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Mets vs Rockies Odds, Lines, and Spread – April 16th

Sam Cox

by Sam Cox in MLB Baseball

Apr 16, 2021 · 9:42 AM PDT

Francisco Lindor, Shortstop, New York Mets
New York Mets' Francisco Lindor (12) reacts after scoring god a solo home run during the fifth inning of a spring training baseball game against the Miami Marlins, Tuesday, March 23, 2021, in Port St. Lucie, Fla. (AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
  • The Mets are -295 favorites over the Rockies for their game on April 16th
  • Jacob deGrom is on the mound for New York, facing Chi Chi Gonzalez
  • Read below for a betting preview, statistics and a pick

The New York Mets (43, 1-2 away) have two-time Cy Young-winner Jacob deGrom pitching on Friday night against the Colorado Rockies (3-10, 3-4 home). The Mets vs Rockies odds favor the road team at Coors Field. Colorado has got off to an ice-cold start, going 3-10 in their opening 13 games, and they are on a six-game losing streak after consecutive sweeps at the hands of the Giants and Dodgers.

Cancellations have been the story of the Mets’ season so far. New York sits top of the National League East at 5-3, but they have played several fewer games than their rivals. DeGrom’s start was pushed back a day after Thursday’s game with the Phillies at Citi Field was postponed because of rain.

Mets vs Rockies Odds

Team Runline Moneyline at FanDuel Total
New York Mets -1.5 (-165) -278 O 9.5 (-112)
Colorado Rockies +1.5(+138) +235 U 9.5 (-109)

Odds as of Apr 16.

The Rockies were not expected to be a contender this season, and the early results have proved those predictions correct already. Colorado is already eight games back on the Dodgers in the National League West.

Gonzalez’s Second Start

This is only Gonzalez’s second start of the year. He began the campaign with two relief appearances. Holding the Giants to one run in five frames on April 10th was a solid outing, though San Francisco got plenty of traffic on the bases with three walks and four hits. Gonzalez also only struck out one batter, taking him to five strikeouts in 10 innings this season.

This isn’t a massive surprise. Gonzalez has never been a high-strikeout guy, and walks have been a problem. That’s not exactly a winning combination, particularly when half his appearances come at Coors Field. His 3.60 ERA is slightly misleading – he’s got an xERA of 5.41.

Mets Career Stats vs Gonzalez

Player AB H HR RBI K AVG.
Jose Peraza 1 0 0 0 0 .000
Kevin Pillar 7 0 0 0 1 .000

New York’s offense hasn’t lived up to reputation so far this year. They have scored more than five runs only once. Gonzalez and Coors Field could be the perfect combination to heat up those bats.

Dominant deGrom

The lack of run support for deGrom is a long-term problem. He owns an 0-1 record despite giving up one run in 14 regular season innings. The mastery was on show in a 14-strikeout performance against Miami on April 10th, and while some pitchers can be disrupted by being given an extra day of rest, it has traditionally not impacted deGrom. He’s every bit as dominant when resting for five days rather than four.

DeGrom has had no trouble with the Rockies in the past. He owns a 1.25 ERA against Colorado, including 56 strikeouts in 50.1 innings.

Rockies Career Stats vs deGrom

Player AB H HR RBI K AVG.
Charlie Blackmon 19 2 0 0 3 .105
C.J. Cron 2 1 0 0 0 .500
Trevor Story 13 2 0 0 5 .154
Raimel Tapia 4 1 0 1 1 .250

Only four teams have a lower OPS than the Rockies so far this season. With six runs scored in their last six games, it’s hard to see them doing any damage against the National League’s best starter.

Bet The Under

The Rockies have seen the under hit in almost 70% of their games. It’s been 50-50 for the Mets.

With several New York hitters yet to hit their stride, though, and the likelihood of another gem from deGrom, this looks like an easy under bet. Even at 7 or 7.5, there could be value backing an under, and perhaps parlaying it with a Mets win.

This Rockies offense has been shutdown by pitchers far inferior to deGrom. Even with the vast outfield and homer-heavy Coors Field, this could be a relatively low-scoring game in the Mets’ favor.

Pick: Under 9.5 (-109)


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