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Rockies vs Braves Odds and Picks (Sep. 16)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Updated Sep 15, 2021 · 9:06 PM PDT

Ozzie Albies takes a cut
Atlanta Braves second baseman Ozzie Albies (1) bats against the New York Yankees during a baseball game Monday, Aug. 23, 2021, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)
  • The Atlanta Braves are -170 home favorites over the Colorado Rockies in the afternoon finale of their three-game National League series on Thursday, September 16
  • Entering Wednesday’s game, the Rockies were 3-1 in their last four games against the Braves
  • Colorado’s 22 road victories are the third-fewest among NL teams

The long-range future is much brighter for the Atlanta Braves (76-67, 37-35 home) than it is for the Colorado Rockies (67-78, 22-51 away). Barring some unforeseen developments, the Braves are heading toward their third successive NL East Davison crown. The Rockies, meanwhile, will be missing out on postseason play for the third straight season.

When these two teams meet on the diamond, though, it’s difficult to choose the better team. Entering their game Wednesday, Colorado had won three of four, four of six and six of nine games from Atlanta.

Still, it’s the Braves who are being set as the -170 favorites for the Thursday afternoon finale of this three-game set. The Rockies are 3-1-1 in their last five series against Atlanta.

Rockies vs Phillies Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Colorado Rockies +150 +1.5 (-135) O 8.5 (-115)
Atlanta Braves -170 -1.5 (+115) U 8.5 (-105)

Odds as of September 15th at DraftKings.

First pitch on Thursday afternoon at Truist Park is set for 12:20pm ET. In the forecast, there are clouds, 10 mph wind, and a game-time temperature of 82 degrees.

Marquez vs Anderson

German Marquez
VS
Ian Anderson
12-10 Record 7-5
3.93 ERA 3.61
3.86 xERA 4.38
1.20 WHIP 1.29
2.98 SO/W Ratio 2.28

Rockies right-hander German Marquez has reached double digits in wins for the fourth time in five seasons. The NL All-Star has hurled an NL-leading three complete games in 2021. At the same time, Marquez has also unfurled an NL-high 13 wild pitches. His barrel percentage of 4.8 rates among the top 10% in the league.

Since the conclusion of a four-start winning streak on July 10, Marquez has been treading water. He’s 4-4 through his last 12 starts. Marquez has served up seven home runs over his last 26.1 innings of work. He’s struck out 11 in his last 11 innings.

He faced the Braves on September 4. Marquez didn’t figure in the decision as Colorado won 7-6. The righty allowed four runs, two earned, over five innings. Marquez struck out five and walked one. He allowed five hits, including one homer.

The Venezuelan is 1-2 with a 6.65 ERA in four career starts against Atlanta. Braves batters show an .825 OPS when facing Marquez.

Braves right-hander Anderson (right shoulder soreness) was placed on the IL two days afer lost to the Miami Marlins on July 11. He returned to Atlanta’s starting rotation on August 29 and is 2-0 with a 3.95 in three starts since.

Anderson has surrendered three home runs over the past eight innings. His maximum exit velocity of 117.3 is among the bottom 3% in the NL.

He got the start against Marquez in the 7-6 Rockies win on September 4 . He allowed four earned runs, walked four, served up two homers and didn’t strike out a batter over three innings. That’s his only career appearance against the Rockies, leaving Anderson with an ERA of 12.00.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Braves Batters Batting Average vs Marquez Rockies Batters Batting Average vs Anderson
Ehire Adrianza .000 Charlie Blackmon 1.000
Izzie Albies .364 CJ Cron .500
Orlando Arcia .455 Yonathan Daza .000
William Contreras .000 Elias Diaz .000
Travis d’Arnaud .000 Garrett Hampson .000
Adam Duvall .333 Sam Hilliard .000
Freddie Freeman .300 Ryan McMahon .500
Guillermo Heredia .000 Dom Nunez .000
Joc Pederson .160 Brendan Rodgers 1.000
Austin Riley .000 Rio Ruiz 000
Eddie Rosario .500 Trevor Story .000
Jorge Soler .333 Raimel Tapia .000
Dansby Swanson .571 Colton Welker .000

Rockies rightfielder Charlie Blackmon is 2-for-2 (1.000) with a homer and two RBI when facing Anderson. Second baseman Brendan Rodgers is also batting 1.000 (1-for-1).

First baseman CJ Cron is 1-for-2 (.500) with a solo homer. Third baseman Ryan McMahon is 1-for-2 (.500).

Braves second baseman Ozzie Albies is 4-for-11 (.364) with two solo homers against Marquez. Utility man Orlando Arcia is 5-for-11 (.445) with a homer and two RBI. Shortstop Dansby Swanson is 4-for-7 (.571) with homer and six RBI.

First baseman Freddie Freeman is 3-for-10 (.300) with an RBI. Outfielders Adam Duvall and Jorge Soler are both 1-for-3 with an RBI. Outfielder Eddie Rosario is 1-for-2 (.500). Outfielder Joc Pederson is just 4-for-25 (.160) but has homered twice.

Rockies vs Braves Pick

Marquez is 4-8 with a 4.93 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP on the road this season.

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Meanwhile, Anderson is 4-1 with a 3.58 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP at home. He’s struck out 55 and walked 19.

Anderson is 5-2 with a 3.09 ERA at home over his career.

Pick: Atlanta Braves moneyline (-170)

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