- The Minnesota Twins are short favorites over the Cleveland Indians in a game that features a total of 8.5
- Shane Bieber (1-0, 0.00 ERA) will start for Cleveland, while Minnesota will counter with Jose Berrios (0-0, 11.25 ERA)
- Read below for a preview and betting prediction for the game
The class of the AL Central will square off the first time in 2020 on Thursday as Cleveland (4-2) travels to Minnesota (4-1) to face the Twins. Minnesota has won three straight, while Cleveland was blanked by the Chicago White Sox 4-0 in its last outing.
Indians vs Twins Odds
|Team||Moneyline||Runline||Total at DraftKings|
|Cleveland Indians||-105||-1.5 (+150)||Over 8.5 (-113)|
|Minnesota Twins||-110||+1.5 (-180)||Under 8.5 (-107)|
Odds taken July 30th.
Minny is currently a small favorite in the Indians vs Twins odds, and the game features a total of 8.5 ahead of the 7:07 pm EST first pitch. Minnesota took the season series 10-9 over Cleveland in 2019, but were 0-2 versus Thursday’s starter Shane Bieber.
The Indians ace turned in an incredible performance in Cleveland’s season opener, striking out a record-setting 14 batters. Bieber, who finished fourth in Cy Young voting last year, became the first pitcher to strike out 14 hitters in a season opener since Randy Johnson back in 1996.
Shane Bieber. 87mph Changeup. 14th K in 6 innings. 😳 pic.twitter.com/ukalAFM5Z1
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 25, 2020
He gave up just four hits in six scoreless innings versus KC and has a fantastic track record versus the Twins. In nine career starts, he’s 3-0 against Minny with a 4.14 ERA, and is 1-0 at the Twins Target Field.
Twins Career Stats vs Bieber
Minnesota’s offense is no joke though, and a handful of Twins batters have fared quite well versus Bieber in the past. Newcomer Josh Donaldson has homered off him twice in his only two at-bats, and Eddie Rosario has taken him deep three times in 17 plate appearances. Minnesota’s offense hit an MLB best 307 home runs last season and have already cranked 10 homers in five games this season.
Berrios Beaten Up in Debut
The Twins will counter with right-hander Jose Berrios, who was hit hard in his first start. The two-time All-Star surrendered five runs in just 4 innings against the White Sox, and struck out only one.
His offense gives him 5 runs in two innings and Jose Berrios can’t hold the lead.
“Ace” they said. Lol. #MNTwins
— Minnesota Sports Fan (@realmnsportsfan) July 25, 2020
Hopefully for Minnesota fans, that last outing was just a blip on the radar, and Berrios will rebound on Thursday. The 26-year-old has fared very well against Cleveland in the past, posting a 5-2 record with a 3.92 ERA in 11 career starts.
Indians Career Stats vs Berrios
The Indians’ offense is off to a very slow start in 2020, averaging just 3.7 runs per outing. They’re batting .231 through six contests and have hit half as many home runs as the Twins (5) despite playing one more game.
Berrios meanwhile, has been a much better pitcher at home than on the road in his career. He allows 1.29 fewer runs per outing and has a .641 winning percentage at Target Field, compared to just a .474 winning percentage away from home.
Play the Under
Despite the potency of the Twins offense, the under stands out as the best play in this game. Minnesota has yet to face an elite pitcher this season and Bieber looked unhittable in his opening start. It’s somewhat concerning that a handful of Twins hitters have a strong history against him, but the way he looked last week not even a line-up full of Mike Trout’s could touch him.
Shane Bieber with PAINT at 94mph pic.twitter.com/OzXk98vXJk
— Pitcher List (@PitcherList) July 24, 2020
Cleveland’s early offensive struggles are another reason to like the under in this matchup, and we’ll bet on Berrios reverting back to his long term form.
Pick: Under 8.5 (-107)
Let's have fun and keep it civil.