Braves vs Astros World Series Game 6 Odds, Picks, and Probable Pitchers
- The Houston Astros host the Atlanta Braves in Game 6 of the World Series on Tuesday (November 2nd, 8:10 pm ET)
- Houston will give the ball to Luis Garcia (1-2, 7.62 ERA) on three day’s rest, while Atlanta will counter with Max Fried (1-2, 5.40 ERA)
- Read below for odds, analysis and a betting prediction
The World Series is heading back to Houston. The Astros stayed alive on Sunday night in Atlanta, handing the Braves a 9-5 defeat, while becoming the first visiting team to win at Truist Park this postseason.
Atlanta still leads the best-of-seven series 3-2, with Game 6 scheduled for Tuesday (November 2nd).
Braves vs Astros Game 6 Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | +100 | -1.5 (+158) | O 8.5 (-110) |
| Houston Astros | -118 | +1.5 (-192) | U 8.5 (-110) |
Odds as of Nov. 1st at FanDuel.
The Astros opened up as a -118 moneyline favorite, in a game that features a total of 8.5. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm ET at Minute Maid Park, with a beautiful evening for baseball on deck. The forecast currently calls for clear skies, and 64 degree night time temperatures.
Probable Pitchers
Houston will hand the ball to 24-year-old Luis Garcia, who’ll get the nod on just three days rest. Jose Urquidy was expected take the mound for the Astros, but wound up pitching an inning of relief in Sunday’s win.
Garcia, like most of Houston’s starters, has had a rocky playoffs to date, lasting less than 4 innings in three of five starts. He took the loss in Atlanta in Game 3, surrendering three hits, a run, and a season-high four walks, in just 3.2 innings of work.
The teams have alternated being in a starting pitching bind. The Astros are in one now, and Dusty Baker told @Ken_Rosenthal on Fox that after using Urquidy in Game 5 they likely have to go to rookie Luis Garcia on short rest in Game 6.
— Jon Heyman (@JonHeyman) November 1, 2021
His control has been a major issue throughout the playoffs, as he’s allowed 11 hits, 11 walks, and 11 runs in 13 innings so far. The Braves were one of the most patient teams in the NL during the regular season, averaging 3.4 walks per outing, and you can bet they’re going to force Garcia to consistently go deep into the count.
Fried vs Garcia 2021 Playoff Stats
| 1-2 | Record | 1-2 |
| 5.40 | ERA | 7.62 |
| 1.34 | WHIP | 1.69 |
| .292 | OBA | .216 |
| 7.6 | SO/W Ratio | 1.6 |
Atlanta will counter with Max Fried, who’s been shelled in back-to-back playoff outings. He was hit hard in Game 5 of the NLCS, yielding eight hits and five runs to the LA Dodgers, and followed that outing up with another disappointing effort in Game 2 of this series.
Expectations for Max Fried and Luis Garcia in Game 6? ✍️#WorldSeries pic.twitter.com/nMoLWB5QjP
— Bally Sports South (@BallySportsSO) November 1, 2021
The Astros tagged him for seven hits and six runs last Wednesday, crossing the plate five times in the first two innings. Houston didn’t rack up big extra-base hit totals like they normally do, instead playing small ball to manufacture their runs.
2021 World Series Batting Average
| Braves Batters | Batting Average | Astros Batters | Batting Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ozzie Albies | .167 | Jose Altuve | .217 |
| Austin Riley | .381 | Yordan Alvarez | .063 |
| Eddie Rosario | .278 | Michael Brantley | .300 |
| Dansby Swanson | .188 | Alex Bregman | .111 |
| Adam Duvall | .200 | Martin Maldonado | .200 |
| Freddie Freeman | .278 | Carlos Correa | .263 |
| Travis d’Arnaud | .350 | Kyle Tucker | .333 |
| Jorge Soler | .294 | Yuli Gurriel | .333 |
The Astros put up a series-high nine runs and 12 hits in Game 5, erasing a 4-0 lead en route to victory. The effort was led by Carlos Correa and Yuli Gurriel, who each cranked three hits and combined to drive in three runs, while Martin Maldonado had 3 RBI of his own.
Braves vs Astros Pick
Teams who jump out to a 3-1 lead in the World Series have gone on to win the title 40 of 46 times, so history is still on Atlanta’s side. With a favorable matchup against Garcia on deck, the Braves should be able to produce enough runs on Tuesday to seal the deal.
The extra day of rest will be especially beneficial to the Atlanta bullpen, as it has been worked to the bone during this series. Braves relievers have thrown 32.1 innings through five games, but should be ready to go should Fried falter.
Yes, the 27-year-old has struggled in his past two outings, but this was one of Atlanta’s most reliable starters during the regular season and in his first two postseason starts. He limited the Milwaukee Brewers and Dodgers to only two runs over his first 12 playoff innings, after surrendering two runs or less in 10 of his final 12 regular season outings. I’m willing to bet Fried reverts back to that form in Game 6, and helps Atlanta wrap-up its first World Series title since 1995.
Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline (+100)
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
