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Astros vs Phillies Game 5 Player Props – Best Hit, Strikeout, and Home Run Over/Unders

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Updated Apr 11, 2023 · 4:09 PM PDT

Bryce Harper celebrates home run
Nov 1, 2022; Philadelphia, PA, USA; Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Bryce Harper (3) celebrates after his two-run home run against the Houston Astros during the first inning in game three of the 2022 World Series at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Ross-USA TODAY Sports
  • Astros vs Phillies player props are live for Game 5 of the World Series on Thursday
  • Can Bryce Harper record a hit? Will Noah Syndergaard fail to reach 2.5 strikeouts?
  • Check out all the available Phillies vs Astros player props below, plus analysis and bets to target

The World Series is now down to a best-of-5. This comes after the Astros used four pitchers to no-hit the Phillies in Game 4, en route to a 5-0 victory. Life theoretically won’t get any easier for the Philadelphia lineup on Thursday against AL Cy Young favorite Justin Verlander, although as we’ll discuss, his World Series resume isn’t exactly glowing.

That brings some of the Philly batters into to play in the Astros vs Phillies player props for tonight’s Game 5 matchup, starting with last year’s NL MVP Bryce Harper.

Astros vs Phillies Game 5 Player Props

Player 1+ Home Runs 1+ Hits 2+ Hits Pitcher Strikeouts
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) +320 -200 +270 N/A
Kyle Tucker (HOU) +390 -230 +240 N/A
Alex Bregman (HOU) +470 -190 +300 N/A
Jeremy Pena (HOU) +480 -290 +190 N/A
Jose Altuve (HOU) +500 -290 +170 N/A
Chas McCormick (HOU) +750 -165 +370 N/A
Yulieski Gurriel (HOU) +750 -240 +220 N/A
Justin Verlander (HOU) N/A N/A N/A 5.5 (-152o/+120u)
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) +300 -140 +450 N/A
Rhys Hoskins (PHI) +330 -140 +440 N/A
Bryce Harper (PHI) +330 -165 +370 N/A
Nick Castellanos (PHI) +390 -170 +350 N/A
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) +450 -185 +310 N/A
Jean Segura (PHI) +750 -165 +360 N/A
Alec Bohm (PHI) +750 -165 +360 N/A
Noah Syndergaard (PHI) N/A N/A N/A 2.5 (+102o/-128u)

Odds as of November 3 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Get the FanDuel promo code to bet on your Astros vs Phillies Game 5 props.

Harper currently boasts -165 odds to get a hit, which is the third shortest price of any Philadelphia batter. There’s an argument to be made those odds aren’t short enough given his scorching hot postseason and his track record against Verlander.

 

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Prop #1: Bryce Harper 1+ Hits

Harper obviously failed to record a hit in Game 4, but has not gone consecutive games without a hit all postseason. He’s hit safely in 12 of 15 games, compiling a team leading .368/.410/.789 slash line.

He’s had at least two hits in four of seven home games so far, and has 12 extra-base hits in 57 at-bats, including a playoff best six home runs.

Harper has faced Verlander eight times in his career, recording three hits. Speaking of Verlander, he coughed up six hits and five runs over 5 innings in Game 1, marking the second time in this year’s playoffs he’s allowed at least six hits. He sports a 7.20 ERA in three 2022 postseason starts, and is 0-6 lifetime in World Series outings.

Pick: Bryce Harper 1+ Hits (-165), 1 unit

Prop #2: Noah Syndergaard Under 2.5 Strikeouts

We’ve been targeting overs in the K market for Houston pitchers, but we’re going to switch it up tonight. That’s because Noah Syndergaard is starting for the Phillies, and we shouldn’t expect a lengthy outing.

Thor hasn’t thrown more than 35 pitches in a game in over a month. He’s been used primarily in a relief role, but even when he was starting consistently he wasn’t racking up big strikeout numbers.

Over his final seven regular season starts he struck out at least three hitters just four times. His K/9 rate was just 6.75 in 2022, which is 2.29 strikeouts lower than it’s ever been.

The Houston lineup meanwhile, stuck out at the second lowest rate in the Majors during the regular season, further reducing Syndergaard’s chances of a big strikeout performance.

Pick: Noah Syndergaard Under 2.5 Strikeouts (-128), 1 unit

Prop #3: Alex Bregman 1+ Home Runs

There were no home runs hit in Game 4, but given the pop of both of these lineups we shouldn’t expect a repeat performance in Game 5.

Houston and Philadelphia ranked fourth and sixth respectively this season in home runs, with each smacking over 200 dingers.

We successfully targeted Alex Bregman to go yard in Game 2, and we’re going back to the well in this spot. Bregman has hit three homers already this postseason, and ranks second on the Astros in slugging percentage and OPS.

Syndergaard doesn’t give up a ton of home runs, but it’s worth nothing he has been yielding plenty of hard contact this season. His 34% hard hit rate allowed is the second highest mark of his career, and those hard hit balls are going to eventually find their way out of the yard.

Pick: Alex Bregman 1+ Home Runs (+470), 0.25 units

 

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