WM Phoenix Open First-Round Leader Picks & Odds

• The WM Phoenix Open tees off Thursday, February 5th, from TPC Scottsdale
• Scottie Scheffler is the favorite to lead after 18 holes over Cameron Young
• Read below for five picks of mine to be leader after day one of the WM Phoenix Open

Everyone’s favorite party event is on the horizon, with the world’s best competing at the raucous and rambunctious WM Phoenix Open. This event kick started Scottie Scheffler’s dominant career, as he won for the first time on the PGA Tour in 2022, then defended his title the following year. He’s the overwhelming favorite in the WM Phoenix Open odds to take home the title a third time.

Instead of waiting until Sunday to potentially collect our earnings, this article will explore bets that can be made that will settle at the conclusion of the first round, searching to find who will be the first-round leader after 18 holes.

WM Phoenix Open First-Round Leader Odds

The weather will be in the low 60’s in the morning, reaching the low 80’s in the afternoon, with it being mainly sunny. The wind gusts will be a bit more prevalent in the morning, blowing between 12 and 20 MPH, with a slight advantage to those in the afternoon wave as it calms down.

A benefit, however, for those teeing it up in the morning is the exact same as it is every week – less bumpy greens with fewer players chewing them up.

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Odds as of February 3rd at FanDuel Sportsbook at 11:30am ET. Claim the top sportsbook promos before the WM Phoenix Open.

WM Phoenix Open First-Round Leader Picks

• Pierceson Coody +4500
• Nick Taylor +4500
• Keith Mitchell +5500
• Garrick Higgo +6000
• Michael Kim +8000

To tee things off, I’m honing in on a player who may not be a household name, but has been playing great golf of late. Pierceson Coody (9:31 am, +4500) is coming off three top-20s to begin 2026, highlighted by a runner-up at last week’s Farmers Insurance Open. In that span, he’s third in strokes gained: off-the-tee, and last year was seventh in first round scoring average (68.73).

Coody has backed that up in 2026, ranking 13th in that category, with an average score of 66 on Thursdays. He co-led after day one of The American Express two events ago, and is trending in a fantastic direction.

Next I have my sights set on Nick Taylor (10:04 am, +4500), who won this tournament in 2024. The year prior to that, he was runner-up. In the first round in 2023, Taylor was in second position, and his triumph saw him hold a whopping five stroke lead over the field 24 months ago.

In the last twelve rounds at this track, nobody is better than the Canadian in terms of total strokes gained (10.0, and putting, also 10.0). The two times Taylor has teed it up in 2026, he co-led after day one of the Sony Open (with a 62), and also fired a 65 at the American Express, making him an intriguing selection.

2025 PGA Tour First-Round Scoring Average Leaders

Longshots Who Could Lead After 18 Holes

Keith Mitchell (2:22 pm, +5500), was a first round warrior last year, as he was fourth best to begin tournaments. That included a ludicrous stretch where he was either first or second place on the leaderboard in five straight stroke play tourneys. He’s had three top-20s at the WM in his career, and is coming off a T-11th at Torrey Pines.

Garrick Higgo (3:06 pm, +6000) was second best on tour last season in first round scoring average (67.77), behind some guy named Scottie Scheffler. He ended off 2025 scorching hot, nearly winning a few events, with results of T-7th-2nd-T-4th-T-4th.

Finally, social media darling Michael Kim (9:42 am, +8000) is my longest shot on the board. I’m basing this solely on the fact last year at the WM Phoenix Open, he was runner-up to Thomas Detry. Kim was first in scrambling over 72 holes, and fourth in greens in regulation, so he’s worth a flier in the WM Phoenix Open longshot picks.