- The Mets are -295 favorites over the Rockies for their game on April 16th
- Jacob deGrom is on the mound for New York, facing Chi Chi Gonzalez
- Read below for a betting preview, statistics and a pick
The New York Mets (43, 1-2 away) have two-time Cy Young-winner Jacob deGrom pitching on Friday night against the Colorado Rockies (3-10, 3-4 home). The Mets vs Rockies odds favor the road team at Coors Field. Colorado has got off to an ice-cold start, going 3-10 in their opening 13 games, and they are on a six-game losing streak after consecutive sweeps at the hands of the Giants and Dodgers.
Cancellations have been the story of the Mets’ season so far. New York sits top of the National League East at 5-3, but they have played several fewer games than their rivals. DeGrom’s start was pushed back a day after Thursday’s game with the Phillies at Citi Field was postponed because of rain.
Mets vs Rockies Odds
|Team||Runline||Moneyline at FanDuel||Total|
|New York Mets||-1.5 (-165)||-278||O 9.5 (-112)|
|Colorado Rockies||+1.5(+138)||+235||U 9.5 (-109)|
Odds as of Apr 16.
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The Rockies were not expected to be a contender this season, and the early results have proved those predictions correct already. Colorado is already eight games back on the Dodgers in the National League West.
Gonzalez’s Second Start
This is only Gonzalez’s second start of the year. He began the campaign with two relief appearances. Holding the Giants to one run in five frames on April 10th was a solid outing, though San Francisco got plenty of traffic on the bases with three walks and four hits. Gonzalez also only struck out one batter, taking him to five strikeouts in 10 innings this season.
Let's go home. pic.twitter.com/Bz28P7UIwi
— Colorado Rockies (@Rockies) April 16, 2021
This isn’t a massive surprise. Gonzalez has never been a high-strikeout guy, and walks have been a problem. That’s not exactly a winning combination, particularly when half his appearances come at Coors Field. His 3.60 ERA is slightly misleading – he’s got an xERA of 5.41.
Mets Career Stats vs Gonzalez
New York’s offense hasn’t lived up to reputation so far this year. They have scored more than five runs only once. Gonzalez and Coors Field could be the perfect combination to heat up those bats.
The lack of run support for deGrom is a long-term problem. He owns an 0-1 record despite giving up one run in 14 regular season innings. The mastery was on show in a 14-strikeout performance against Miami on April 10th, and while some pitchers can be disrupted by being given an extra day of rest, it has traditionally not impacted deGrom. He’s every bit as dominant when resting for five days rather than four.
deGrom is going to have the quickest Hall of Fame speech of all time. He has nobody to thank. https://t.co/C3paU8j389
— Jason Hoffman (@JasonHoffman93) April 10, 2021
DeGrom has had no trouble with the Rockies in the past. He owns a 1.25 ERA against Colorado, including 56 strikeouts in 50.1 innings.
Rockies Career Stats vs deGrom
Only four teams have a lower OPS than the Rockies so far this season. With six runs scored in their last six games, it’s hard to see them doing any damage against the National League’s best starter.
Bet The Under
The Rockies have seen the under hit in almost 70% of their games. It’s been 50-50 for the Mets.
Jacob deGrom, 99mph Fastball and 92mph Slider, Overlay.
Yes, those mechanics are overlaid too. 😳 pic.twitter.com/cX27qFd7NW
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) April 10, 2021
With several New York hitters yet to hit their stride, though, and the likelihood of another gem from deGrom, this looks like an easy under bet. Even at 7 or 7.5, there could be value backing an under, and perhaps parlaying it with a Mets win.
This Rockies offense has been shutdown by pitchers far inferior to deGrom. Even with the vast outfield and homer-heavy Coors Field, this could be a relatively low-scoring game in the Mets’ favor.
Pick: Under 9.5 (-109)
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