Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers Player Props, Picks & Updated Odds for Game 1

• The Dodgers turn to ace Blake Snell in Game 1 of the NLCS against Aaron Ashby and the Brewers
• Milwaukee hasn’t lost to LAD all season (6-0) but are sizable home underdogs on Monday night
• See the Dodgers vs Brewer player props, expert picks, batter-vs-pitcher history, and latest odds

The Milwaukee Brewers (100-67, 55-29 home) went 6-0 against the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-70, 43-40 away) in the regular season and have home-field advantage to start their best-of-seven NLCS. But with LA sending Blake Snell (2.35 ERA, 1.26 WHIP) to the mound against reliever Aaron Ashby (2.16 ERA, 1.17 WHIP) for Milwaukee, the visitors are priced as sizable favorites in Monday’s MLB odds.

First pitch is scheduled for 7:08 pm CT/8:08 pm ET at American Family Field in Milwaukee. Below, I have set out a full list of LAD/MIL Game 1 player props, the relevant pitcher-vs-batter stats, my Dodgers vs Brewers picks, and the latest odds for Game 1.

Go to: Player Props || Pitcher-vs-Batter History || Expert Picks || Latest Odds

Dodgers vs Brewers Game 1 Player Props

MLB player props as of October 13 at FanDuel and DraftKings.

Blake Snell’s strikeout line of 6.5 is a focal point. He is an elite strikeout pitcher and has made the Brewers miss at an alarming rate (14 Ks in 33 ABs), but the Milwaukee offense has been great at making contract all season. His earned-runs line is set at just 1.5, showing immense respect for his current form. Given that the Brewers scored just four runs in three games against the Dodgers in Milwaukee this year, the under 1.5 at -109 offers reasonable value.

On the batter side, Christian Yelich faces a tough matchup against a fellow lefty in Snell. His hits prop (0.5) is low but you can get decent plus-money on the under (+113).

Shohei Ohtani’s total bases line is set at 1.5 with nearly even odds. Against a parade of Brewers relievers, he’ll have multiple opportunities to connect for extra bases.

Starting Pitcher-vs-Batter History: Snell vs Ashby

There is minimal history between the starting pitchers and the opposing lineup. The Brewers have just 33 total at-bats against Blake Snell, while the Dodgers have 24 ABs against Aaron Ashby.

Milwaukee Brewers Batters vs Blake Snell

Snell has limited the Brewer hitters to a paltry .475 OPS in 33 ABs. No one has taken him deep and William Contreras has the only RBI. Snell has racked up 14 Ks in those 33 at-bats, an elite 42.4% K-rate.

Despite the lefty-on-lefty matchup, Christian Yelich is a solid 2-for-6 against Snell, but both hits were singles and he’s also struck out twice.

Los Angeles Dodgers Batters vs Aaron Ashby

The Dodger lineup has a much better history against Ashby, albeit in a very limited sample size, piling up a .842 OPS in 24 at-bats. No one has taken Ashby out of the park, though, and Tommy Edman has the lone double.

LA Dodgers vs MIL Brewers Picks & Prediction for Game 1

• Milwaukee Brewers moneyline (+130)
• Under 8.0 runs (-122)
• Contreras over 0.5 RBI (+213)

While Blake Snell has been nearly untouchable this postseason ( ERA, WHIP in IP), the value in this matchup lies with the home underdog. The Brewers have demonstrated a clear ability to solve the Dodgers, winning all six of their head-to-head encounters this season. That psychological edge, combined with their outstanding performance at American Family Field all season (52-29 in the regular season plus 3-0 in the NLDS against the Cubs), cannot be overlooked. Milwaukee is 4-1 in its last five games as a home underdog and has won its last four home games against teams with a winning record.

The core of this pick revolves around Milwaukee’s bullpen advantage. If the Dodgers don’t score early against Ashby, the Brewers will be able to deploy several high-leverage relievers to slam the door shut. The Dodgers have made contact against Ashby, but haven’t generated any power (one double, no home runs in 24 ABs).

The Dodgers’ bullpen, meanwhile, is their clear weakness, a fact that will be magnified in the high-stakes environment of the NLCS. Los Angeles has been red-hot, winning 10 of their last 11 games and seven straight on the road. However, none of those wins came against the team that has become their kryptonite. At significant plus-money, backing the team with the proven formula for success in this specific matchup is the sharp play. The under 7.5 also holds strong appeal, given the line movement and Snell’s presence.

Latest MIL Brewers vs LA Dodgers Odds (Game 1)

The Dodgers are currently -150 road favorites at BetMGM (and slightly shorter elsewhere) while the Brewers are as long as +130 at bet365. The total is set at 7.5 at most books, though bettors can find a juice 8.0 at BetRivers (-122 under).

The betting lines have seen significant movement, particularly on the total. The game total opened at 8.5 runs but has been bet down a full run to 7.5. This sharp downward shift, with the 0ver odds moving from +100 to -120, suggests that while public bettors may be expecting runs, sharp money has come in heavily on the under, respecting the quality of pitching in this playoff matchup. The moneyline has seen less dramatic movement, with the Dodgers opening around -154 and settling around -152 on average, indicating a stable market that gives a clear edge to the visitors with Snell on the bump.

Game 1 Public Betting Splits: Dodgers vs Brewers

Monday’s MLB public betting data reveals a significant split between the general public and what appears to be sharper money. The public is backing the star power of the Los Angeles Dodgers, with 54% of moneyline tickets placed on the road favorites. Likewise, 66% of bets on the total are on the over 7.5 runs.

However, a sharp-money indicator shows a 14.62% higher stake percentage on the Milwaukee Brewers, suggesting that larger, more sophisticated wagers are backing the home underdog. This divergence is a classic “sharps-vs-public” scenario. The heavy public lean on the over has also failed to stop the total from dropping a full run from 8.5 to 7.5, another strong signal that professional bettors are anticipating a low-scoring pitcher’s duel.

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