Red Sox vs Twins Picks & Odds (Aug 29)

• The Red Sox and Twins begin a three-game set on Monday, August 29th
• Both teams are battling for the Wild Card spot, although Boston is much further out of the race than Minnesota
• Read on for the Red Sox vs Twins odds, preview, and betting prediction for the series opener

Two teams fighting for a Wild Card spot in the American League will begin a very important three-game set on Monday, August 29th as the Boston Red Sox (62-66, 31-32 away) visit the Minnesota Twins (65-61, 38-28 home) at Target Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm ET.

Rookie Brayan Bello gets his fifth big-league start here, while the Twins counter with Dylan Bundy.

Red Sox vs Twins Odds

Odds as of August 28 at Caesars Sportsbook. Get Caesars Sportsbook bonus code.

The Twins are a -140 favorite here but in the last 10 games against the Red Sox, they’re 4-6.

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Boston vs Minnesota Probable Pitchers

With Nathan Eovaldi currently sidelined, Bello gets another chance in the rotation in Monday’s MLB lineups. The youngster is 0-3 so far, posting a dismal 7.36 ERA in 22 innings. He’s struck out one hitter per frame, but Bello has also walked 11 hitters.

I’m excited to see if Brayan Bello continues trending upward tmrw. The stuff is there. It’s electric. 2 seam at 97 with super sink, 4 seam w/ride at the top of the zone, and a changeup from hell. He’s 23, there will be a learning curve, but his stuff plays when he commands it.

— Will Middlebrooks (@middlebrooks) August 28, 2022

To be fair, it was his first couple of outings that really made the rookie’s ERA skyrocket. He’s cooled down since, allowing just two earned runs last time out on August 24th against the Blue Jays in five innings. Bello has never faced the Twins.

Bello vs Bundy

Bundy is in the midst of a rather average campaign for the Twins. The veteran right-hander owns a 7-6 record and 4.56 ERA in 22 starts on the season in 108.2 total innings. He’s struck out just 77 but Bundy has shown solid command with only 23 walks.

Dylan Bundy has the third highest percentage of strikes thrown this season (minimum 100 IP).

Kevin Gausman – 69.99
Julio Urias – 69.44
Dylan Bundy – 69.39
Corey Kluber – 69.00
Aaron Nola – 68.99
Tyler Anderson – 68.55
Justin Verlander – 68.52
Jose Berrios – 68.14#MNTwins pic.twitter.com/pLKu5VFIDu

— Twins Gems (@TwinsGems) August 20, 2022

August is his best month yet, posting a 2.33 ERA in four appearances. In Bundy’s most recent outing, the 29-year-old tossed five solid innings of two-run baseball against the high-flying Astros. Although he took the loss, it was a good showing. Bundy also gave up a lone run to the Red Sox earlier in the year.

Red Sox in a Rut

Not much is going right for Boston in 2022 and their recent play is a testament to that. Alex Cora’s squad is 3-7 in their last 10 games, getting swept by the Blue Jays and then taking two out of three from the Rays, which is actually huge.

Big Pham fans. pic.twitter.com/EFe86VLoPy

— Red Sox (@RedSox) August 28, 2022

But, the series finale on Sunday ended in disappointment, losing 12-4 to Tampa Bay. Nick Pivetta allowed five earned as he took the loss and the bullpen struggled to limit the damage after he exited. The Red Sox are now seven games out in the Wild Card.

Twins Coming in With Confidence

Minnesota might be just above .500 but they’re in the heart of both the Wild Card and the divisional crown. The Twins trail the Guardians by two games in the AL Central and also sit two back in the WC. Their recent play is a good sign for this series, winning three straight after just sweeping the Giants.

"Hitting is contagious … That's what winning clubs do."

Jake Cave talks with @KatieStorm following the sweep of the Giants! pic.twitter.com/lL2ohMhKB5

— Bally Sports North (@BallySportsNOR) August 28, 2022

Minny outscored San Fran 20-5 in the three-game set and won 8-3 on Sunday. Jake Cave led the offense with four RBI including a two-run homer. Aaron Sanchez held it down for 3.2 innings before the bullpen held it down.

BOS vs MIN – Last 10 Games

Red Sox vs Twins Pick

Bello is starting to look a lot more comfortable lately. But, Bundy is lights out in August and the Twins are rolling, especially offensively. I like Minnesota to take the opener on Monday night.

Pick: Twins (-140)