- Sportsbooks have released 2019 win totals for all 30 Major League Baseball teams
- The Phillies are being criminally undervalued at just 84.5 wins
- Oddsmakers are also overlooking the Reds despite the team’s aggressive offseason overhaul
Spring Training is still one month away, but that hasn’t stopped the oddsmakers from peeking into their crystal balls and predicting the win totals for all 30 Major League Baseball teams.
The Houston Astros lead the way with 96.5 wins, but the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees aren’t far behind at 95.5 wins each. Bringing up the rear are the lowly Baltimore Orioles and Miami Marlins, both of whom are expected to lose 95 games or more.
Top 5 2019 MLB Win Totals
|Team||2019 MLB Win Totals (01/23/19)|
|Boston Red Sox||95.5|
|New York Yankees||95.5|
|Los Angeles Dodgers||94.5|
We’ve examined all of the sportsbooks’ projections and have found five win totals that you should pounce on immediately.
Philadelphia Phillies (84.5 Wins)
The 80-win Phillies fell far short of postseason glory in 2018, but there’s reason to believe their luck will change this year. For starters, Philadelphia has added some serious star power with the acquisitions of All-Star shortstop Jean Segura from the Mariners, and former NL MVP Andrew McCutchen from the Yankees. Both players are professional hitters who add plenty of pop to Philly’s lineup.
Management also strengthened the team’s bullpen by signing free agent reliever David Robertson to a two-year deal. The former World Series champ was 8-3 with a 3.23 ERA last season with the Yankees, and held opponents to a minuscule .183 batting average. He should work wonders for a club that ranked 18th last season in bullpen ERA.
#Phillies and RHP David Robertson have agreed to terms on a two-year contract. The deal includes a third-year club option for the 2021 season.
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) January 3, 2019
Those three signings have already made Philadelphia’s offseason a success, but the club isn’t done wheeling and dealing just yet. Philly is also still in the thick of the Manny Machado and Bryce Harper sweepstakes. The franchise has gobs of money to spend and either player could easily account for an additional 10-12 wins. Get the Phillies at 84.5 wins now while you still can, before they land their man and oddsmakers raise their projected total.
Pick: Over 84.5
Cincinnati Reds (77.5 Wins)
Few teams have undergone a more aggressive makeover this offseason than the Reds, and that’s a good thing, since they stunk worse than a beer and bratwurst fart last season. Cincinnati swung for the fences on December 21st by acquiring All-Stars Matt Kemp, Yasiel Puig, and Alex Wood from the Dodgers for Homer Bailey and a pair of prospects.
The deal cost them a small fortune, but immediately upgrades their roster in several areas of need. Puig, in particular, should shine at Great American Ballpark after years of playing in cavernous Dodger Stadium.
— MLB (@MLB) January 21, 2019
The Reds have since bolstered their rotation by landing Sonny Gray from the Yankees. The 29-year-old right-hander wilted under the bright lights of New York, but should flourish playing in a smaller market again. Expect him to regain his All-Star form from 2015 when he went 14-7 with a 2.73 ERA for the Athletics.
Pick: Over 77.5
Atlanta Braves (83.5 Wins)
Few pundits expected the Baby Braves to win 90 games in 2018, but now that we know what they’re capable of a six-game slide seems nearly unthinkable.
If all goes according to plan, Atlanta will benefit from a full season from NL Rookie of the Year Ronald Acuna Jr., who didn’t join the Braves until April 25th. Fellow first year phenom Ozzie Albies should also be significantly better, which is a terrifying thought for opposing pitchers.
The two players will be joined by three-time All-Star Freddie Freeman, who finished fourth in NL MVP voting in 2018, and former AL MVP Josh Donaldson, who signed as a free agent on November 26th. That’s an impressive core, and it should be enough to keep the good vibes going in the Peach State.
Pick: Over 83.5
Boston Red Sox (95.5 Wins)
No one expects the Red Sox to shatter last year’s franchise record of 108 regular season wins, but surely the defending World Series champs can muster 96 victories. After all, Boston is returning the same formidable lineup that led the Majors in hits, doubles, total bases, RBIs, batting average, onbase percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. Oh, and they’ll also have former AL MVP Dustin Pedoria back at second after a year of rest and rehabilitation. His presence should make the league’s most lethal offense even more deadly.
Dombrowski: “(Dustin Pedroia) sent me a note… with him running and he said, ‘You can count on me.’”
— Chris Mason (@ByChrisMason) January 17, 2019
The only real question mark is who will close out games, as Boston and free agent reliever Craig Kimbrel are still miles apart in their negotiations. Fortunately the Red Sox have some quality arms in Matt Barnes and Ryan Brasier, and manager Alex Cora is likely to experiment with a closer-by-committee approach for much of the season.
Pick: Over 95.5 wins
Seattle Mariners (74.5 Wins)
You’ll have to excuse Mariners fans if they’re feeling a little glum. Seattle completely eviscerated their 89-win team during the winter by unloading All-Star reliever Edwin Diaz, All-Star second baseman Robinson Cano, All-Star infielder Jean Segura, All-Star pitcher Alex Colome, lefty ace James Paxton, and (pause for breath) hard-hitting cather Mike Zunino.
Fire sale in Seattle, get your favorite Mariner while it’s hot.
— Gavin Hite (@Coach_G_Hite) December 4, 2018
The last time we witnessed a fire sale of that magnitude was a year ago when the Marlins shipped off their starting outfield for a bunch of prospects and a rosin bag. The result was a 14-game swing as Miami went from 77-85 to 63-98. Expect a similar scenario in the Northwest this year, only with a lot more rain and a lot less palm trees.
Pick Under 74.5 wins
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