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the Memorial Tournament 2022 Odds and Picks

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

May 30, 2022 · 7:03 AM PDT

Muirfield village
The final round of the Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio on Sunday, June 6, 2021. The Memorial Tournament Pga Golf
  • The Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club tees off Thursday, June 2nd from Dublin, OH
  • Jon Rahm is the +800 favorite over two-time champion Patrick Cantlay
  • Below, see the Memorial Tournament odds to win, plus best value bets 

For the second straight week on the PGA Tour, a golfer erased a seven-stroke deficit entering the final round, where they eventually prevailed in a playoff. First it was Justin Thomas at the PGA Championship, then it was Sam Burns at the Charles Schwab Challenge. Neither player are competing at Jack Nicklaus’ Memorial Tournament, but the field is otherwise fantastic.

Those two golfers, plus world #1 Scottie Scheffler are the only three in the top-ten of the golf rankings to not tee it up this week. Jon Rahm, who held a six-shot lead through 54 holes last year, before having to withdraw due to a positive COVID test, is the +800 favorite. Right behind him is Patrick Cantlay, who benefitted from that withdrawal to win his second Memorial Tournament in the last three years.

Securing this prestigious championship locks down a PGA Tour card for three years, one more than the customary two for winning an event. Going low is imperative to success, with 2020 champ Rahm the only winner in the last nine iterations to not shoot double digits under par.

2022 Memorial Tournament Odds

Golfers Odds
Jon Rahm +800
Patrick Cantlay +1000
Rory McIlroy +1100
Xander Schauffele +1600
Collin Morikawa +1800
Viktor Hovland +2000
Shane Lowry +2000
Jordan Spieth +2200
Cameron Smith +2200
Matt Fitzpatrick +2500
Hideki Matsuyama +2800
Will Zalatoris +3000
Max Homa +4000
Billy Horschel +4000
Sungjae Im +4000
Cameron Young +4000
Joaquin Niemann +4500
Mito Pereira +4500
Adam Scott +5000
Keegan Bradley +5000

Odds as of May 30th at DraftKings Sportsbook.

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Patrick Cantlay Dominates This Course

There are definitely ‘horses for courses’ and Patrick Cantlay fits that mold when it comes to Muirfield Village Golf Club. He won the tournament in 2019 with a sizzling Sunday performance, then picked up the title last year when he was the benefactor to Jon Rahm having to withdraw. Not only has he had those two triumphs, but he was fourth in 2018, and T-7th at this track in 2020 when it also hosted the Workday Charity Open.

Subsequently, he’s racked up some impressive ‘strokes gained’ stats at this golf course.

Cantlay’s Strokes Gained Stats In Last 24 Rounds at Muirfield Village

Total Ball Striking Tee-To-Green Approach Off-The-Tee Around-The-Green Short Game Putting
1 1 1 1 3 8 13 29

Before his uncharacteristic missed cut at the PGA Championship, Cantlay was second at the RBC Heritage (his second playoff defeat of 2022), then won the team event Zurich Classic. He’s +1000 to win outright, which isn’t a ton of value, but his track record at Muirfield suggests he’ll be in the hunt yet again in the final round.

Last Five Memorial Tournament Winners

Year Winner
2021 Patrick Cantlay
2020 Jon Rahm
2019 Patrick Cantlay
2018 Bryson DeChambeau
2017 Jason Dufner

2022 Memorial Tournament Best Value Picks

  1. Hideki Matsuyama (+2800): Hideki Matsuyama is a past champion at this tournament, having won it in 2014. He’s also had a T-5th and a sixth here in the past. Matsuyama has two victories in the wraparound season, and two tournaments ago was T-3rd at the Byron Nelson. Sixth in strokes gained: approaching the green, which will set him up for plenty of birdie opportunities.
  2. Cameron Young (+4000): Cameron Young has been dynamite in his rookie campaign, racking up three second place finishes. In his last three starts alone, he’s gone T-3rd at the RBC Heritage, T-2nd at the Wells Fargo Championship, and T-3rd at the PGA Championship. In the last 24 rounds, Young is tops in strokes gained: tee-to-green, and he’s second in SG: off-the-tee overall.
  3. Davis Riley (+6000): Davis Riley has also been phenomenal in his maiden tour season. The closest he’s come to winning was a runner-up in a playoff at the Valspar. His last five tournaments he’s gone T-4, 5th, T-9, T-13, T-4, where he led on the back nine at Colonial last weekend. Second in ball striking the last twelve measured rounds, and tenth in birdie average for the year.
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