Skip to content

Masters Picks & Best Bets for Sunday – Round 4 Props to Target

Michael Harrison

By Michael Harrison in Golf

Published:


Rory McIlroy waves to the crowd after finishing his 3rd round at the Masters.
Apr 12, 2025; Augusta, Georgia, USA; Rory McIlroy reacts after putting on the 18th green during the third round of the Masters Tournament at Augusta National Golf Club. Mandatory Credit: Michael Madrid-Imagn Images
  • Rory McIlroy and Cameron Young are tied for the lead through three rounds of the 2026 Masters
  • Eight players are within four strokes, including 2022 and 2024 champion Scottie Scheffler
  • See my 2026 Masters picks, best value bets, and a player prop heading into the final round

Through two rounds, many people were ready to serenade defending champion Rory McIlroy with his second straight green jacket, given that he held a six-shot lead. However, he came back down to earth on Saturday, with several big names shooting blistering scores to make it a tight battle heading into Sunday. McIlroy, who is attempting to become the fourth man to win back-to-back Masters, is tied with reigning Players Champion Cameron Young. A shot back is Sam Burns, with Shane Lowry two adrift.

One of the players just four off the pace is pre-tournament Masters odds favorite Scottie Scheffler, who matched the lowest round of the week, with a 7-under, 65. Young shot that same score on moving day to erase the deficit and tie Rory.

Below, I’ll lay out the leaderboard and odds to win outright, plus offer up a player prop top-ten selection for Sunday’s final round of the 90th Masters Tournament.


Live Odds To Win Masters For Final Round (2026)

GolferOddsScore/Position
Rory McIlroy+146-11/T-1st
Cameron Young+255-11/T-1st
Sam Burns+620-10/3rd
Scottie Scheffler+900-7/T-7th
Shane Lowry+1200-9/4th
Justin Rose+1500-8/T-5th
Jason Day+2250-8/T-5th
Patrick Reed+7600-6/T-9th
Haotong Li+8800-7/T-7th
Russell Henley+10500-6/T-9th

As I predicted in my Masters Odds to win heading into the third round, things wouldn’t be easy for Rory McIlroy, despite the six-shot cushion. He’s hit just 50% of the fairways for the tournament, last of all the competitors to make the cut. The Ulsterman carded his first double bogey of the event at the 11th hole, where he put his approach shot into the creek. McIlroy was still able to scratch and claw to a 1-over, 73, but that let everybody into it.

Conversely, just one player has hit more fairways than co-leader Cameron Young. He fired a brilliant 7-under, 65, with eight birdies and just one dropped shot. He’s attempting to become the third straight player to win the Players Championship, then the Masters the following month (Scheffler, McIlroy). Young started +4 through his first seven holes of this championship, but since then has been flawless, with 17 birdies and just two blemishes.

If I had to select between McIlroy (+146) and Young (+255), to claim the coveted title, I’d still stick with McIlroy, despite his scratchy Saturday. Given that it’s very similar odds, I’ll always err on the side of the proven major winner, and in this case, defending champion.

  • BETMGM SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE SBD1500 TO GET UP TO $1,500 PAID BACK

  • BET365 SPORTSBOOK

    BET $10 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365

  • THESCORE BET SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE DIME TO GET 100% BET RESET UP TO $1,000

  • DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $300 IN BONUS BETS IF YOUR BET WINS!

  • FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $250 IN BONUS BETS IF YOUR BET WINS!

  • CAESARS SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE SBDDYW & DOUBLE YOUR WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 10 WAGERS!

  • FANATICS SPORTSBOOK

    GET 100% BET MATCH UP TO $100 FOR 10 DAYS

  • DRAFTKINGS T&Cs: GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/PR/WY). Void in NH/OR/ONT/PR. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings Sportsbook customer. Must register new account to receive reward Token. Must select Token BEFORE placing min. $5 bet to receive $300 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins. Min. -500 odds req. Token and Bonus Bets are single-use and non-withdrawable. Bet must settle by and Token expires 5/3/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Bonus Bets expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 4/26/26 at 11:59 PM ET.

  • BET365 SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL OR TEXT 1-800-GAMBLER (AZ/CO/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA/MD/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only (18+ KY). Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA (select parishes)/MD/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA. Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 of greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&CS, time limits and exclusions apply.

  • BETMGM T&Cs: Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.

Odds as of 8:12 pm ET on Saturday, April 11th, at DraftKings. Check out the full list of DraftKings deposit methods.

DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK

Sign Up Today & Receive Up to
$1,050 in Bonuses!
GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new customer. Must register new account to receive reward Token. Must select Token BEFORE placing min. $5 bet to receive $300 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins. Min. -500 odds req. Token and Bonus Bets are single-use and non-withdrawable. Token expires 2/1/26. Bonus Bets expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 1/25/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.
LOCK IN PROMO
SIGNUP PROMO
SIGN UP
& GET $1,050

BONUS BETS + DEPOSIT BONUS

GET PROMO

Masters Final Round Prediction

Two golfers that I was high on before the event started were Patrick Reed and Russell Henley. I’m still glad I have tickets on them, given that they’re on the periphery, five adrift. However, unfortunately, at least historically, they have a low chance of getting the job done.

Rarely does golf offer up the sentimental story that prevails, Gary Woodland two weeks ago at the Houston Open notwithstanding. However, Justin Rose (+1500), is just three behind, and has three career runner-ups at the Masters (two in playoffs in 2017 and 2025). Last year, in order to get into extra holes with McIlroy, he shot an otherworldly 66, paced by a whopping ten birdies in the final round.

I love Rose to mount a comeback at a very reasonable price, as he’s hit 14 greens in regulation in each of the three rounds, giving him plenty of opportunities to post a low number. He’d certainly be a popular winner after so many close calls at Augusta National, and can free-wheel it on Sunday, knowing he needs to go low to win.

Live Masters 2026 Picks & Value Bets Entering Final Round

  1. Shane Lowry +1200 to win outright: I was high on Shane Lowry to continue to close the gap in the third round, and he didn’t disappoint, with a 4-under, 68. That was highlighted by a scintillating hole-in-one on the sixth hole, and he starts just two strokes behind. He’s hit 43 greens in regulation, tied for second most in the field. Lowry is the 2019 Open Championship winner, and has seven other major top-10s in his career to his credit, including a T-3rd at the 2022 Masters.
  2. Tommy Fleetwood +198 for a top-10: Tommy Fleetwood had a very disappointing third round, with the same score as McIlroy (73). He begins two shots off the top-ten, in a tie for 15th. This week, he’s been really strong on the par-5s, going -8 on twelve of them, including a pair of eagles. I expect more of the same from him to be able to rise up the board, given that he’s playing for pride at this point, seven off the lead. The Englishmen has put together a quartet of top-10s in his last five outings, and I expect the same Sunday evening.

Sign Up for SBD’s Newsletter Now

Did you want the latest sports betting news, analysis, picks, betting trends, and relevant data straight to your inbox? If so, you’ll want to subscribe to SBD’s newsletter now!

Michael Harrison
Michael Harrison

Sports & Entertainment Writer

Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 20 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.

Entertainment NFL NBA MLB NHL Golf NCAAB

Recommended Reading