Picks, Predictions & How to Watch D-backs vs Phillies

• The Phillies are -130 moneyline favorites over the D-backs today, in a game with an 8.5 run total
• Taijuan Walker carries a 9.31 ERA into action through two starts
• Get my picks and predictions, plus how to watch D-backs vs Phillies, below

The Philadelphia Phillies continue their series against the Arizona Diamondbacks this afternoon, after Arizona took the series opener 5-4 on Friday night. Online sportsbooks are siding with the Phillies in the latest MLB odds, in a game I project to be a high-scoring affair.

The Diamondbacks enter play fresh off three straight victories, plating 19 runs during that stretch. With probable starters Taijuan Walker and Brandon Pfaadt toeing the rubber, I anticipate plenty of offensive fireworks.

Keep reading for my picks and predictions, along with how to watch the D-backs vs Phillies matchup below.

How to Watch D-backs vs Phillies

First pitch for this NL clash is set for 1:05 pm ET from Citizens Bank Park, in Philadelphia, PA. MLB.TV will handle broadcast duties, while DBACKS.TV and NBC Sports Philadelphia will provide regional coverage.

D-backs vs Phillies Picks and Predictions

• Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline (+115 at DraftKings)
• Over 8.5 Runs (-110 at Bet365)

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I’m betting the D-backs moneyline this afternoon along with over 8.5 runs. One of the main reasons why is I’m looking to pick on Walker.

Taijuan Walker vs Brandon Pfaadt Stats

The veteran’s start to the season has been disastrous. Through 29 recorded outs, he carries an 0-2 record weighed down by a 9.31 ERA and an inflated 2.28 WHIP. Opposing lineups bat a blistering .370 against him. He surrenders an alarming 2.79 home runs and 15.83 hits per nine innings.

On the opposing side, Pfaadt’s numbers don’t look much better as he’s still seeking his first win as well. He sits on a 6.75 ERA across his first 32 outs. While his 1.41 WHIP is more manageable, the righty struggles to miss bats. Generating a meager 4.22 strikeouts per nine innings, he relies heavily on pitch-to-contact results.

D-backs vs Phillies Stats

The Phillies, a top-5 World Series odds contender, average 1.17 home runs per game at home with an 88.7 mph exit velocity. This raw power advantage allows them to maintain a superior .674 OPS at Citizens Bank Park. Elite sluggers like Kyle Schwarber (3 home runs) and Bryce Harper (.749 OPS) lead the charge.

Conversely, the Diamondbacks plate 4.17 runs per game on the road, manufacturing offense through a .233 batting average rather than over-the-fence power. Despite lacking a home run stroke away from Chase Field, their lineup is highly efficient at stringing base hits together.

Both starting pitchers consistently struggle to limit hard contact, and the underlying metrics guarantee offensive traffic on the basepaths. The Diamondbacks’ lineup has outpaced their opponents in overall run production this season, plating 50 runs to 42. They are perfectly positioned to exploit Walker’s vulnerabilities.

D-backs vs Phillies Odds

If tailing my picks this afternoon, you’ll need access to multiple sportsbooks. DraftKings is offering the best payout on an Arizona win at +115, while Bet365 has the lowest odds on over 8.5 runs.

If you’re interested in backing the Phillies, make sure you visit FanDuel. They have the shortest odds on a Philly win, and the best price on the home team to cover the 1.5 run line at +164.

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D-backs vs Phillies Betting Splits

When evaluating MLB public betting splits, the Phillies command 75.0% of the moneyline tickets and 74.1% of the total cash wagered. Casual bettors are overwhelmingly confident in the home team defending Citizens Bank Park.

For the total runs market, the over is drawing 70.2% of tickets and 61.4% of the handle. There is no sharp vs public divide here. Both the ticket counts and monetary handle are completely aligned on the home favorites and a high-scoring outcome.