Mariners vs Blue Jays Game 2 Picks & Odds

By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:

- The Blue Jays are -159 home favorites over the Mariners on Saturday in Game 2 of their AL wild card series
- Lefty Robbie Ray (12-12, 3.71) will pitch for the Mariners against the Blue Jays’ Kevin Gausman (12-10, 3.35)
- A look at the odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction
The visiting Seattle Mariners will try to close out the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 2 of their American League wild card series at 4:07 p.m. ET Saturday at Rogers Centre.
The Mariners (91-72/45-37 road) won 4-0 in Game 1 on Friday for their fifth straight victory and eighth in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays (92-71/47-35 home) have lost two of their last three games following a four-game winning streak.
Mariners vs Blue Jays Odds
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Seattle Mariners | +138 | +1.5 (-167) | Over 7.5 (-104) |
Toronto Blue Jays | -159 | -1.5 (+135) | Over 7 (-115) |
“Odds as of October 8th at Barstool Sportsbook. Claim the Barstool Sportsbook promo code.
The Blue Jays are -159 favorites, giving them an implied win probability of 61.39% while the Mariners have a 42.02% implied win probability as +138 underdog. In the World Series odds, Toronto is listed at +1300 and Seattle is at +2800.
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The Rogers Centre roof will likely be closed as the weather forecast is for partly cloudy and a high of 53.
Mariners vs Blue Jays Probable Pitchers
Left-hander Robbie Ray (12-12, 3.71) is scheduled to pitch for the Mariners against Kevin Gausman (12-10, 3.35). Both will be pitching on five days of rest.
Ray vs Gausman
12-12 | Record | 12-10 |
3.71 | ERA | 3.35 |
3.59 | xERA | 3.34 |
1.19 | WHIP | 1.24 |
3.42 | SO/W | 7.32 |
Ray finished the season a sour note by going 0-4 with a 5.27 ERA in his last five starts. That included losing to the Athletics last Sunday at home when he was tagged for six runs (five earned) and eight hits in 5.2 innings with three strikeouts and three walks.
In three career games (one start) against the Blue Jays, Ray is 1-1 with a 3.50 ERA. He won the Cy Young Award with Toronto last season before signing with the Mariners in free agency and has a 4-2 record and 2.49 ERA at Rogers Centre in 10 starts.
1️⃣,5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ career strikeouts for @RobbieRay 👊
He's the second-fastest pitcher in Major League history to reach that milestone. pic.twitter.com/TpF8VYWphx
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) October 2, 2022
Ray has gone 6-6 on the road with a 4.69 ERA in 14 starts this season. In the day, Ray is 4-3 with a 3.51 ERA in 11 starts. The Mariners are 17-15 when he toes the slab.
Ray has made one start and two relief appearances in the postseason during his career, going 0-2 with a 5.59 ERA.
Gausman Clear to Play
Gausman has been cleared after leaving his last start with a cut on his right middle finger last Sunday against the Boston Red Sox at Toronto. He pitched three innings and gave up two runs and four hits with four strikeouts and no walks.
Gausman is 4-1 with a 3.78 ERA in his last nine starts.
Against the Mariners, Gausman has a 1-3 lifetime record despite a fine 2.74 ERA in eight games (seven starts).
Kevin Gausman, 96mph Fastball (foul) and 85mph Splitter (Swinging K), Overlay pic.twitter.com/MNBbQcAGMg
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) October 2, 2022
Gausman is 4-7 with a 4.57 ERA in 16 starts at Rogers Centre this season. He has a 4-5 mark and 3.99 ERA in 13 games during the day. The Blue Jays are 18-13 when Gausman starts.
This will be Gausman’s seventh career postseason game and second start. He is 0-1 with a 3.94 ERA.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
Mariners Batters | Batting Average vs Kevin Gausman |
---|---|
Cal Raleigh | .500 |
Ty France | .429 |
Adam Frazier | .406 |
Curt Casali | .364 |
Carlos Santana | .200 |
Eugenio Suarez | .200 |
J.P. Crawford | .167 |
Mitch Haniger | .167 |
Dylan Moore | .000 |
Taylor Trammell | .000 |
Abraham Toro | .000 |
Julio Rodriguez | .000 |
Blue Jays Batters | Batting Average vs Robbie Ray |
Danny Jansen | 1.000 |
George Springer | .400 |
Raimel Tapia | .333 |
Teoscar Hernandez | .250 |
Whit Merrifield | .200 |
Matt Chapman | .143 |
Bo Bichette | .000 |
Cavan Biggio | .000 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | .000 |
Alejandro Kirk | .000 |
Jackie Bradley Jr. | .000 |
Santiago Espinal | .000 |
The Mariners’ Adam Frazier has hit .406 (13 for 32) against Gausman with three doubles while Curt Casali is 4 for 11 (.364) with a double and a homer. The Blue Jays’ George Springer is 6 for 15 (.400) with two doubles and two homers off Ray.
Mariners vs Blue Jays Betting Outlook
Cal Raleigh hit a two-run home run in a three-run first inning as the Mariners took control of Game 1 early. Eugenio Suarez added two hits and two RBIs for Seattle.
PostSEAson, meet Cal Raleigh. pic.twitter.com/nLdi5GQfKX
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) October 7, 2022
The Blue Jays got two hits each from Springer and Matt Chapman.
Springer is expected to play in Game 2 after being hit on the left wrist by a pitch in the eighth inning. Springer stayed in the game and X-rays were negative.
The Mariners are 6-2 against the Blue Jays this season and 14-6 since 2019. The teams have split four games this year in Toronto.
Mariners vs Blue Jays Last 10 Games
10/7/22 | Blue Jays | Mariners | SEA, 4-0 |
7/10/22 | Mariners | Blue Jays | SEA, 6-5 |
7/9/22 | Mariners | Blue Jays | SEA, 2-1 |
7/8/22 | Mariners | Blue Jays | SEA, 5-2 |
7/7/22 | Mariners | Blue Jays | SEA, 8-3 |
5/18/22 | Blue Jays | Mariners | SEA, 5-1 |
5/17/22 | Blue Jays | Mariners | TOR, 3-0 |
5/16/22 | Blue Jays | Mariners | TOR, 6-2 |
8/15/21 | Mariners | Blue Jays | TOR, 8-3 |
8/14/21 | Mariners | Blue Jays | SEA, 9-3 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction
The cut on Gausman is a concern. However, Ray struggled at the end of the regular season so much that fading him is the way to go in Game 2.
Pick: Blue Jays -159 ML
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BET $5 & GET $250 IF YOUR BET WINS
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USE CODE SBD2DYW & BET $1 TO DOUBLE THE WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 10 BETS!
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Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.