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Red Sox vs Twins Picks & Odds (Aug 29)

Quinn Allen

by Quinn Allen in MLB Baseball

Aug 28, 2022 · 7:07 PM PDT

Boston Red Sox players celebrating a win
Aug 26, 2022; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Boston Red Sox shortstop Xander Bogaerts (2) celebrates after defeating the Tampa Bay Rays at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Red Sox and Twins begin a three-game set on Monday, August 29th
  • Both teams are battling for the Wild Card spot, although Boston is much further out of the race than Minnesota
  • Read on for the Red Sox vs Twins odds, preview, and betting prediction for the series opener

Two teams fighting for a Wild Card spot in the American League will begin a very important three-game set on Monday, August 29th as the Boston Red Sox (62-66, 31-32 away) visit the Minnesota Twins (65-61, 38-28 home) at Target Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm ET.

Rookie Brayan Bello gets his fifth big-league start here, while the Twins counter with Dylan Bundy.

Red Sox vs Twins Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Boston Red Sox +118 +1.5 (-155) O 9 (-105)
Minnesota Twins -140 -1.5 (+130) U 9 (-115)

Odds as of August 28 at Caesars Sportsbook. Get Caesars Sportsbook bonus code.

The Twins are a -140 favorite here but in the last 10 games against the Red Sox, they’re 4-6.

 

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Boston vs Minnesota Probable Pitchers

With Nathan Eovaldi currently sidelined, Bello gets another chance in the rotation in Monday’s MLB lineups. The youngster is 0-3 so far, posting a dismal 7.36 ERA in 22 innings. He’s struck out one hitter per frame, but Bello has also walked 11 hitters.

To be fair, it was his first couple of outings that really made the rookie’s ERA skyrocket. He’s cooled down since, allowing just two earned runs last time out on August 24th against the Blue Jays in five innings. Bello has never faced the Twins.

Bello vs Bundy

Brayan Bello
VS
Dylan Bundy
0-3 Record 7-6
7.36 ERA 4.56
22 Innings Pitched 108.2
22 Strikeouts 77
11 BB 23

Bundy is in the midst of a rather average campaign for the Twins. The veteran right-hander owns a 7-6 record and 4.56 ERA in 22 starts on the season in 108.2 total innings. He’s struck out just 77 but Bundy has shown solid command with only 23 walks.

August is his best month yet, posting a 2.33 ERA in four appearances. In Bundy’s most recent outing, the 29-year-old tossed five solid innings of two-run baseball against the high-flying Astros. Although he took the loss, it was a good showing. Bundy also gave up a lone run to the Red Sox earlier in the year.

Red Sox in a Rut

Not much is going right for Boston in 2022 and their recent play is a testament to that. Alex Cora’s squad is 3-7 in their last 10 games, getting swept by the Blue Jays and then taking two out of three from the Rays, which is actually huge.

But, the series finale on Sunday ended in disappointment, losing 12-4 to Tampa Bay. Nick Pivetta allowed five earned as he took the loss and the bullpen struggled to limit the damage after he exited. The Red Sox are now seven games out in the Wild Card.

Twins Coming in With Confidence

Minnesota might be just above .500 but they’re in the heart of both the Wild Card and the divisional crown. The Twins trail the Guardians by two games in the AL Central and also sit two back in the WC. Their recent play is a good sign for this series, winning three straight after just sweeping the Giants.

Minny outscored San Fran 20-5 in the three-game set and won 8-3 on Sunday. Jake Cave led the offense with four RBI including a two-run homer. Aaron Sanchez held it down for 3.2 innings before the bullpen held it down.

BOS vs MIN – Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
04/18/22 Red Sox Twins MIN, 8-3
04/17/22 Red Sox Twins BOS, 8-1
04/16/22 Red Sox Twins BOS, 4-0
04/15/22 Red Sox Twins MIN, 8-4
08/26/21 Red Sox Twins BOS, 12-2
08/25/21 Red Sox Twins MIN, 9-6
08/24/21 Red Sox Twins BOS, 11-9
04/15/21 Twins Red Sox MIN, 4-3
04/14/21 Twins Red Sox BOS, 7-1
04/14/21 Twins Red Sox BOS, 3-2

Red Sox vs Twins Pick

Bello is starting to look a lot more comfortable lately. But, Bundy is lights out in August and the Twins are rolling, especially offensively. I like Minnesota to take the opener on Monday night.

Pick: Twins (-140)

 

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