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FedEx St. Jude Championship First-Round Leader Odds, Predictions & Best Bets

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Updated Aug 8, 2022 · 5:02 PM PDT

Tony Finau celebrates after winning the Rocket Mortgage Classic
Tony Finau celebrates on the 18th green after winning the Rocket Mortgage Classic at the Detroit Golf Club. Syndication Detroit Free Press
  • The FedEx St. Jude Championship in Memphis, Tennessee tees off Thursday, August 11th
  • Rory McIlroy is the +2000 favorite to be atop the leaderboard after day one over Patrick Cantlay
  • See the best bets and FedEx St. Jude Championship first-round leader odds in the article below

The first part of the three-leg FedEx Cup playoffs begins this week at the FedEx St. Jude Championship in Memphis, TN. Rory McIlroy is the +900 favorite in the FedEx St. Jude Championship odds. With 122 of the top 125 players competing (Daniel Berger, Tommy Fleetwood and Lanto Griffin aren’t teeing it up), there’s plenty of opportunities for sleepers and longshots to make some noise.

In this article, we’ll explore which players have the best chance of being the leader after day one, along with which players have been fast starters on Thursdays this season.

2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship First-Round Leader Odds

Golfers Odds Tee Time
Rory McIlroy +2000 1:06pm
Patrick Cantlay +2200 1:06pm
Scottie Scheffler +2500 8:21am
Cameron Smith +2800 8:21am
Xander Schauffele +2800 1:06pm
Matt Fitzpatrick +3300 7:59am
Justin Thomas +3300 8:10am
Tony Finau +3300 8:10am
Jon Rahm +3300 12:44pm
Viktor Hovland +4000 7:48am
Jordan Spieth +4000 7:59am
Cameron Young +4000 8:10am
Sam Burns +4000 8:21am
Collin Morikawa +4000 12:33pm
Will Zalatoris +4000 12:55pm

Odds as of August 8th at Barstool Sportsbook.



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The forecast calls for there to be a chance of a shower in the morning, with it being mainly sunny in the afternoon. Temperatures will be mid 70’s for those teeing it up first, hitting low 90’s for those playing in the afternoon. The wind will be pretty docile for the duration of Thursday, with gusts reaching between eight and twelve miles per hour, with it being a tad stronger for those finishing in the evening.

A benefit for those teeing it up in the morning is the exact same as it is every week – less bumpy greens with fewer players chewing them up.

Tony Finau on a Heater

Tony Finau (8:10am tee time) has been brilliant of late, winning his last two tournaments in back-to-back weeks at the 3M Open and Rocket Mortgage Classic. As such, he’s doubled his overall PGA Tour win total to four.

He’s also no stranger to tasting success in the first leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs, having won the Northern Trust just last year, albeit at a different course. He’s been stellar lately, and his statistics are eye popping to say the least.

Tony Finau’s Strokes Gained Ranks Last 24 Rounds

Total Tee-To-Green Ball Striking Approach Short Game Off-The-Tee Around-The-Green Putting
1 1 1 2 3 4 5 18

Twelve of his last 16 rounds have resulted in a score of 68 or better. He’s been on an absolute tear of late, and is showing no signs of slowing down.

Pick: Tony Finau (+3300)

Cameron Young a Fast Starter

Playing in the same group as Finau is Cameron Young (8:10am). He’s had a phenomenal rookie campaign, posting seven top-three finishes, with five of them being runner-ups. That includes his last two starts, as he was outright second at the Open Championship, then tied second at the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

He’s also made a habit of getting off to strong starts, as he led after 18 holes at the Open, and is tenth overall in first round scoring average.

2021-22 PGA Tour First Round Scoring Average Leaders

Golfer Average Score Odds
1. Rory McIlroy 67.92 +2000
2. Matt Kuchar 68.33 +10000
3. Joaquin Niemann 68.42 +6600
4. Russell Henley 68.47 +5000
5. Cameron Smith 68.53 +2800
6. Aaron Wise 68.71 +6600
T-7. Patrick Cantlay 68.80 +2200
T-7. Scottie Scheffler 68.80 +2500
9. Wyndham Clark 69.00 +12500
10. Cameron Young 69.10 +4000

In the last 24 rounds on the PGA Tour, Young is tops in strokes gained: off-the-tee, and around-the-green. He’s also second tee-to-green and eighth in total strokes gained.

He’s seventh in birdie average and twelfth in scoring average, making him a prime candidate to jump ahead early.

Pick: Cameron Young (+4000)

Taylor Moore Has Longshot Potential

Taylor Moore (7:26am) isn’t a household name, but he’s been trending in the right direction of late in his effort to become one. In the last four stroke play tournaments, his results have been as follows – T-24th, T-21st, 6th, T-5th.

In his last twelve rounds, his ‘strokes gained’ stats have been very solid.

Taylor Moore’s Strokes Gained Ranks In Last Twelve Rounds

Ball Striking Total Off-The-Tee Approach Tee-To-Green Putting
5 7 11 12 13 38

In his last five Thursday’s, Moore has shot in the 60’s, and 15 of his last 20 overall rounds have resulted in sub-70 efforts. The caveat of course is that he’s done his damage against far weaker fields than the one he’s up against in Memphis. However, at these odds, he makes for a super intriguing sleeper option.

Pick: Taylor Moore (+10000)


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