Toronto Blue Jays vs Los Angeles Dodgers Expert Picks, Player Props & Same-Game Parlay (Game 5)

• With the 2025 World Series tied 2-2, the Toronto Blue Jays visit the Los Angeles Dodgers in a massive Game 5 on Wednesday
• Blake Snell starts for the Dodgers in Game 5 against rookie Trey Yesavage for the Blue Jays
• See my Blue Jays vs Dodgers expert picks and predictions plus the full list of player props and best-available Game 5 odds

With the World Series knotted up at two games apiece, the Los Angeles Dodgers (104-72, 58-31 home) play their final home game of the best-of-seven on Wednesday night when they host the Toronto Blue Jays (103-74, 44-44 away) in what will feel like a must-win Game 5.

The Dodgers enter Game 5 as sizable favorites with Blake Snell on the bump facing Blue Jay rookie Trey Yesavage in a rematch of the Game 1 pitching matchup, despite Toronto running away with an 11-4 victory in the series opener.

Game 5 is scheduled to start at 5:00 pm PT/8:00 pm ET with FOX carrying the broadcast in the US and Sportsnet north of the border. Below, I have set out my three favorite Blue Jays vs Dodgers picks for Game 5 (moneyline, run total, and player prop) plus a massive list of available prop bets, the relevant Batter-vs-Pitcher (BvP) stats, and the best-available odds.

Jump to: PICKS || PLAYER PROPS || BvP STATS || ODDS & SPLITS

Toronto Blue Jays vs Los Angeles Dodgers Expert Picks & Prediction

• Blue Jays moneyline (+175) at BetRivers
• Over 8.0 runs (-109) at BetRivers
• Guerrero Jr over 1.5 total bases (+121) at DraftKings

I’m not saying the Blue Jays should be road favorites against Blake Snell, but this price is ludicrous. At +175, Toronto has just a 36.36% implied win probability. They have been the better team in the series as a whole – outscoring LAD 23-17 over the first four games – and have a decidedly better bullpen. If they can pitch around Ohtani like they’ve done for the last 20 innings, the Dodger lineup takes on a much different look. LA has scored just three runs in the last 20 innings, when Ohtani is 0-3 with six walks.

The moneyline prices imply a huge advantage on the mound for Snell and the Dodgers over Yesavage and the Blue Jays. I’m not sold on that being the case. Neither were great in Game 1, but Yesavage outdueled the two-time Cy Young-winner on a night when the rookie didn’t have his best pitch (splitter) working the way it usually does. The Dodger lineup will have more familiarity with Yesavage and his uniquely high arm angle the second time around, but they are also likely to see a very different pitch mix than in Game 1, when Yesavage threw his split-finger just 12.5% of the time (10 of 80 pitches).

There is a chance Toronto leadoff hitter George Springer will be back in the lineup in Game 5, which would obviously be a huge boost. He’s one of the two Toronto hitters who has a home run off of Snell. But even if he isn’t, the Jays’ depth has come to the fore in the postseason. John Schneider has an embarrassment of riches on his bench on a nightly basis.

I’m also targeting the over, largely because of the way the Jays are swinging the bats and the ample success they found against Snell (and the LAD bullpen) in Game 1, when they cruised to an 11-4 rout.

If the Jays are going to win a high-scoring affair, it makes sense to pair those first two bets with an over bet on Vlad Guerrero Jr’s total bases prom (O 1.5 at +121). Guerrero is hitting .419 in the postseason with an other-worldly 1.306 OPS. He’s gone over 1.5 total bases if seven of his last nine games, and three of four in the World Series.

Bettors can put my three picks into a +650 same-game parlay at DraftKings.

Dodgers vs Blue Jays Game 5 Hitter & Pitcher Props

MLB pitcher props as of 9:36 am ET at BetMGM. Claim the BetMGM promo code to get a bonus for Game 5.

The pitcher props highlight the clear disparity in expectations. Snell’s strikeout line is set at a healthy 6.5, a number he fell one short of in Game 1 but blew past in each of his first three postseason starts. His earned runs prop at 1.5 is low, but with odds of -143 on the over.

For Yesavage, the lines tell a story of a challenging night ahead. His strikeout prop is just 4.5, and his innings pitched (outs) line is at 12.5, suggesting the market anticipates a short outing of just over four innings.

Starting Pitcher BvP History

Toronto Blue Jays Career Statistics vs Blake Snell

Even after Game 1, Snell still has solid numbers against the Blue Jays lineup as a whole. In 100 ABs, he’s limited them to a .250 average and .682 OPS. Varsho and Springer have the only two home runs against him. Varsho, France, and Guerrero Jr also have doubles off of Snell, who’s generated a 28% K-rate in those 100 ABs.

Control will be a massive part of Snell’s outing tonight. He walked three batters in just five innings in Game 1, and has walked three or more in four of his last nine starts.

Los Angeles Dodgers Career Statistics vs Trey Yesavage

As discussed above, Yesavage was reasonably effective in Game 1. He allowed four hits in 15 ABs, along with three walks. All the hits were singles (Edman, Kike Hernandez, Muncy, Smith). He managed five Ks in his four innings, including one against Ohtani.

Manager John Schneider has to be encouraged by what he saw from his rookie starter. While the Dodgers will have a new level of familiarity with Yesavage in Game 5, the 23-year-old really didn’t have his full arsenal in Game 1. He only threw ten split-fingers the entire outing (out of 80 pitches), ostensibly because it wasn’t moving the way he wanted it to. For the year as a whole, the splitter has comprised 27% of his pitch mix, generated a ludicrous 57.7% whiff rate, and limited hitters to a .194 xWOBA. It’s a small sample size obviously, but his splitter is one of the single best pitches in baseball when it’s working.

Best Available Odds: Dodgers vs Blue Jays Game 5

Los Angeles is a massive home favorite for the third straight game. As of 10:00 am ET, the best LAD moneyline has shortened to -200 (at BetMGM). Bettors can get the Blue Jays as long as +172 (at FanDuel). The run total remains at 8.0 with the over slightly favored. The best over price is currently -114 (at DraftKings) while the best under price is -105 (at bet365).

On the runline, bettors who want to take LAD -1.5 can get +105 odds at BetMGM. Bettors who want TOR +1.5 can get -115 at bet365.

Odds commentary as of 10:13 am ET. The lines in the table will update automatically with the best-available price for each market if and when the MLB odds move over the course of the day.

Game 5 Odds Movement

The betting market has seen some noteworthy movement leading up to Game 5. The Dodgers opened at just -184 on the moneyline and have since settled at -200 or shorter, while the Jays ML grow from +154 to +172.

The run total remains at the opening number of 8.0. The only difference is that the juice on the over has grown after opening at -110. As you’ll see in the public-betting splits, below, this movement is likely fueled by the overwhelming amount of action on the over so far.

World Series Game 5 Public-Betting Splits

Wednesday’s MLB public betting splits reveal a fascinating dynamic. The majority of moneyline tickets (61%) and handle (66%) are on the underdog Blue Jays, but the vast majority of runline handle (76%) is on the Dodgers to win by multiple runs.

The public is overwhelmingly pounding the over (73% of bets and 61% of handle), which has driven the total from 7.5 to 8.0.