Mariners vs Blue Jays Game 1 Odds, Lines & Picks

• The Blue Jays are -145 home favorites over the Mariners on Friday in Game 1 of their AL wild card series
• Luis Castillo (8-6, 2.99) will start for the Mariners vs the Blue Jays’ Alek Manoah (16-7, 2.24)
• Below, see the Game 1 Mariners vs Blue Jays picks and odds 

The Seattle Mariners will play their first postseason game since 2001 when they visit the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 1 of an American League wild card series at 2:07 p.m. ET Friday at Rogers Centre.

The Mariners (90-72, 44-37 road) are the second AL wild card and #5 seed while the Blue Jays (92-70, 47-34 home) are the #4 seed as the second wild card. Both teams had strong finishes to the regular season with the Mariners winning seven of their last nine games and the Blue Jays taking five of their last six.

Game 1 Mariners vs Blue Jays Odds

Odds as of October 6th at Caesars Sportsbook. Claim Caesars Sportsbook promo code. 

The Blue Jays have a 59.18% implied winning percentage as -145 favorites while the Mariners’ IWP is 45.05% as +122 underdogs. In the World Series odds, the Blue Jays are +1300 and the Mariners are +2800.

The high temperature in Toronto is expected to be just 52, so the Rogers Centre roof will likely be closed.

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Seattle vs Toronto Probable Pitchers

Luis Castillo (8-6, 2.99 regular season) is scheduled to pitch for the Mariners against Alek Manoah (16-7, 2.24). Castillo will be working on five days rest and Manoah on six.

Castillo vs Manoah

Castillo has gone 4-2 with a 3.17 ERA in 11 starts since being acquired from the Cincinnati Reds on July 30 in a trade. He is 3-1 with a 3.18 ERA in his last seven outings.

Facing the Athletics in his last outing last Saturday in Oakland, Castillo got the win. He allowed one run on two hits in six innings with eight strikeouts and one walk.

Luis Castillo, spin-and-crouch. pic.twitter.com/0v5se6ym3y

— Daniel Kramer (@DKramer_) October 1, 2022

Castillo faced the Blue Jays for the only time in his career May 20 while pitching for the Reds. He took the loss despite yielding just two runs in six innings at Rogers Centre.

In 13 road starts this season, Castillo has a 4-5 record and 3.29 ERA. He is 3-2 in day games with a 3.76 ERA over nine starts. The Mariners are 6-5 in his starts.

Castillo has made one postseason start, losing to the Atlanta Braves in a 2020 National League wild card series with Cincinnati., He gave up only one run in 5.1 innings.

Manoah finished the regular season on a roll, going 4-0 with a 0.88 ERA in six starts during September. He tossed six shutout innings to beat the Boston Red Sox last Friday at home, allowing two hits while striking out four and walking two.

In his lone career start against the Mariners, Manoah lost July 9 in Seattle despite surrendering two runs in 7.1 innings.

Alek Manoah made his MLB debut in May of last year. Since then he’s:

Gone 25-9.
Became an All-Star.
Had an ERA of 0.88 in September.
Shut down an idiot on Twitter.
Will start Game One Friday.

He’s just getting started. pic.twitter.com/ZgQoDr9jKA

— Sid Seixeiro (@Sid_Seixeiro) October 5, 2022

Manoah has a 7-4 mark and 2.42 ERA in 15 starts at home this season. He is 3-2 with a 3.76 ERA in nine starts in the day. The Blue Jays are 18-13 when Manoah gets the ball.

This will be Manoah first-ever playoff start.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Carlos Santana is the only Mariners’ hitter with more than four plate appearances against Manoah and is 2 for 7 with a home run.

The Blue Jays’ Raimel Tapia has worn out Castillo, going 7 for 11 (.636) with a double, triple and homer. Conversely, Jackie Bradley Jr. is 0 for 10 with seven strikeouts, though he has walked four times.

Mariners vs Blue Jays Betting Outlook

Mariners left fielder Jesse Winker will miss the series after being placed on the injured list Wednesday with a strained neck. Jarred Kelenic or Taylor Trammell is expected to take his spot in the lineup.

I was told Jarred Kelenic doesnt have fun or smile pic.twitter.com/wHBHQ9pExR

— Cam 🔱 (@Camd3n_10) October 5, 2022

The Blue Jays are hoping to get two regulars off the IL in advance of the series in second baseman Santiago Espinal (strained left oblique) and left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (strained left hamstring).

The Mariners lead the season series 5-2, though they have lost two of three at Toronto.

Santana sparked Seattle for a four-game sweep of the Blue Jays in July in Seattle as he was 5 for 16 (.313) with a double and three home runs. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .333 (8 for 24) against Toronto in 2022 with a double and three homers.

The Blue Jays’ Bo Bichette has gone 9 for 30 (.310) with a home run against the Mariners.

bo bichette hugging + massaging chappy 🥺🥺🥺 pic.twitter.com/MMXJvZE0r5

— din (@klooowry) October 5, 2022

The Mariners have gone 13-6 against the Blue Jays since 2019.

SEA vs TOR Last 10 Games

Game 1 Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction

Manoah has been so good over the past month that it’s impossible to bet against him. The one reason for pause in backing Manoah is his lack of postseason experience but the Mariners haven’t been in a playoff game in 21 years.

Pick: Blue Jays ML (-145)