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Updated MLB Win Totals Project the Orioles (54.5), Tigers (58.5), Royals (60.5) as 100-Loss Teams

Jonathan Villar forces Mike Tauchman out at second.
Not much has gone according to plan this season for Jonathan Villar and the Orioles. Photo by Keith Allison (flickr) [CC License].
  • With just six wins in their past 31 games, the Detroit Tigers enter the second half as a solid -110 bet to win under 58.5 games
  • The Kansas City Royals are pegged as a -110 wager to win under 60.5 games, but should benefit from a second-half schedule that features few matchups with powerhouse opponents
  • The Baltimore Orioles sit dead last in MLB with just 27 wins and sport attractive -110 odds of winning under 54.5 games 

Two of the three MLB teams projected to finish the 2019 season with 100 or more losses clash this weekend, as the Kansas City Royals open a three-game series with the visiting Detroit Tigers on Friday night.

After opening their schedule on a promising 8-4 run, the Tigers quickly reverted to the form that earned them just 64 wins in each of the past two seasons, going 20-53 following their hot start, and now enter the second half of the MLB campaign pegged as a -110 bet to close out 2019 with under 58.5 wins according to the MLB team win totals odds at BetOnline.

2019 MLB Regular Season Win Totals

Los Angeles Dodgers Odds at BetOnline
Over 99.5 wins -115
Under 99.5 wins -105
Houston Astros Odds at BetOnline
Over 99.5 wins -110
Under 99.5 wins -110
Minnesota Twins Odds at BetOnline
Over 94.5 wins -115
Under 94.5 wins -105
Atlanta Braves Odds at BetOnline
Over 90.5 wins -115
Under 90.5 wins +105
Boston Red Sox Odds at BetOnline
Over 90.5 wins -105
Under 90.5 wins -115
Tampa Bay Rays Odds at BetOnline
Over 89.5 wins -120
Under 89.5 wins +100
Cleveland Indians Odds at BetOnline
Over 88.5 wins -110
Under 88.5 wins -110
Miami Marlins Odds at BetOnline
Over 63.5 wins +115
Under 63.5 wins -135
Kansas City Royals Odds at BetOnline
Over 60.5 wins -110
Under 60.5 wins -110
Detroit Tigers Odds at BetOnline
Over 58.5 wins -110
Under 58.5 wins -110
Baltimore Orioles Odds at BetOnline
Over 54.5 wins -110
Under 54.5 wins -110

Tigers in Free Fall Since Early June

The Tigers have been particularly bad since the beginning of June, posting just six wins in 31 contests. Run production has emerged as a massive problem in Motown. The Tigers have been limited to three or fewer runs on 17 occasions since June 1st while averaging over six runs allowed per game during that 31-game stretch. That has contributed to Detroit’s dismal -157 run differential, leaving the club leading only the Baltimore Orioles, who sport a run differential of -165 through 89 contests.

Home cooking has provided no benefit to the Tigers, who have been abysmal at Comerica Park since going 9-7 through their first 16 home dates. The club has tumbled into a free fall since, picking up just three wins over their past 28 home dates.

And for long-suffering Tigers fans, there is likely little reason to be hopeful for a turnaround in the second half. Detroit remains without injured hurlers Matt Moore and Tyson Ross, and Jordan Zimmerman has struggled since his return, contributing to the club’s 25th-ranked team ERA. Further complicating matters are the trade rumors swirling around the club’s healthy arms, including starter Matthew Boyd, reliever Joe Jimenez, and closer Shane Greene.

If the Tigers are to avoid losing 100 games for the first time since 2003, they will need to improve their play against AL Central opponents.

If the Tigers are to avoid losing 100 games for the first time since 2003, they will need to improve their play against AL Central opponents, starting in Kansas City on Friday night. Friday’s contest marks the first of 10 meetings remaining between these struggling divisional rivals, which have become must-win games for both clubs in their respective bids to avoid the 100-loss mark.

Pick: Tigers Under 58.5 Wins (-110)

June Swoon Puts Royals on Pace for 100-Loss Campaign

With a 30-61 record, the Royals come out of the MLB All-Star break with a narrow one-game lead over the Tigers in the divisional standings. But mired in a 5-13 slide, Kansas City opens the second half as a -110 bet to win under 60.5 games this season. Like the Tigers, the Royals have been limited by abysmal pitching. The club’s hurlers have failed to hold opponents to fewer than four runs in each of their past 12 outings, and have averaged an MLB-worst 7.54 strikeouts per game.

The road has also been particularly unkind to the Royals, who sport an MLB-worst 14-33 record away from home, including an atrocious 4-14 road record against AL Central opponents.

However, there may be more reasons for Royals fans to be hopeful, despite the prediction of a 60-102 finish for the club by analytics website Fangraphs. Unlike the Tigers, Kansas City has not been the subject of much trade speculation, apart from Whit Merrifield, who has generated interest during a career year that has him on pace to set personal bests in almost all offensive categories, and Homer Bailey, the club’s only starter with a winning record at 7-6.

Apart with 10 dates with the AL Central-leading Minnesota Twins and a mid-September visit from the Houston Astros, the Royals largely avoid matchups with powerhouse clubs in the second half. In addition to their 10 dates with the Tigers, Kansas City can look forward to Interleague series with the New York Mets and Miami Marlins, as well as nine total games against the Toronto Blue Jays and bottom-feeding Baltimore Orioles.

Pick: Royals Over 60.5 Wins (-110)

Last-Place Orioles Face Brutal Second-Half Schedule

Sporting an MLB-worst 27-62 record coming out of the All-Star break, the Orioles are now pegged as a -110 bet to win under 54.5 games this season. The club sports just 11 wins through 42 home games, and endured a lengthy 50-day stretch without consecutive wins that started in early May.

The Orioles entered the All-Star break on a high, going 5-4 in their final nine contests and stealing series victories from the Cleveland Indians and Tampa Bay Rays, but face a tough road in the second half.

In addition to 27 total games against the AL East’s three playoff contenders, the Rays, Red Sox, and Yankees, the Orioles must look forward to seven total Interleague matchups with the Dodgers and Nationals, and seven total dates against the Astros and Rangers. And with just 24 of their final 73 contests coming against opponents currently sporting losing records, the prospects of a speedy turnaround in Baltimore look bleak.

Pick: Orioles Under 54.5 Wins (-110)

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