Rangers vs Diamondbacks Game 5 Player-Prop Picks, Predictions & Odds

• The Texas Rangers can win their first World Series title on Wednesday in Game 5 against the Arizona Diamondbacks
• The pitching matchup for Game 5 (Eovaldi vs Gallen) is a repeat from the series opener
• See the Rangers vs Diamondbacks Game 5 odds, predictions, and player-prop picks

Tonight in Phoenix, AZ, the Texas Rangers (101-76, 50-41 away) can put a fitting coda on a storybook season. Leading the Arizona Diamondbacks (94-84, 46-41 home) three games to one in the 2023 World Series, a victory on Wednesday evening would give Texas its first championship in franchise history. Texas ran its postseason road record to a perfect 10-0 with a convincing 11-7 victory yesterday, a game they coincidentally led 10-0 at one point.

Nathan Eovaldi and Zac Gallen meet on the mound in a rematch of the pitching matchup from the opening game of the series (a 6-5 Ranger win in extra innings). First pitch is scheduled for 8:03 pm ET.

Rangers vs Diamondbacks Odds: Game 5

As with each of the past two games, the odds for Game 5 are a pick’em with both Texas and Arizona listed at -110 on the moneyline. As with the previous two games in Arizona, the visiting Rangers are getting most of the action in the MLB public betting splits.

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Odds as Nov. 1 on the BetMGM Sportsbook app. If you already have a BetMGM account, see the latest on the ESPN Bet, which is expected to launch November 2023. 

Starting Pitchers: Texas vs Arizona Game 5

Neither pitcher was terribly effective in Game 1, but Gallen was certainly the better of the two. The Arizona ace gave up three runs on four hits of 5.0 innings with five strikeouts. Eovaldi, meanwhile, had by far his worst game of the postseason, allowing five runs on six hits over 4.2 innings, though he did get eight of his 14 outs by way of strikeout.

Nathan Eovaldi vs Zac Gallen

*All statistics in table from 2023 regular season. 

After that drubbing last Friday, Eovaldi is now allowing a .302/.353./.508 slashline to the Arizona hitters including three home runs, two doubles, and a triple in 63 total at-bats.

The Ranger batters have decent numbers off Gallen, though haven’t generated the same power, with a .277/.318/.416 slashline in 101 total at-bats, but just two home runs to show for it (including one from Robbie Grossman who isn’t in Wednesday’s MLB lineups).

TEX vs ARI Game 5: Player Props

*Perdomo’s and Jankowski’s home run odds from Caesars Sportsbook. All other odds in the MLB props table from DraftKings.

With Adolis Garcia set to miss his second straight game due to an oblique strain, Ranger teammate Corey Seager once again has the shortest odds to hit a home run at +330. Seager is 7-for-22 lifetime against Gallen (.318) but only has one extra-base hit (a double).

Christian Walker has the shortest home-run odds among Arizona batters, though Walker is in a dreadful slump during the postseason. He’s batting just .211 with one home run in 16 games after mashing 33 during the regular season. He showed signs of life in Tuesday’s 11-7 loss, with three hits including a double.

The starting pitchers have eerily similar props across the board. Both are have a strikeout over/under of 4.5 and an outs-recorded number of 15.5. Eovaldi’s odds to go over are ever-so-slightly shorter in both categories.

Texas Rangers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Game 5 Predictions

Eovaldi has been generating a lot of swings-and-misses in the postseason, and that’s likely to continue in Game 5. The Texas starter has only been held under 4.5 strikeouts in one playoff start and has a total of 36 Ks in just 30.2 innings. He’s reached at least seven strikeouts in four of five postseason games. Lifetime against the Arizona batters, he has 20 strikeouts in 68 plate appearances (a 29.4% strikeout rate).

But I still expect Game 5 to have a similar flow as Game 1, meaning Gallen gets the better of the pitching matchup in the early going in a must-win game. While he struggled with the longball early in the playoffs – giving up six in his first four starts – he’s always been able to keep the Ranger batters in the park (two homers in 109 plate appearances) and did so again in the series opener.

Game 5 Rangers vs Diamondbacks Picks:

• Arizona first 5 innings moneyline (-120)
• Eovaldi over 4.5 strikeouts (-125)