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Home Run Props to Bet Today – Get a +19021 HR Parlay on Monday, May 19th

John Hyslop

By John Hyslop in MLB Baseball

Published:


May 18, 2025; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago Cubs outfielder Pete Crow-Armstrong (4) reacts after hitting a one run double against the Chicago White Sox during the sixth inning at Wrigley Field. Mandatory Credit: David Banks-Imagn Images
  • It’s back-to-work time for us in the MLB on Monday, May 19
  • The smartest thing we can do on a day like today is hit every bet we make
  • See below for my +19021 home run parlay today (May 19th)

We need to come out swinging this week. It’s time. We’ve played around with these home run gods for weeks now and it’s finally time we start stuffing cash in our pockets. It just is. Now I know Mondays aren’t the best days for home runs, but if we’re being honest, that’s why it’s the best day. The books will never see us coming. Luckily for us, I’ve already gone through every matchup on the board and considered every possible thing that could possibly happen. So if there is anyone who knows who is hitting dingers tonight, it’s me. What’s even better is that I’m not keeping anything to myself. I wrote an entire article that’s free for everyone on the planet to read. Feels right.

Please remember to play all three legs straight for a 1/4 unit as well as a 1/4 unit two-leg parlay.

MLB Home Run Parlay Today (May 19)

PickOdds
Pete Crow-Armstrong HR+440
Christian Walker HR+340
Jake Bauers HR+520
Three-Leg Parlay+19021

MLB odds as of May 19 at FanDuel. Check out SBD’s list of the top sports betting apps.

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CLAIM OFFER

Monday HR Parlay Leg #1 – Pete Crow-Armstrong to Hit a Home Run

I know what the haters are saying, “Slop, we never bet on this guy.” They’re right, we rarely do, but all that is behind us now. We’re betting on PCA now. Sometimes in life, we need to reevaluate our choices, and if we’re being honest, not betting on PCA was a bad idea on our part. Takes a big man to admit that.

Just look at what this guy does to the pitch mix he’ll see tonight.

PitchCrow-Armstrong Hard Hit Rate vs RHP (L30 Days)Cabrera ISO vs LHB (2025)
Sinker67%54%
Changeup47%88%

Pete is going to see Edward Cabrera tonight, who has given up one home run in every game he started except one this season. Righties, lefties, doesn’t matter. Somebody is hitting a dinger off of this guy. My guess is, Pete is going to sneak attack him in the very first at-bat of the game. It’s the best time to do it since some guys don’t even know the game has started. Feels easy.

  • The Bet: Pete Crow-Armstrong to Hit a Home Run (+525) – BetMGM
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Home Run Parlay Leg #2 – Christian Walker to Hit a Home Run

Following a guy that we never really play with, another guy we never really play is a move that has to work. How on Earth will the books ever see that coming? Short answer: they won’t. There’s really no way they could when you think about it.

What makes this whole thing smart is the fact that Christian Walker smashes the Ryan Pepiot arsenal.

PitchWalker Barrel Rate vs RHP (L30 Days)Pepiot Hard Hit Rate vs RHB (2025)
Four-seam Fastball21%73%
Slider11%36%

I’m a Ryan Pepiot guy, always have been, but my man is giving up dingers this season. It’s noticeable. We’re talking nine in 50 innings of work this season. Now he has cleaned up a little recently, but just last game, he got smacked over the fence by Alejandro Kirk. At the end of the day, Pepiot has problems with righties, and Christian Walker is a righty. I don’t know how this could possibly go wrong. Feels right.

  • The Bet: Christian Walker to Hit a Home Run (+340) – FanDuel

Monday HR Parlay Leg #3 – Jake Bauers to Hit a Home Run

This is where things get wild. Like real wild. For starters, we don’t even know if Jake Bauers will start tonight. The thing is, I’m 99.9% sure he’ll be in the Milwaukee Brewers lineup. Some of the fantasy apps have him in, and some have him out.

Once I saw what he does to the Dean Kremer pitch mix, I can’t imagine the Brewers keeping him out. It just wouldn’t make sense.

PitchBauers Barrel Rate vs RHP (L30 Days)Kremer Hard Hit Rate vs LHB (2025)
Four-seam Fastball14%63%
Curveball50%60%

I’m not the biggest batter versus pitcher guy, but sometimes we just have to recognize greatness. Our guy, Bauers, just has Kremer’s number. He’s only seen him nine times, but he’s got three extra base hits off of him in those nine at-bats. Two of those balls hit the seats. On top of all that, Bauers is raking at the moment as well, so he’s in good form. All signs point to a moonshot by Bauers tonight. Frankly, there’s nothing that can stop it. Feels easy.

  • The Bet: Jake Bauers to Hit a Home Run (+525) – BetMGM
  • SBD 3-Man HR Strategy Results: -9.463 Units
John Hyslop

John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it.

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