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Tour Championship 4th Round Odds, Picks & Predictions

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in Golf

Aug 27, 2022 · 5:55 PM PDT

Scottie Scheffler gets a line from his caddie
Aug 27, 2022; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Ted Scott talks with Scottie Scheffler on the 8th green during the third round of the TOUR Championship golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Adam Hagy-USA TODAY Sports
  • Scottie Scheffler has a one-stroke lead over Xander Schauffele at the Tour Championship heading into Sunday
  • Play was suspended on Saturday, with half of the field still needing to complete their 3rd rounds
  • See the updated 2022 Tour Championship odds below heading into the final day of play on Sunday

What a difference 24 hours can make. When Scottie Scheffler finished his ninth hole of the day on Friday, just one golfer was within seven strokes of his lead at the Tour Championship. Fast forward to Saturday, and Scheffler’s lead is down to one shot, while 12 players are at or within seven strokes of him. That list includes former FedExCup champions and some of the world’s top players who are all chasing the $15 million first prize.

2022 Tour Championship Odds

Golfer Position Score Odds
Scottie Scheffler 1st -19 +105
Xander Schauffele 2nd -18 +200
Sungjae Im 3rd -16 +900
Rory McIlroy 4th -15 +1100
Jon Rahm T-5 -14 +2200
Patrick Cantlay T-5 -14 +3500
Justin Thomas T-5 -14 +3500
Sepp Straka T-5 -14 +11000
Joaquin Niemann T-10 -12 +25000
Max Homa T-10 -12 +30000

Odds as of August 27th at DraftKings Sportsbook.

 

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Lightning halted play at East Lake Golf Club on Saturday, leaving half of the field to finish their 3rd Rounds Sunday morning. Scheffler and Xander Schauffele, who’s currently in second place, got through just 12 holes on Saturday, and will need to start scoring if they want to create some separation atop the leaderboard.

Both were just one-under through their 3rd Rounds, failing to capitalize on easy scoring conditions. The average score on Saturday was 67, while no one shot worse than 71.

Stick with Schauffele at the Top

The way Schauffele finished Round 2, it seemed like it would only be a matter of time before he overtook Scheffler. Xander closed birdie, birdie, eagle on Friday, and was two-under through three holes on Saturday.

Back-to-back poor drives yielded bogeys on holes four and five, but he responded with two straight birdies on the next two holes. He hasn’t made a birdie since, but make no mistake Schauffele owns this course. In 22 rounds at East Lake he’s failed to break par only twice, and owns a career 67.04 scoring average, which is the best in the field.

He ranks third in ball striking, and third in strokes gained tee-to-green so far this week which is better than Scheffler in both categories.

Scheffler meanwhile, has hit a dry spell. He’s made just two birdies over his past 24 holes, and hit only 66.7% of the greens in regulation on Saturday. He’s lost nearly two strokes putting this week, which is usually his forte, and only seven players in the field have made fewer birdies than him. If choosing from the top, stick with Schauffele.

2022 Tour Championship Live Value Picks

  1. Rory McIlroy (+1100): Remember when McIlroy started the tournament with a triple bogey. Since then, he’s 14-under par racking up 15 birdies and two eagles. He certainly has the firepower to erase a four-shot deficit quickly, and East Lake just happens to be a course he’s absolutely thrived on in the past. McIlroy won the Tour Championship in 2019 and 2016, while finishing runner-up in 2014. He’s shot 67 or better in 11 of his past 18 rounds at this course, and is well on his way to doing so again in the 3rd Round.
  2. Patrick Cantlay (+3500): The reigning FedExCup champ defended his title last week at the BMW Championship, and looks poised to make a Sunday charge at East Lake if he can turn his putter around. Cantlay leads the field in strokes gained tee-to-green so far this week, and ranks second in ball striking, but is 29th out of 30 players in putting. He’ll resume his 3rd Round five shots off the pace, and if he can get his putter back on track he’s going to vault up the leaderboard.

 

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