Skip to content

Home Run Props to Bet Today – Target This +2690 HR Parlay on Thursday, May 22nd

John Hyslop

By John Hyslop in MLB Baseball

Published:


May 21, 2025; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Seattle Mariners catcher Cal Raleigh (29) is greeted in the dugout after hitting a home run against the Chicago White Sox during the sixth inning at Rate Field. Mandatory Credit: David Banks-Imagn Images
  • Bad news, we don’t have many games on the docket in the MLB on Thursday, May 22
  • Good news, we only have to find two guys that we know are definitely hitting home runs today
  • See below for my +2690 home run parlay today (May 22nd)

Even though we only have nine games on the MLB slate Thursday, we need to get loose. We just smashed a home run bet on Ketel Marte, so we’re hot on the streets right now. We need to keep that fire going into Friday, which means we need to get loose today. That’s just how the days of the week work. Lucky for us, nine games is plenty of action. We’ve done more with less. We’re built for this. To make things easier, we’ve got a few known turkey tossers on the bump tonight. They’ll pitch in wherever they can. I’m thinking a little two-leg Thrilly is all we really need. Feels right.

Please remember to play both legs straight for a 1/4 unit as well as a 1/4 unit two-leg parlay.

MLB Home Run Parlay Today (May 22)

PickOdds
Riley Greene HR+520
Cal Raleigh HR+350
Two-Leg Parlay+2690

Altogether, the two legs of today’s home run parlay generate +2652 odds at FanDuel, meaning a $100 bet would profit $2652 if both legs hit.

CAESARS SPORTSBOOK


Bet $1 & Double Your Winnings On Your First 10 Bets!

LOCK IN PROMO
CODE: SBD2DYW
CODE: SBD2DYW
SIGNUP PROMO
DOUBLE YOUR
WINNINGS

ON YOUR FIRST 10 BETS!

CLAIM OFFER
MLB odds as of May 21 at FanDuel. Check out SBD’s take on the best betting app for MLB.

Thursday HR Parlay Leg #1 – Riley Greene to Hit a Home Run

We’re going to Detroit for the first leg of this thing. I know the haters will tell us that it is not a “home run” park, but as usual, the haters have no idea what they’re talking about. If Riley Greene is standing on a baseball field, with a bat in his hands, it’s officially a home run park. Everyone should be aware of that by now.

To make things even easier, just take a look at what he does to Tanner Bibee’s pitch mix. It’s borderline illegal.

PitchGreene Hard-Hit Rate vs RHP (L30 Days)Bibee Hard-Hit Rate vs RHB (2025)
Four-seam Fastball31%62%
Cutter50%62%

Here’s a little fact: if a guy like Greene barrels a ball, it’s clearing fences no matter where the game is being played. What’s cool about it is that, since we’re in Detroit, we’ll get a price bump as well. I know the pitcher vs batter bros are going to say Greene has never hit a dinger off Bibee, but whatever. Greene is as hot as he’s ever been at the plate, and Bibee has a 12% barrel rate to lefties this season. A Riley Greene home run is inevitable. Feels right.

  • The Bet: Riley Greene to Hit a Home Run (+525) – BetMGM
Sports betting odds boosts ad

Home Run Parlay Leg #2 – Cal Raleigh to Hit a Home Run

We’re going to need an absolute slugger waiting for us once Greene homers. I’m guessing Greene goes deep at around 7:01 pm ET so we’ll have to wait a little bit. The last thing we want to wait on is a soft-hitting shortstop type. We need a big thumper with a big dumper.

Look no further than Cal Raleigh and then look at what he does to what he’ll see tonight.

PitchRaleigh Barrel Rate vs RHP (2025)McCullers Hard-Hit Rate vs LHB (2025)
Changeup15%42%
Four-seam Fastball12%100%

This is as much about Cal as it is Lance McCullers. He’s finally back now, but he’s just not the same. The guy is getting smoked every time he puts on his uniform, and it’s kind of sad. I’m rooting for him, but it’s not looking good. The man has a 15% barrel rate to lefties this season. Those are Little League numbers. I don’t even want to know what Cal would do to this guy with a metal bat. One thing I do know is, he’s putting one in the seats tonight. Feels easy.

  • The Bet: Cal Raleigh to Hit a Home Run (+350) – FanDuel
John Hyslop

John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it.

NFL NBA MLB NCAAF NCAAB

Recommended Reading