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White Sox (Giolito) vs Athletics (Luzardo) Game 1 Picks and Odds – Sep 29th

Jordan Horrobin

by Jordan Horrobin in MLB Baseball

Updated Mar 9, 2021 · 1:18 PM PST

Chicago White Sox's Jose Abreu rounding third base
Chicago White Sox's Jose Abreu, right, gets the go-ahead as he rounds third base to score on a two-run double by Eloy Jimenez off Minnesota Twins pitcher Michael Pineda during the first inning of a baseball game in Minneapolis . (AP Photo/Jim Mone, File)
  • The Oakland Athletics host the Chicago White Sox in Game 1 on their Wild-Card series on Tuesday, Sept. 29th (3:00 pm ET)
  • Chicago’s Lucas Giolito will work his first-ever outing in Oakland, which is also his playoff debut
  • For the odds, matchup analysis, and best bets, check out the article below

For a third consecutive year, the Oakland Athletics find themselves in the American League Wild-Card round — only this time, they cannot be ousted in a single game.

The No. 2 A’s host the No. 7 Chicago White Sox in a best-of-three series that begins Tuesday, Sept. 29th at 3:00 pm ET At the most important juncture of the season, these teams will get a look at one another for the very first time.

Here’s how the Athletics vs. White Sox odds look ahead of Tuesday’s game.

Athletics vs White Sox Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total
Oakland Athletics +105 TBD Over 7.5 (-115)
Chicago White Sox -115 TBD Under 7.5 (-105)

Odds as of Sept. 28.

Pitching Matchup

Oakland’s 22-year-old starter, Jesus Luzardo, is ironically the more experienced postseason pitcher in this matchup. Last season, he threw three scoreless innings of relief in a Wild-Card loss to the Tampa Bay Rays.

Lucas Giolito, meanwhile, is making his playoff debut. The 26-year-old has big-time stuff, as evidenced by his 13-strikeout no-hitter last month.

He has been far less dominant since then (1-1, 4.08 ERA in five starts), but wrapped up the 2020 season with a pair of quality starts against playoff-bound foes (Minnesota and Cleveland).

Luzardo has never faced the White Sox before, so this is entirely new territory. Giolito has faced the A’s twice, going 1-1 with a 4.15 ERA and 21 strikeouts in 13 innings.

Recent History

Based on the regionalized approach to MLB scheduling this season, the A’s (36-24) and White Sox (35-25) did not play each other in 2020.

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They did meet six times in 2019, though, with both teams hosting a three-game set. Oakland emerged with a 5-1 record in those games and a +24 run differential- but four of the games were decided by four or fewer runs (including one walk-off).

Injury News and Notes

Given the oddities of the shortened season — and the limited prep time afforded to players before the mid-summer campaign began, both the A’s and White Sox are fairly fortunate with their injury situations.

The A’s do have one major absence, however: third baseman Matt Chapman will be unavailable following hip surgery two weeks ago. Chapman, who was an All-Star a year ago and boasts a pair of Platinum Glove Awards, had a 122 OPS+, 10 home runs, and 25 RBI in 37 games this year.

In minuscule sample sizes, Tommy La Stella (124 OPS+) and Jake Lamb (143 OPS+) have filled Chapman’s position admirably. But on the whole, playing without Chapman is a loss to Oakland on both sides of the ball.

The White Sox are just about injury-free, except for outfielder Leury Garcia, who last played Aug. 10. Garcia, who slashed .271/.317/.441 in 16 games this year, could be back as early as October from thumb surgery.

Game Pick

Oakland is the higher seed here, sure, but these teams are only separated by one game in the standings. Given that knowledge, it’s fair to view this series as one with the potential to be awfully close.

For Game 1, we’ll seek the value play of Oakland, a home underdog. Luzardo has postseason experience, where Giolito does not. In pressure-packed moments, that can make a difference.

Pick: Oakland Athletics (+105)

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