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Royals vs Tigers Picks & Odds (Sep. 27)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Sep 26, 2022 · 9:36 PM PDT

Royals vs Tigers odds
Sep 11, 2022; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Royals first baseman Nick Pratto (32) forces out Detroit Tigers right fielder Victor Reyes (22) at first base during the sixth inning at Kauffman Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Peter Aiken-USA TODAY Sports
  • Oddsmakers list the Kansas City-Detroit game on Tuesday, September 27, as a pick’em
  • Each team is assigned -110 odds in the Royals vs Tigers picks & odds
  • Kansas City is 9-7 straight up 16 games against Detroit this season

Oddsmakers can’t bring themselves to pick a favorite in Tuesday’s American League game between the Kansas City Royals (62-90, 24-48 away) and Detroit Tigers (60-92, 31-45 home). Looking at the season series between these two AL Central rivals, perhaps that decision shouldn’t be surprising.

In 16 games between the two ball clubs in 2022, the Royals are holding a slight 9-7 straight-up edge. When it comes to the runline, the Royals are also showing a 9-7 lead. At Detroit, Kansas City maintains a 4-2 advantage.

Both teams are assigned -110 odds in this game. The Tigers are 32-44 against the runline as a home team this season.

Royals vs Tigers Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Kansas City Royals -110 +1.5 (+210) O 8 (-110)
Detroit Tigers -110 -1.5 (+175) U 8 (-110)

Odds as of September 26 at Caesars Sportsbook. Get Caesars Sportsbook bonus code.

At moneyline odds of -110, each team has an implied probability of victory of 52.38% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on the Royals or Tigers would create a payout of $19.10.

 

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The MLB lineups  will be set for the first pitch at Comerica Park for 6:40 pm ET on Tuesday, September 27. The weather forecast is calling for rain with 12 mph wind and a temperature of 56 degrees.

MLB betting trends are showing that 59% of the public betting splits on the moneyline are with the Royals. However, 82% of runline wagers are backing the Tigers. There’s also 59 % of public money going with the under in the total.

Kansas City vs Detroit Probable Pitchers

Kansas City right-hander Zack Greinke’s .308 winning percentage is his lowest since his second MLB campaign. He was 5-17 (.227) for the Royals in 2005.

Greinke is among the bottom 1% of MLB pitchers in strikeout percentage (13.1) and the lower 3% in xBA (.286). However, he’s also rated within the top 7% in bases on balls percentage (4.7). Greinke has one win since August 1 and two wins since July 1. He’s allowed seven earned runs over his last 9.1 innings of work and 21 hits over the past 15.1 innings.

Greinke has faced the Tigers once this season, allowing two earned runs over 5.1 innings and not figuring the decision as Detroit won 4-2. In his career, he’s made 31 appearances facing the Tigers. Greinke is 13-8 with a 2.95 ERA.

Greinke vs Wentz Stats

Zack Greinke
VS
Joey Wentz
4-9 Record 2-2
4.21 ERA 3.13
3.84 xERA 3.41
1.39 WHIP 0.96
2.80 SO/W Ratio 3.17

Tigers rookie left-hander Joey Wentz is considered a top-10 prospect in the Detroit organization. He counts Greinke as his boyhood idol. Wentz has allowed just two earned runs over his past 20.1 innings of work.

He’s won two of his last three starts. That’s including a 10-2 win on September 9 at Kansas City in which Wentz tossed 6.2 innings of two-hit, shutout ball. He’s showing a 1.10 ERA over those three starts.

However, Wentz has earned both of his MLB wins on the road. In three starts at Comerica Park, he’s 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Tigers Batters Batting Average vs Greinke Royals Batters Batting Average vs Wentz
Akil Baddoo .333 Hunter Dozier .000
Tucker Barnhart .455 MJ Melendez .000
Javier Baez .429 Vinny Pasquantino .500
Miguel Cabrera .325 Salvador Perez .500
Jeimer Candelario .750 Bobby Witt Jr .000

Tigers third baseman Jeimer Candelario is 3-for-4 (.750) when facing Greinke. Akil Baddoo is 1- for three (.333) with a homer and two RBI. Miguel Cabrera is 13-for-40 (.325) with a home and six RBI. Tucker Barnhart is 5-for-11 (.455) and Javier Baez is 3-for-7 (.429).

Both Salvador Perez and Vinnie Pasquantino of the Royals are 1-for-2 (.500) off of Wentz.

Royals vs Tigers Prediction

Kansas City is 24 games below .500 on the road as Detroit is 14 games below .500 at home. The Tigers are 29-41 against divisional rivals. Meanwhile the Royals are 31-36 when facing the AL Central. Detroit has gone under 81 times, while Kansas City has gone over 75 times.

Kansas City is coming to Detroit off a 5-1 homestead. However, the Royals are 3-8 in their last 11 road games. Two of those wins came at Comerica Park.

The Tigers are also riding a hot streak. They are returning home from a 5-1 road trip. However, Detroit is 2-10 over the past 12 home games.

Pick: Detroit Tigers ML (-110)

 

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