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2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open 4th Round Odds, Picks and Preview

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Feb 6, 2021 · 5:10 PM PST

Jordan Spieth
Jordan Spieth is tied heading into the final round of the Waste Management Phoenix Open. (Photo by Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire)
  • Xander Schauffele and Jordan Spieth are tied for the lead after 54 holes at the Waste Management Phoenix Open
  • Major champions Justin Thomas, Brooks Koepka and Louis Oosthuizen are lurking behind the leaders
  • See the updated live odds at TPC Scottsdale heading into Sunday’s final round below

Three and a half years after Jordan Spieth won the Open Championship for his last win, the former world number one, who has fallen on hard times, has woken up from hibernation. Aided by matching a career-low round of 61 on moving day, the 11-time PGA Tour winner is tied for top spot with Xander Schauffele after 54 holes.

Schauffele had the third shortest odds to win outright pre-tournament while Spieth was a big time long-shot to finally get back into the winner’s circle. With tons of birdies to be had around TPC Scottsdale, it’s not strictly a two-man race for Sunday with several big names still in the hunt, like Justin Thomas, Brooks Koepka and Louis Oosthuizen.

Read on to see the updated odds and the best bets to make for Sunday’s final round, which always lives up to the billing of being a tight battle to the end with four of the last five iterations of the event ending in a playoff.

Waste Management Phoenix Open Odds

Golfer Position Score Odds
Xander Schauffele T-1st -18 -115
Jordan Spieth T-1st -18 +220
Justin Thomas T-5th -14 +1000
Scottie Scheffler T-3rd -15 +1200
Louis Oosthuizen T-5th -14 +2700
Kyoung-Hoon Lee T-3rd -15 +3300
Brooks Koepka T-7th -13 +4100
Steve Stricker T-7th -13 +10000
James Hahn T-7th -13 +10000

Odds taken Feb. 6th at FanDuel

Schauffele And Spieth Tied At The Top

Jordan Spieth hasn’t won since 2017, but it’s not as if Xander Schauffele has been racking up victories either, with his last triumph over two years ago. All four of the X-Man’s PGA Tour titles have seen him erase a 54-hole deficit, so historically he hasn’t shown great comfort in converting leads into victories.

Spieth, meanwhile, hadn’t shown much before this week, with nothing better than a T-38 showing in his last 10 tournaments. This week he’s first in strokes gained approaching the green, tied for second in birdies, third tee-to-green and sixth in putting, so all aspects of his game are on point.

Schauffele has nearly identical stats across the board as Spieth, but with his odds to win at -115 and Spieth’s at +220, I’d be more inclined to take extra juice on Spieth to follow up a career-best tying round of 61 with another solid one.

Last Five Waste Management Phoenix Open Winners

Year Winner
2020 Webb Simpson (-17) playoff over Tony Finau
2019 Rickie Fowler (-17) two shot win over Branden Grace
2018 Gary Woodland (-18) playoff over Chez Reavie
2017 Hideki Matsuyama (-17) playoff over Webb Simpson
2016 Hideki Matsuyama (-14) playoff over Rickie Fowler

Best Live Value Picks for Waste Management Phoenix Open

  1. Justin Thomas (+1000): Entering the final round four back, JT has battled back after a poor opening 70 with rounds of 65 and 64. Placed third at this tournament the last two years so he’s very comfortable on this track. First in birdies this week and second in putts per green in regulation.
  2. Brooks Koepka (+4100): Finished Saturday with five birdies in his last six holes. The 2015 WMPO champion is T-3rd in greens in regulation, hitting 16 in each of the last two rounds. Begins the final day five back, but these odds are enticing for a player that has shot 66 or better in the final round of three of his last four victories.
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