two events this year. Ignoring the fact that he lost both final matchups, he’s shown that he’s consistently able to make it far.
Even back in Season 1, Trap finished in 3rd place, only losing to Maru. Trap is a good bet to make another deep run but he’s shown one glaring weakness: his struggles against Zerg players. In season 3, Trap got swept by Rogue in the grand finals, and he also lost a match to Solar in the round of 32. In season 2, Trap’s tournament ended because of a loss to Dark.
If Trap can avoid facing Zerg players then he might be able to finally win his first WCS event of the year. The bracket might just be in his favor as he likely won’t have to face a Zerg until the semifinals or grand finals. At +1000, it’s not a bad bet to make.
The Return of Dark and Maru?
For a stretch of over a year, Maru was the king of StarCraft II. Dating back to the beginning of 2018, he won four straight GSL Code S finals.
After making that historic streak, Maru has come back to Earth a little bit. In Season 2, Maru severely disappointed with an early exit in the round of 32. In Season 3 he bounced back and made it to the semifinals before losing to Trap. It’s difficult to tell where Maru ranks right now. The odds are still being heavily influenced by his dominance that lasted for over a year.
However, we’re now half a year removed from his GSL Code S winning streak and have seen him get beaten multiple times. As the shared favorite with Rogue, there just doesn’t seem to be value to bet on Maru.
Right behind Maru in the odds is Dark. He’s been a threat in essentially all WCS events this year and has even won GSL Season 2 Code S. Most recently, he fell victim to Rogue in the semifinals of Season 3.
The concern for Dark is that he has a very tough road ahead of him at Super Tournament 2. His first round opponent is Maru, and if he wins that match up he’s projected to go up against Rogue. The bracket doesn’t line up easily for Dark or Maru, and because of that you should avoid both of them.
Pick: Trap (+1000)