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2020 European Tour Alfred Dunhill Championship Odds and Picks

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Nov 23, 2020 · 10:54 AM PST

Brandon Stone
2016 champion Brandon Stone is among the favorites at the 2020 Alfred Dunhill Championship. Photo from @PGATOUR (Twitter)
  • The Alfred Dunhill Championship from Leopard Creek Country Club in South Africa tees off Thursday, November 26th
  • Recent European Tour champion Robert Macintyre the favorite over past Alfred Dunhill Championship winner Brandon Stone
  • We’ve narrowed down the golfers with the best chance of emerging victorious and provided the best value bets below

The Alfred Dunhill Championship is being played in Malalane, Mpumalanga, South Africa with Pablo Larrazabal back to defend his title. This tournament is co-sanctioned by the Sunshine and European Tours and doesn’t boast an especially strong field. This event should not be confused with the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship that is played in Scotland and much more prestigious.

Lefty Robert Macintyre won his last European Tour start for his maiden title and finished in a tie for third before that so he finds himself as the betting favorite. Brandon Stone, who won this tournament back in 2016 is followed behind him along with Christiaan Bezuidenhout, who made the cut in the US Open and Masters this year.

2011 Masters champion Charl Schwartzel has won this tournament a record four times, but he’s not teeing it up this week, and neither are fellow major winning South Africans Louis Oosthuizen and Ernie Els.

2020 Alfred Dunhill Championship Odds

Golfer Odds
Robert Macintyre +1200
Brandon Stone +1400
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +1600
Eddie Pepperell +2000
Wilco Nienaber +2000
George Coetzee +2700
Matthias Schwab +2900
Shaun Norris +2900
Garrick Higgo +2900
Joachim B. Hansen +3100
Joost Luiten +3300
Laurie Canter +3300
Matthew Jordan +3300
Gavin Green +3400
Marcus Armitage +3400
Johannes Veerman +3400
Adri Arnaus +3700
Adrian Otaegui +4000
Dean Burmester +4000
Danie Van Tonder +4000

Odds taken November 23rd from FanDuel

Brandon Stone Playing Solid Golf

Brandon Stone has played well in this tournament in the past, making the cut in all four instances including his victory here in 2016. Stone has also posted a pair of top-20 finishes at this track so he’s comfortable competing on it.

In his run up to the Alfred Dunhill Championship, Stone has been impressive, posting four top-20s in the last five times teeing it up, highlighted by a T-4th showing in his last start at the Joburg Open.

Despite Robert Macintyre having shorter odds than Stone by virtue of his win and T-3rd showing in his last two starts, I like Stone more simply because he’s won at this venue and had success, whereas Macintyre has only played it once, a respectable T-15 in 2018.

Both players are strikingly similar in the facets of their game in strokes gained categories, with Stone considerably longer off the tee. I’d be more inclined to go with the the past champion Stone between the two of them.

Last Five Alfred Dunhill Championship Winners

Year Winner
2019 Pablo Larrazabal (-8)
2018 David Lipsky (-14)
2017 No Tournament (Course Renovation)
2016 Brandon Stone (-21)
2015 Charl Schwartzel (-15)

Alfred Dunhill Championship Best Value Picks

  1. George Coetzee (+2700): Though he hasn’t been as strong in his last three events, George Coetzee has put together a remarkable 2020 across various tours. He has two wins, two runner-ups and five other top-10’s this year. He’s had a couple top-10’s here in the past, with a T-3 in 2011 and T-10 in 2012.
  2. Pablo Larrazabal (+4200): Solid odds for the defending champion of a tournament, particularly because he had two solid events here the two previous times too, which resulted in T-9 and T-23 showings. Has made 13 of his last 15 cuts, and had respectable performances in two of the last three times teeing it up (T-24, T-27).
  3. Joel Sjoholm (+10000): Joel Sjoholm is a big longshot at these odds but he was the runner-up to Larrazabal here last year so he likes the course. Fifth in strokes gained approaching the green this season on tour. Made his last five cuts with T-22, T-23, T-31 being his best starts so he’s quietly playing solidly.
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