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Astros, Angels, or Yankees? Odds on Where Dallas Keuchel Pitches in 2019

Dallas Keuchel
Dallas Keuchel is one of the top free agents available this offseason. Photo by Keith Allison (flickr)
  • Dallas Keuchel is one of baseball’s most coveted free agents
  • Can the Astros afford to pay him?
  • Which contenders are looking for pitching?

Dallas Keuchel is on the verge of a huge payday.  The 2015 Cy Young Award winner is one of baseball’s most coveted free agents, and according to the odds, his days in Houston could be numbered.  Both the Angels and Yankees have the same odds as the Astros to sign Keuchel this off-season.

Odds on Where Dallas Keuchel Will Play in 2019

Where Will Dallas Keuchel Play in 2019? Odds
Houston Astros +230
Los Angeles Angels +230
New York Yankees +230
Los Angeles Dodgers +650
Philadelphia Phillies +650
San Francisco Giants +650

Houston, We Have a Problem

Keuchel’s resume suggests he’s worth a long term contract that exceeds $20 million a season, similar to the deals Jake Arrieta and Yu Darvish signed last offseason.  Houston, however, doesn’t appear ready to make that kind of commitment.

The Astros can afford the hefty price tag, but are more likely to spend big in the future on cornerstone players like Carlos Correa, George Springer, and Alex Bregman.

Bronx Bound?

The Yankees only have two starting pitchers penciled in for 2019.  They badly need an ace and a marriage to Keuchel makes sense.


Patrick Corbin is reportedly at the top of New York’s wish list, but he lacks the post-season pedigree of Keuchel, and owns a worse career winning percentage, ERA and WHIP.  The Yankees need is glaring and it wouldn’t come as a shock if they signed one or both.

The Angels are the Answer

The Angels pitching staff has been decimated by injuries and is missing a number one starter.  Given his history against LA, they should be eager to get Keuchel on their side.

Keuchel owns a lifetime 12-2 record against the Angels, and his high ground ball rate suits an LA defense that finished third in fielding percentage in 2018.  If you’re contemplating a bet on Keuchel’s future, look no further than the Angels.

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