Best Longshot Bets and Sleeper Picks for the 2020 Memorial Tournament

By Michael Harrison in Golf
Updated: March 18, 2021 at 9:54 am EDTPublished:
- There’s great value in betting on longshots and sleepers to lift the trophy at this week’s Memorial Tournament in Dublin, Ohio
- We’ve picked some of the best golfers outside the top of the board who can compete at Muirfield Village
- See their odds and our picks for the tournament within the story below
The PGA Tour remains in Ohio for the second straight week at Muirfield Village Golf Club, this time for the prestigious Memorial Tournament, hosted by Jack Nicklaus. Last week Collin Morikawa defeated Justin Thomas in a playoff at this same venue at the Workday Charity Open.
The field is absolutely stacked at the Memorial Tournament, with 27 of the top 30 players in the world competing with Justin Thomas the slight favorite to take home his 13th career PGA Tour title after very nearly doing so last weekend.
In the last five years at this tournament, there have been three solid winners like defending champion Patrick Cantlay, Bryson DeChambeau and Jason Dufner. However, the two years previous years journeymen William McGirt and David Lingmerth notched their first PGA Tour title here, proving darkhorses can prevail at this course.
2020 Memorial Tournament Sleepers Odds
Golfer | Odds to Win | Top 5 Odds | Top 10 Odds | Top 20 Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|
Daniel Berger | +4000 | +850 | +430 | +185 |
Justin Rose | +5000 | +1000 | +470 | +220 |
Kevin Streelman | +6500 | +1200 | +600 | +250 |
Ian Poulter | +12000 | +1900 | +750 | +380 |
Sepp Straka | +13000 | +2900 | +1100 | +600 |
Odds taken July 14th
Daniel Berger Has Been Red Hot
Daniel Berger came out of the PGA Tour hiatus on a mission, snagging the Charles Schwab Challenge title and then very nearly doing the same the following week at the RBC Heritage, where he settled for a T-3rd result.
Daniel Berger now has 32 consecutive rounds of par or better, by far the longest active streak on TOUR.
He's 20 rounds shy of matching Tiger Woods' PGA TOUR record of 52 straight between 2000 and 2001. pic.twitter.com/xFoGJ9KVCn
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) June 22, 2020
Even before the layoff, Berger was putting together solid results, going T-4, T-5 and T-9 in his three previous events, marking five straight top-10’s overall, and four straight top-5 finishes.
Against a strong field, it won’t be quite so easy for Berger, but believe in him to keep the good times rolling.
Pick: Top 5 (+850), Top 10 (+430), Top 20 (+185)
Justin Rose Loves This Tournament
Justin Rose’s missed cut last week at Muirfield Village was a head scratcher, given his success at this track in his career. He has a victory in 2010 plus a pair of runner-ups in 2008 and 2015 (in a playoff) to go along with seven all-time top-10’s at this venue.
Justin Rose just went 🦅🐦🦅 at the Memorial. 😱
May we all play this well over the weekend.pic.twitter.com/QOP0uYWE5W
— Golf Digest (@GolfDigest) May 31, 2019
He did miss the cut by a whopping twelve strokes last week, which definitely gives some pause when considering him this go around. However, he’s a professional through and through and it’d be stunning to see him do so poorly again at a place that he’s been excellent at.
Pick: Top 10 (+470), Top 20 (+220)
Kevin Streelman a Great Sleeper at Muirfield
Kevin Streelman is a bit of an enigma, given that he was a runner-up at Pebble Beach earlier in the year, then finished 47th and had three missed cuts immediately after that.
He then posted another second place result at the Travelers Championship and was T-7th at this venue last weekend.
What a super shot!
Kevin Streelman hits it near perfectly.
📺 | CBS pic.twitter.com/OEjKwGAixI
— Golf on CBS ⛳ (@GolfonCBS) July 11, 2020
Since 2015, Streelman has been money around Muirfield Village, going T-18, T-8, T-13, T-44 and fourth last year.
While a top-five result is probably too much to ask for, sneaking in the top-ten is definitely feasible.
Pick: Top 10 (+600), Top 20 (+250)
Poulter and Straka Worth Considering
Ian Poulter was dynamite on the greens just last week at Muirfield Village, ranking second in strokes gained: putting en route to a tie for fifth in his first trip to this track in eleven years.
Ian Poulter’s home games setup is on another level! 🎮🏎 pic.twitter.com/B1xWyWuZiL
— DP World Tour (@DPWorldTour) March 15, 2020
As has been the case at many Ryder Cups, Poulter is immensely dangerous when he gets the putter rolling.
Pick: Top 10 (+750), Top 20 (+380)
Sepp Straka, meanwhile, has very quietly gone under the radar in his last two events, a tie for eight at the Rocket Mortgage Classic and a T-14 showing last week at the Workday Charity Open.
He very easily could sneak in yet another top-20 result and barely be noticed among all the heavy hitters who are playing this week.
Pick: Top 20 (+600)

Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 19 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.