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Odds and Best Bets to Make/Miss the Cut at Charles Schwab Challenge

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Updated Mar 18, 2021 · 1:24 PM PDT

Justin Rose makes his PGA Tour season debut at the WGC-HSBC Champions. Photo from Tour Pro Golf Clubs (flickr) [CC License]
  • The Charles Schwab Challenge tees off Thursday, June 11th at Colonial Country Club
  • After the long layoff, which players will be able to make the weekend in the PGA Tour’s return?
  • See the bets bets for players to both make and miss the cut during the event below

The PGA Tour makes its return for the first time since the Players Championship was canceled after one round back in March at the Charles Schwab Challenge with Rory McIlroy the heavy +850 favorite to win.

We’ve covered the best bets and value picks to bring home the bacon at the Charles Schwab Challenge, in addition to intriguing first round leader, player matchups and top 10 bets as well.

In a field loaded with talent, there might be some bigger names that aren’t sharp following the extended hiatus due to COVID-19, so you might be able to find value on placing a wager on those players to miss the cut.

Odds on Webb Simpson to Make/Miss the Cut

Yes Odds No Odds
-400 +275

All odds taken June 9th

There’s a reason that Webb Simpson is among the favorites to win the tournament and therefore you won’t be getting super great odds on him to make the cut this weekend.

He won two starts ago in Phoenix, part of a three official tournament stretch where he finished no worse than third. Webb also has had success at Colonial, with top-five finishes in 2016 and 2017.

This one is a no brainer, and despite the -400 odds, bank on Simpson making it to Saturday.

Pick: Webb Simpson makes cut (-400)

Odds on Xander Schauffele to Make/Miss the Cut

Yes Odds No Odds
-345 +240

At first blush the Charles Schwab Challenge seems to set up beautifully for Xander Schauffele on such a tight track (ninth in strokes gained: tee-to-green). However, the X-man has struggled at this venue, missing the cut the last two years and finished T-48th in 2017.

In addition, since he kicked away a chance to win the Sentry Tournament of Champions in January, his best finish was T-14th in five starts following so he wasn’t exactly firing on all cylinders.

Take the considerable juice on Schauffele continuing his poor play at Colonial.

Pick: Xander Schauffele misses cut (+240)

Odds on Sergio Garcia to Make/Miss the Cut

Yes Odds No Odds
-250 +180

This a premium ball strikers paradise which, in theory, lends itself to 2001 champion Sergio Garcia having a strong week. Having said that, his play on the PGA Tour in the last year has certainly left a ton to be desired.

While his meltdown in the bunker didn’t happen stateside, it’s indicative of a game that has struggled to produce results. In his last eleven starts on the PGA Tour, Garcia has three missed cuts and nothing better than 33rd.

Despite having a solid track record around Colonial, his game hasn’t been sharp and he’s up against an elite field.

Pick: Sergio Garcia misses cut (+180)

Odds on Justin Rose to Make/Miss the Cut

Yes Odds No Odds
-225 +165

Here’s where you can get some decent value on a top echelon talent making a cut at this tournament. Justin Rose’s price point is lower than you’d normally expect because he had uncharacteristically poor play prior to the pandemic, missing three cuts and placing T-56th in his last four events.

After failing to dial in his Honma clubs, Rose has parted ways with them and has had ample time to tune in his new set. Plus, he won this very tournament in 2018 and has never missed the cut in six appearances at this venue.

Pick: Justin Rose makes cut (-225)

Odds on Ryan Palmer to Make/Miss the Cut

Yes Odds No Odds
-175 +130

A member at Colonial, Ryan Palmer has had success on home turf, recording a T-3rd finish in 2016 and a T-6th last year to go along with two other career top-ten finishes at this tournament. In his last twelve tour starts, Palmer has also missed the cut just once (Phoenix Open) and has posted three top-ten results in that span.

With a solid track record around this place, and an ability to play the course throughout the pandemic, jump on some value that Palmer will comfortably make it to the weekend.

Pick: Ryan Palmer makes cut (-175)

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