Capitals vs Maple Leafs Prediction, Prop Bets, Odds & Start Time (Wednesday, April 8)
By Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey
Published:
- The Capitals are -150 road chalk for Wednesday’s tilt at Scotiabank Arena
- The Capitals can match their longest active win streak against any opponent with a fifth straight over Toronto
- Read below for my Capitals vs Maple Leafs prediction, prop bets, odds and start time
The Washington Capitals (39-30-9) head to Toronto on Wednesday looking to put Sunday’s 8-1 loss to the Rangers behind them and stay alive in the NHL playoff odds. The Caps are -150 on the road, even after that ugly result.
The Maple Leafs (32-31-14) are playing out the string after being eliminated last week, ending a nine-year playoff streak. Toronto is missing Auston Matthews (knee) and Chris Tanev (core surgery), but Matthew Knies dropped a four-point night Saturday, and John Tavares hit his 30th of the year.
Puck drop is set for 7:30 pm ET. Here’s how I’m betting it.
Capitals vs Maple Leafs Prediction
- Total bet: Over 6.5 Goals (-110 at DraftKings)
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I’m taking the over for my Capitals vs Maple Leafs prediction. Washington has cleared 6.5 goals in six straight and four straight on the road. Toronto matches that pace at home, hitting the over in four of their last five at Scotiabank Arena.
Both clubs are stinging from blowout losses, which usually leads to wide-open hockey the next time out.
The NHL playoff standings tell the bigger story too. Toronto’s nine-year playoff streak is ending, and Washington is fighting for its life, so motivation is going to be wildly different on each bench.
Capitals vs Maple Leafs Key Stats
Toronto is bleeding 32.23 shots against per game, well above Washington’s 28.27. Stolarz has been shaky with a 3.29 GAA and .892 save percentage. He’s also playing behind a Leafs blueline that ranks 31st in the league in points production and is on pace for the worst defensive scoring season in 30 years.
Capitals vs Maple Leafs Prop Bets
I’ve come up with three Capitals vs. Maple Leafs prop bets, mixing two shot-volume plays with one fade on a quiet Washington forward.
- Morgan Rielly Over 1.5 Shots on Goal (-108 at Bet365)
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I’m starting my Capitals vs Maple Leafs prop bets with Morgan Rielly to clear his shots total. Rielly has gone over 1.5 shots in five straight against Washington, averaging 2.8 per game.
With Tanev out, he’s being leaned on even more to drive play from the back end.
- Pierre-Luc Dubois Under 1.5 Shots on Goal (-110 at Caesars)
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Dubois has been a complete ghost in the offensive zone. He’s stayed under 1.5 shots in 13 of his last 15 games, averaging just 0.93 per contest.
He’s slotted on the Caps’ third line in a checking role, and standard juice on a trend cashing at 87% is solid value.
- William Nylander Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-148 at FanDuel)
My final Capitals vs Maple Leafs prop bet is on William Nylander to fire on net in a bounce-back spot. He’s gone over 2.5 shots in four of his last five games following a loss, averaging 4.4 per game.
Without Matthews in the lineup, Nylander is the focal point of the Toronto attack every night.
Capitals vs Maple Leafs Odds
The interactive widget above will update automatically as the Capitals vs Maple Leafs odds move throughout the day.
Washington is -150 at BetMGM and Toronto is +135 at the ScoreBet. The puck line has WSH -1.5 at +160 (the ScoreBet) and TOR +1.5 at -178 (Caesars). The total is 6.5, with the over at -110 on DraftKings and the under -105 at Caesars.
The Caps being installed as -150 chalk one game after an 8-1 loss tells you how much the books trust them here. Washington has won four straight against Toronto and is averaging 3.80 goals per game in that run.
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Capitals vs Maple Leafs Start Time
Wednesday’s matchup between the Capitals and Maple Leafs starts at 7:30 pm ET / 4:30 pm PT from Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. The game can be watched on Sportsnet in Canada and on TNT and Monumental Sports Network in the United States.
Tom Wilson is one goal and one assist shy of his second career 30/30 season, while Tavares already locked his up Saturday. Both should be in line for power play minutes against thin opposition.
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Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.