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RBC Canadian Open 4th Round Odds & Picks

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Updated Jun 11, 2022 · 6:54 PM PDT

Rory McIlroy watches shot, RBC Canadian Open
Jun 11, 2022; Etobicoke, Ontario, CAN; Rory McIlroy hits a chip shot from the fringe of the first green during the third round of the RBC Canadian Open golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports
  • Rory McIlroy and Tony Finau co-lead the RBC Canadian Open by two shots over four golfers after third round action
  • 18 players are within six shots of top spot on the leaderboard
  • See the updated 2022 RBC Canadian Open odds below for Sunday’s final round below

Through 54 holes of the RBC Canadian Open, defending champion Rory McIlroy and Tony Finau are both tied for the lead at 11-under-par. Finau shot a scintillating 8-under, 62 on moving day to shoot up the leaderboard, while McIlroy, who is defending his 2019 title, shot 65. They’re two strokes ahead of four golfers, including reigning PGA champion Justin Thomas, Sam Burns, who won two weeks ago, along with Wyndham Clark and Alex Smalley.

Entering the championship, McIlroy was the third favorite to win his second Canadian Open in as many tries at +800, while Finau was +3000 leading us to select him as one of our sleepers to take the title. The Northern Irishman now sits at +160 to win, while Finau is at +280.

Read on to see the updated odds and best value bets heading into Sunday’s final round.

2022 RBC Canadian Open Odds

Golfer Position Score Odds
Rory McIlroy T-1st -11 +160
Tony Finau T-1st -11 +280
Justin Thomas T-3rd -9 +450
Sam Burns T-3rd -9 +650
Alex Smalley T-3rd -9 +1600
Wyndham Clark T-3rd -9 +1800
Matt Fitzpatrick T-9th -6 +6000
Chris Kirk T-9th -6 +10000
Sebastian Munoz T-9th -6 +10000
Keith Mitchell T-9th -6 +10000

Odds as of June 11th at DraftKings Sportsbook


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McIlroy, Finau On Top At RBC Canadian Open

The final threesome teeing off Sunday is star studded, with McIlroy, Finau and Justin Thomas all competing with each other. Quite simply, it’s very hard to trust Finau to close out the event, given his propensity to come up just short so often over a period of several years. What is going for him is the fact he’s fifth in final round scoring average, but at +280, it’s hard to go all-in on him staring down multiple major champions in Rory and JT.

Clearly McIlroy is the favorite, and the odds reflect that, as he’s +160 to get the job done. The Ulsterman has shot at least 68 or better in four of his last five final rounds and it’s hard to imagine a scenario where he isn’t in the thick of things right down to the end. McIlroy gained nearly four shots on the field tee-to-green on Saturday, and he’s sixth in scrambling for the tournament, should be wander off the greens.

It’s not exactly super enticing to place a wager on him at such low +160 odds, but he clearly is the man to beat entering the final day.

2022 RBC Canadian Open Best Live Value Picks

  1. Sam Burns (+650): We were high on Sam Burns to win for the fourth time this season entering the week, since there were seven golfers with shorter odds than him. He’s positioned himself yet again to be able to win for his second straight start, as he’s two behind. Burns has shot in the 60’s in three of his last four Sunday’s, two of which yielded trophies. He’s tied for first in greens hit through three rounds, and is third in SG: approaching the green.
  2. Alex Smalley (+1600): Unheralded Alex Smalley has quietly put together a decent season, with four top-15 finishes, including a runner-up in the Dominican Republic and a T-6th in Mexico. Through 54 holes, he’s first in strokes gained: tee-to-green, second approaching the green and third around the green. He’ll start the final round just two adrift.
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