MLB Picks & Best Bets (Sep. 20): Braves Surprise Underdogs vs. Mets
- The Atlanta Braves are surprise underdogs against the New York Mets in a messy pitching matchup on Sunday, Sept. 19
- Brad Keller looks to build off his shutout last time out as his Royals face the Brewers
- Check out the early odds and picks for MLB’s Sunday slate (Sep. 20th)
Rarely do you see a clear playoff team like the Atlanta Braves listed as underdogs against a non-playoff team like the New York Mets, unless the pitching matchup is heavily titled towards the also-ran. Yet that’s what bettors are looking at on Sunday, September 20th, in one of the most intriguing matchups among on the board.
NB: The table below displays all Sep. 20th games open for betting as of 10:00 pm ET, Sep. 19th. It may not contain all games scheduled for Sep. 20th.
MLB Odds: Sep. 20th
Team (Starter) | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
---|---|---|---|---|
New York Yankees (D. Garcia) | -172 | -1.5 (-120) | Over 10.0 (-105) | 1:07 pm |
Boston Red Sox (T. Houck) | +158 | +1.5 (+100) | Under 10.0 (-115) | |
Team (Starter) | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
Chicago White Sox (D. Cease) | -109 | -1.5 (+138) | Over 9.0 (-125) | 1:10 pm |
Cincinnati Reds (M. Lorenzen) | -101 | +1.5 (-158) | Under 9.0 (+105) | |
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
Cleveland Indians (C. Carrasco) | -205 | -1.5 (-125) | Over 8.0 (-105) | 1:10 pm |
Detroit Tigers (M. Boyd) | +188 | +1.5 (+105) | Under 8.0 (-115) | |
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
New York Mets (R. Porcello) | -113 | -1.5 (+165) | Over 9.5 (-120) | 1:10 pm |
Atlanta Braves (K. Wright) | +103 | +1.5 (-190) | Under 9.5 (+100) | |
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
Kansas City Royals (B. Keller) | +130 | +1.5 (-165) | Over 8.5 (+100) | 2:10 pm |
Milwaukee Brewers (J. Lindblom) | -141 | -1.5 (+145) | Under 8.5 (-120) | |
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
Arizona Diamondbacks (M. Bumgarner) | +179 | +1.5 (-105) | Over 9.5 (-110) | 2:10 pm |
Houston Astros (J. Urquidy) | -195 | -1.5 (-115) | Under 9.5 (-110) | |
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
Los Angeles Dodgers (T. Gonzolin) | -185 | -1.5 (-130) | Over 12.5 (-110) | 3:10 pm |
Colorado Rockies (A. Senzatela) | +170 | +1.5 (+110) | Under 12.5 (-110) | |
Team (Starter) | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
St. Louis Cardinals (J. Flaherty) | -165 | -1.5 (-107) | Over 8.0 (-105) | 4:05 pm |
Pittsburgh Pirates (J. Musgrove) | +152 | +1.5 (-113) | Under 8.0 (-115) | |
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
Texas Rangers (K. Cody) | +122 | +1.5 (-163) | Over 9.5 (-105) | 4:10 pm |
LA Angels (J. Teheran) | -132 | -1.5 (+143) | Under 9.5 (-115) | |
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
San Diego Padres (D. Lamet) | -225 | -1.5 (-137) | Over 8.5 (+100) | 4:10 pm |
Seattle Mariners (J. Dunn) | +204 | +1.5 (+117) | Under 8.5 (-120) | |
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
Minnesota Twins (J. Barrios) | +130 | TBD (TBD) | Over TBD (TBD) | 7:08 pm |
Chicago Cubs (Y. Darvish) | -141 | TBD (TBD) | Under TBD (TBD) |
Odds as of Sept. 19th.
Pick 1: Braves Moneyline (+103) vs Mets
Reasoning: Trust the season series.
The Atlanta Braves have won six of eight games against the New York Mets this season — including a 15-2 win on Friday — but find themselves receiving excellent moneyline value on Sunday.
1️⃣3️⃣ makes it 1️⃣4️⃣#ForTheA pic.twitter.com/xsXixUZFOy
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) September 19, 2020
Admittedly, the pitching matchup is greasy: Atlanta’s Kyle Wright (1-4, 7.20 ERA) and New York’s Rick Porcello (1-5, 6.06 ERA). But as bad as Wright has been, he threw 3.1 scoreless innings in his lone start against the Mets this year. As for Porcello, he’s a long way from his Cy Young-winning 2016 season, which was the only time in the last six years he posted an ERA under 4.28.
Pick 2: Royals Moneyline (+130) vs Brewers
Reasoning: Royals’ Keller rolling after complete game.
Brad Keller and his Royals are underdogs against an admittedly stronger Brewers team, but the pitching matchup is noticeably in Kansas City’s favor.
Keller (4-2, 2.06 ERA) faces the Brewers’ Josh Lindblom (1-3, 5.26 ERA) in the final game of this three-game series. With very little head-to-head history to go off of, just know that Keller tossed a five-hit shutout his last time out.
Neither Keller nor Lindblom has started against their respective opponents, so there’s an added unknown factor there. A piping hot Keller has a good chance to get the better of Milwaukee’s light-hitting lineup.
A two-team parlay on the Braves and Royals at +103 and +130, respectively, would pay out at +367.