Brewers vs Dodgers Picks, Player Props & Betting Lines (Game 3)

By Sascha Paruk in MLB Baseball
Published:

- The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Milwaukee Brewers in Game 3 of the NLCS
- Right-hander Tyler Glasnow gets the ball for the Dodgers, while the Brewers have yet to name a starting pitcher
- See my Brewers vs Dodgers picks and predictions, plus player props and the latest Game 3 odds
Already up 2-0 after a sweep in Wisconsin, the Los Angeles Dodgers (93-69, 52-29 home) can put the Milwaukee Brewers (97-65, 45-36 away) on the brink of elimination in Game 3 of the NLCS on Thursday night when the series shifts west to Chavez Ravine. First pitch is scheduled for 3:08 pm PT at Dodger Stadium.
The Dodgers will send hard-throwing right-hander Tyler Glasnow (3.19 ERA, 1.10 WHIP in the regular season) to the mound, while the Brewers have yet to name a starter and will likely go with a bullpen game.
Below, I have set out my favorite Brewers vs Dodgers picks for Game 3, plus a huge list of player props, and the latest MIL/LAD odds.
Game 3 Dodgers vs Brewers Picks & Prediction
- Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+119)
- Under 8.0 runs (-115)
The Dodgers are in a commanding position, and all signs point to them continuing their march toward the World Series in Game 3. The pitching matchup is overwhelmingly in their favor. Tyler Glasnow has not only been one of the league’s top arms but has utterly dismantled this Brewers lineup in past encounters. The fact that Milwaukee’s key hitters, Christian Yelich and William Contreras, are a combined 1-for-23 against him cannot be overstated.
With the Brewers unable to name a starter, likely indicating a taxing bullpen game, the Dodgers’ potent offense should have ample opportunities to score runs at home.
Several betting trends support a Dodger victory. Los Angeles is 8-1 in their last nine playoff games and an incredible 12-1 in their last 13 against teams with a winning record. Conversely, the Brewers have been abysmal on the road against quality opponents, posting a 1-8 record in their last nine.
The under has cashed in each of the Brewers’ last four games. While the Dodgers’ offense is explosive, Glasnow’s dominance should keep the Brewers’ run total at a minimum, making the under a strong play. Back the Dodgers to take a 3-0 series lead with a comfortable, multi-run victory.
Dodgers vs Brewers Game 3 Player Props
MLB player props as of October 16 at FanDuel.
Given the Brewers’ historical struggles against Tyler Glasnow, his strikeout prop presents intriguing value. The over on 6.5 strikeouts is priced at +128, a tempting number for a pitcher who has punched out 26 Milwaukee hitters in just 71 career at-bats (36.6% K-rate).
With the Brewers’ offense scuffling, Glasnow has a prime opportunity to mow down hitters and exceed this total.
Milwaukee Brewers Career Statistics vs Tyler Glasnow
The historical data reveals a nightmare matchup for the Brewers. The lineup has collectively hit just .141 against Glasnow with a paltry .510 OPS. Key offensive leaders Christian Yelich and William Contreras are a combined 1-for-23 with ten strikeouts, highlighting their struggles against Glasnow’s overpowering arsenal. This history suggests Milwaukee’s offensive woes are likely to continue in Game 3.
Los Angeles Dodgers Batters vs TBD
The Brewers have not yet announced a starting pitcher for this critical game. With top starters Brandon Woodruff and Jordan Montgomery on the injured list, Milwaukee will likely turn to another bullpen game. This uncertainty makes it difficult to analyze specific batter-pitcher matchups. However, the Dodgers’ deep and versatile lineup, which boasts a .785 OPS this postseason and a 113 wRC+ at home in the regular season (second-best in MLB), is well-equipped to handle any pitcher.
With a potent blend of left-handed power from Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman, and right-handed threats like Mookie Betts and Teoscar Hernández, the Dodgers’ offense presents a relentless challenge from top to bottom.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers Odds
The Dodgers are sizable favorites, listed at -190 at bet365 and even shorter elsewhere. The Brewers are as long as +162 at DraftKings, and as long as -130 to keep the score within a run.
The run total ranges from 7.5 to 8.0. Under bettors can get U 8.0 (-119) at DraftKings, while over bettors should take 7.5 (-120) at bet365.
Without the juice, the moneyline odds give the Dodgers a 63.0% implied win probability, compared to just 37.0% for the Brewers.
Odds commentary as of 10:57 am ET. The lines in the table will update automatically with the best-available price for each market if the MLB odds move before game time.
Game 3 Odds Movement
The betting market has shown steady confidence in the home team since the lines opened. The Dodgers’ moneyline has shifted from -174 to its current -190, indicating that early money has backed Los Angeles to continue its postseason dominance. Similarly, the runline has seen the juice on the Brewers +1.5 move from -144 to -132, while the Dodgers -1.5 has shifted from +120 to +110. The total has remained firm at 7.5 runs at most sportsbooks, with only minor adjustments to the juice.
Public Betting Splits for Brewers vs Dodgers Game 3
The MLB public betting splits reveal a fascinating divide. While the betting line has moved in favor of the Dodgers, a slight majority of moneyline tickets (52.3%) are on Milwaukee. More significantly, 69.7% of the moneyline handle is backing the Brewers, suggesting that large, sharp wagers are on the underdog to pull off the upset. This creates a classic “sharps-vs-squares” dynamic against the visible line movement.
However, on the runline, both the wagers (60.8% of bets) and handle (77.1% of money) are aligned on the Dodgers -1.5.
For the total, there is a heavy consensus on the over, with 71.5% of bets and 73.1% of the money expecting a high-scoring game. This contradicts the strong recent trend of Brewers’ playoff games going under, presenting a potential contrarian opportunity for bettors who trust the data over public sentiment.

Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.