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Braves vs Astros World Series Game 6 Odds, Picks, and Probable Pitchers

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Nov 1, 2021 · 5:54 AM PDT

Carlos Correa and Jose Altuve celebrate a win
Houston Astros shortstop Carlos Correa, and second baseman Jose Altuve celebrate their win in Game 5 of baseball's World Series between the Houston Astros and the Atlanta Braves Monday, Nov. 1, 2021, in Atlanta. The Astros won 9-5. The Braves lead the series 3-2 games. (AP Photo/David J. Phillip)
  • The Houston Astros host the Atlanta Braves in Game 6 of the World Series on Tuesday (November 2nd, 8:10 pm ET)
  • Houston will give the ball to Luis Garcia (1-2, 7.62 ERA) on three day’s rest, while Atlanta will counter with Max Fried (1-2, 5.40 ERA)
  • Read below for odds, analysis and a betting prediction

The World Series is heading back to Houston. The Astros stayed alive on Sunday night in Atlanta, handing the Braves a 9-5 defeat, while becoming the first visiting team to win at Truist Park this postseason.

Atlanta still leads the best-of-seven series 3-2, with Game 6 scheduled for Tuesday (November 2nd).

Braves vs Astros Game 6 Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Atlanta Braves +100 -1.5 (+158) O 8.5 (-110)
Houston Astros -118 +1.5 (-192) U 8.5 (-110)

Odds as of Nov. 1st at FanDuel.

 

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The Astros opened up as a -118 moneyline favorite, in a game that features a total of 8.5. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm ET at Minute Maid Park, with a beautiful evening for baseball on deck. The forecast currently calls for clear skies, and 64 degree night time temperatures.

Probable Pitchers

Houston will hand the ball to 24-year-old Luis Garcia, who’ll get the nod on just three days rest. Jose Urquidy was expected take the mound for the Astros, but wound up pitching an inning of relief in Sunday’s win.

Garcia, like most of Houston’s starters, has had a rocky playoffs to date, lasting less than 4 innings in three of five starts. He took the loss in Atlanta in Game 3, surrendering three hits, a run, and a season-high four walks, in just 3.2 innings of work.

His control has been a major issue throughout the playoffs, as he’s allowed 11 hits, 11 walks, and 11 runs in 13 innings so far. The Braves were one of the most patient teams in the NL during the regular season, averaging 3.4 walks per outing, and you can bet they’re going to force Garcia to consistently go deep into the count.

Fried vs Garcia 2021 Playoff Stats

Max Fried
VS
Luis Garcia
1-2 Record 1-2
5.40 ERA 7.62
1.34 WHIP 1.69
.292 OBA .216
7.6 SO/W Ratio 1.6

Atlanta will counter with Max Fried, who’s been shelled in back-to-back playoff outings. He was hit hard in Game 5 of the NLCS, yielding eight hits and five runs to the LA Dodgers, and followed that outing up with another disappointing effort in Game 2 of this series.

The Astros tagged him for seven hits and six runs last Wednesday, crossing the plate five times in the first two innings. Houston didn’t rack up big extra-base hit totals like they normally do, instead playing small ball to manufacture their runs.

2021 World Series Batting Average

Braves Batters Batting Average Astros Batters Batting Average
Ozzie Albies .167 Jose Altuve .217
Austin Riley .381 Yordan Alvarez .063
Eddie Rosario .278 Michael Brantley .300
Dansby Swanson .188 Alex Bregman .111
Adam Duvall .200 Martin Maldonado .200
Freddie Freeman .278 Carlos Correa .263
Travis d’Arnaud .350 Kyle Tucker .333
Jorge Soler .294 Yuli Gurriel .333

The Astros put up a series-high nine runs and 12 hits in Game 5, erasing a 4-0 lead en route to victory. The effort was led by Carlos Correa and Yuli Gurriel, who each cranked three hits and combined to drive in three runs, while Martin Maldonado had 3 RBI of his own.

Braves vs Astros Pick

Teams who jump out to a 3-1 lead in the World Series have gone on to win the title 40 of 46 times, so history is still on Atlanta’s side. With a favorable matchup against Garcia on deck, the Braves should be able to produce enough runs on Tuesday to seal the deal.

The extra day of rest will be especially beneficial to the Atlanta bullpen, as it has been worked to the bone during this series. Braves relievers have thrown 32.1 innings through five games, but should be ready to go should Fried falter.

Yes, the 27-year-old has struggled in his past two outings, but this was one of Atlanta’s most reliable starters during the regular season and in his first two postseason starts. He limited the Milwaukee Brewers and Dodgers to only two runs over his first 12 playoff innings, after surrendering two runs or less in 10 of his final 12 regular season outings. I’m willing to bet Fried reverts back to that form in Game 6, and helps Atlanta wrap-up its first World Series title since 1995.

Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline (+100)

 

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