Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays Predictions, Picks & Player Props to Bet (ALCS Game 2)

• The Seattle Mariners can take a huge 2-0 lead on the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 2 of the ALCS on Monday
• Rookie Trey Yesavage starts for Toronto against Seattle veteran Logan Gilbert
• See my Mariners vs Blue Jays Game 2 picks and player props to bet, plus the latest TOR/SEA odds and betting splits

With their #5 starter facing the Blue Jays’ ace, the Seattle Mariners stole Game 1 of the ALCS in Toronto last night (3-1). On Monday, Seattle sends its own ace, Logan Gilbert, to the mound against talented rookie Trey Yesavage for the Jays.

Game 2 between the Mariners (94-74, 40-42 away) and Blue Jays (97-70, 56-28 home) starts at 5:08 pm ET at the Rogers Centre in Toronto. Monday’s MLB odds slightly favor Toronto evening the series, but the odds are considerably narrower than they were in Game 1, when Seattle cashed as a +145 underdog.

Below, find my Mariners vs Blue Jays picks for Game 2, the SEA/TOR player props, relevant hitter-vs-pitcher history, and the Game 2 odds, line movement, and betting splits.

Go to: PICKS || PLAYER PROPS || HITTER-vs-PITCHER STATS || ODDS & SPLITS

TOR Blue Jays vs SEA Mariners Prediction & Picks for Game 2

• Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline (-125) at bet365
• Under 7.5 Runs (-113) at BetRivers
• Guerrero Jr over 1.5 total bases (+105) at BetMGM
• Yesavage 8+ Ks (+373) at DraftKings

I backed Toronto in a big way last night and got burned but I’m going right back to the well in Game 2. Toronto has been nearly automatic at home after a loss, posting an incredible 11-2 (.846) record in their last 13. They are also 6-1 (.857) in their last seven home games overall.

Some bettors might be wary of backing a rookie pitcher like Yesavage against a talented and established veteran like Gilbert, but I’m not one of them. Yesavage is already the best pitcher the Blue Jays can trot out. He showed that in Game 2 against the Yankees in the ALDS, fanning 11 over 5.2 hitless, scoreless innings. He allowed just one walk.

So far in his brief career, he’s pitched 10.1 innings at the Rogers Centre without surrendering a run, racking up 16 Ks in the process. Not only does he have the talent to shut down any lineup, he also has the confidence and demeanor to flourish in high-pressure situations. He was quoted as saying he was “built for this” ahead of his start against the Yankees, a wild thing for a 22-year-old with no postseason experience to say before facing Aaron Judge and company.

Just as he did against NYY, he’ll have a certain element of surprise against the Mariners, none of whom have an MLB at-bat against the 22-year-old. As the Yankees’ frequent swings-and-misses showed, facing Yesavage in real life is much different than watching film. He averages a solid 95 mph on his four-seamer and pairs it with a plus-splitter and decent slider. He has an abnormally high arm angle and release point that has given batters fits, especially the first couple times they seem him.

Logan Gilbert (3.44 ERA, 1.03 WHIP) was excellent in his Game 3 start against the Tigers (6.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 7 Ks). He also pitched 2.0 shutout innings (34 pitches) during Seattle’s 15-inning marathon in the decisive Game 5 of the ALDS on Friday.

That means, however, that he won’t be pitching on his usual rest quota, and he’ll be facing a Blue Jays’ lineup that’s found plenty of success against him in the past (.309 average in 94 ABs). Vladimir Guerrero Jr and George Springer have combined for a .333 average and seven extra-base hits (three home runs) against him in 30 ABs.

Toronto’s offense, which boasts a stellar .868 team OPS and 120 wRC+ at home, is too talented to be held down for long.

Given the Blue Jays’ potent offense, their remarkable ability to bounce back at Rogers Centre, and the favorable BvP numbers against Gilbert, the edge goes to the home team.

TOR vs SEA Game Player Props

*Over price always listed first. MLB player props as of October 13, 2025 from FanDuel.

As mentioned already, my favorite SEA/TOR player prop to target in Game 2 is Vladimir Guerrero Jr to hit the over in the total bases props. He has historically crushed Logan Gilbert, boasting a 1.404 OPS with four extra-base hits in 15 at-bats, yet BetMGM is offering plus-money on the over (+105). (All other books have it at even-money or with juice on the over.)

Yesavage’s strikeout line is set at just 5.5. Given that the Mariners’ lineup can be prone to strikeouts and Yesavage’s electric pitch mix, the over at -102 is a compelling look.

Seattle Mariners Career Statistics vs Trey Yesavage

No active Seattle batter has ever faced the rookie Yesavage, who’s only made four career starts, postseason included. The key will be how Seattle’s hitters adjust to his pitch mix and arm angle in their first look at him on the big stage.

Toronto Blue Jays Career Statistics vs Logan Gilbert

The Jays have a solid history against Gilbert, moreso in terms of average (.309) than power (.886). Guerrero Jr is 6-for-15 lifetime with two home runs and two doubles. George Springer and Anthony Santander have also taken Gilbert deep and have 1.020 and 1.111 OPS, respectively, against the 6’6 righty.

Daulton Varsho (1-for-6 with a single) has the least-productive history against Gilbert.

Blue Jays vs Mariners Odds & Line Movement (Game 2)

As of Monday morning, the best price on the Blue Jays moneyline is -125 at bet365. The best price on a Mariner win is +110 at FanDuel. The run total is sitting at 7.5 across the board with the under slightly favored at all books; FanDuel has the best under price at -114 while DraftKings has the best over price at -103.

The betting market has shown slight movement toward Toronto since lines opened last night. Toronto’s moneyline shifted opened at -118 and is now as short as -136, an 18-cent move indicating strong backing from bettors.

The total has remained steady at 7.5 runs in Monday’s MLB odds, though it could move down half a run given how books are currently shading the juice towards the under.

Seattle/Toronto ALCS Game 2 Betting Splits

The public and sharp money are heavily aligned on the Blue Jays. A staggering 79.2% of the moneyline handle is on Toronto, a significant discrepancy from the 66.3% of total bets, indicating larger wagers are backing the home team.

The runline is even more lopsided, with over 90% of the handle on the Jays to cover -1.5.

Monday’s MLB public betting splits are also leaning toward a higher-scoring affair, with nearly two-thirds of all money and bets on the over.

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