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2022 Sony Open in Hawaii Odds and Picks

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Jan 10, 2022 · 7:28 AM PST

Sony Open in Hawaii
Matt Kuchar, Webb Simpson and Luke Donald's group approaches the 16th green during the second round of the Sony Open golf tournament, Friday, Jan, 16, 2015, in Honolulu. (AP Photo/Hugh Gentry)
  • The Sony Open in Hawaii tees off Thursday, January 13th
  • Cameron Smith is the +850 favorite to win, followed by Webb Simpson
  • We’ve narrowed down the golfers with the best chance of emerging victorious and provided the best value bets below

Cameron Smith began 2022 with a bang, setting the PGA Tour all-time 72-hole lowest score to par total (-34) to win the Sentry Tournament of Champions. He’s making the trip to Waialae Country Club along with 21 others who played last weekend, and he’s got great mojo at this track, having won it in 2020. Kevin Na is defending champion.

Smith is the only top ten player in the world teeing it up following Bryson DeChambeau withdrawing on Monday. This course is short by normal tour standards, as it plays to a 7,044 yard, par-70 venue.

Going low is imperative for success, with all but one of the last nine champions having shot at least 17-under-par.

2022 Sony Open in Hawaii Odds

Golfers Odds
Cameron Smith +850
Webb Simpson +1500
Hideki Matsuyama +1700
Sungjae Im +1700
Marc Leishman +2400
Kevin Na +2900
Corey Conners +2900
Abraham Ancer +3200
Harris English +3200
Kevin Kisner +3600
Talor Gooch +3600
Matt Jones +3600
Jason Kokrak +4600
Billy Horschel +4600
Russell Henley +4600
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +4600
Si Woo Kim +4600
Seamus Power +4600
Cameron Davis +4600
Brendan Steele +5500

Odds as of January 10th at FanDuel

Webb Simpson Closing In on Sony Open Win

You can’t argue with Webb Simpson’s stellar track record around Waialae Country Club, as he’s done pretty much everything except win. In the last three times he’s played at this venue, the seven-time PGA Tour winner has a pair of T-4 results to go along with a third place showing in 2020. He missed a putt on the 72nd hole which would’ve put him in a playoff.

Subsequently, his strokes gained stats in the last 24 rounds at this course are phenomenal.

Webb Simpson’s Strokes Gained Stats In Last 24 Rounds at Waialae

Total Tee-To-Green Ball Striking Off-The-Tee Approach Short Game Putting
1 2 2 4 6 7 8

He’s never missed the cut in eleven tries here, with eight top-20 showings. In his last three starts prior to 2022, Simpson has also put together top-20’s in each of them. Though he doesn’t exactly sport super intriguing odds at +1500, you’re still getting him at considerably better value than the top golfer on the board Cameron Smith.

Last Five Sony Open in Hawaii Winners

Year Winner
2021 Kevin Na
2020 Cameron Smith
2019 Matt Kuchar
2018 Patton Kizzire
2017 Justin Thomas

2022 Sony Open in Hawaii Best Value Picks

  1. Marc Leishman (+2400): The big Aussie Marc Leishman has been very close in recent years at the Sony Open, finishing T-3rd in 2019 and T-4th last season. In the last twelve rounds at Waialae, he’s first in strokes gained: ball striking and second in total strokes gained. Coming off a top ten at the Sentry TOC, his third in the last five starts.
  2. Brendan Steele (+5500): This golf course owes one to Brendan Steele, who was in complete control in 2020 before a tough ending dropped him into a playoff, where he’d lose to Cameron Smith. Then last year, he was the 54-hole leader, only to fall into a tie for fourth. Just three starts ago he was runner-up at the Zozo Championship.
  3. Charles Howell III (+7500): As close to automatic as it gets at this tournament, as he’s made all 20 cuts in his career, including ten top-10’s. Inside the top-10 in five of his last ten Sony Open’s, with nothing worse than T-32 and a runner-up and third place as his best results during that span.
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