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Astros vs Red Sox Best Player Props to Bet for Game 3 Including Over/Under Home Runs and Strikeouts

Sascha Paruk

by Sascha Paruk in MLB Baseball

Oct 18, 2021 · 9:24 AM PDT

Alex Bregman races out of the batters box
Houston Astros' Alex Bregman hits a two-run double against the Chicago White Sox in the fourth inning during Game 4 of a baseball American League Division Series Tuesday, Oct. 12, 2021, in Chicago. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
  • The Houston Astros travel to Fenway Park tonight for Game 3 of the ALCS against the Boston Red Sox
  • See the best pitcher and hitter props for Monday, Oct. 18
  • Sascha Paruk’s MLB player props record: +4.87 units (9-7 W/L record on picks)

The Houston Astros and Boston Red Sox head to Fenway Park deadlocked at 1-1 in the ALCS. Game 3 starts at 8:08 pm ET.

Houston starter Jose Urquidy (8-3, 3.62 ERA, 0.99 WHIP) will see his first action of the 2021 postseason. Eduardo Rodriguez (13-8, 4.74 ERA, 1.39 WHIP) gets the start for the home team.

The table below shows the main batter and pitcher props for Game 3 tonight, followed by best bets.

Astros vs Red Sox Game 3 Pitcher and Hitter Props

Player Home Run Hits RBI Pitcher Strikeouts Home Runs Allowed
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 (+500o/-900u) 0.5 (-280/+200u) 0.5 (+180/-250u) N/A N/A
Alex Verdugo (BOS) 0.5 (+650/1400u) 1.5 (-250/+180u) 0.5 (+180/-250u) N/A N/A
Carlos Correa (HOU) 0.5 (+550o/-1100u) 0.5 (-250/+180u) 0.5 (+180/-250u) N/A N/A
Enrique Hernandez (BOS) 0.5 (+350o/-600u) 0.5 (-200/+150) 0.5 (+180/-250u) N/A N/A
J.D. Martinez (BOS) 0.5 (+400o/-650u) 0.5 (-220o/-165u) 0.5 (+165o/-220u) N/A N/A
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 (+450o/-750u) 1.5 (+150o/-205u) 0.5 (+180/-250u) N/A N/A
 Kyle Schwarber (BOS) 0.5 (+245/-400u) 1.5 (+215o/-300u) 0.5 (+140o/-190u) N/A N/A
Michael Brantley (HOU) 0.5 (+1000o/-5000u) 1.5 (+165o/-220u) 0.5 (+215o/-300u) N/A N/A
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 (+300o/-450u) 1.5 (+180o/-250u) 0.5 (+140o/-190u) N/A N/A
Xander Bogaerts (BOS) 0.5 (+400o/-650u) 0.5 (-280/+200u) 0.5 (+160o/-215u) N/A N/A
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 (+400o/-650u) 0.5 (-250/+180u) 0.5 (+160o/-215u) N/A N/A
Yuli Gurriel (HOU) O 0.5 (+750o/-2000u) 0.5 (-250/+180u) 0.5 (+200o/-280u) N/A N/A
Eduardo Rodriguez (BOS) N/A N/A N/A 3.5 (-120o/-110u) 0.5 (+140o/-190u)
Jose Urquidy (HOU) N/A N/A N/A 3.5 (-105o/-125u) 0.5 (-160o/+120u)

Odds as of October 18th at DraftKings.

Bregman Hammers Rodriguez

The first bet that stands out is over 0.5 RBI for Alex Bregman at +180 odds. Hitting in the #3 hole, Bregman should have multiple chances with players on base, and his history against Boston starter Eduardo Rodriguez is extremely encouraging. He is 5-for-12 (.417 average) with two home runs, a double, and three RBI. The price is right for Bregman driving in a run.

That said, Rodriguez going over 3.5 strikeouts is also a decent play. His 10.6 K/9 in the regular season was a career-best. The Astros hitters were the best in the majors at not striking out this year (again), but this number is still achievable.

The number for Rodrigues giving up at least one home run (+140) will look very tempting. But the 28-year-old hasn’t given up a long ball in six seven starts (28 innings).

Picks: Bregman over 0.5 RBI (+180); Rodriguez over 3.5 strikeouts (-120); risk 1.0 unit for both

Urquidy Is a Wild Card

Jose Urquidy hasn’t pitched in the postseason yet. He had a solid if not spectacular regular season, going 8-3 with a 3.62 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 20 starts. He only averaged 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings, but did manage to fan nine Boston hitters the last time he faced the Red Sox (May 31st).

Like his Boston counterpart, Urquidy’s strikeout over/under is at just 3.5. With the teams set to play three straight days at Fenway, both managers will look for a little distance out of the starters tonight. I expect them to have the chance to work out of trouble more than most pitchers get in an LCS game.

Pick: Urquidy over 3.5 strikeouts (-105); risk 1.0 unit

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