Dana White Contender Series Week 10 Odds, Picks & Predictions (Oct 14)

• Dana White’s Contender Series Week 10 airs from the UFC Apex on Tuesday, October 14
• Light heavyweights Freddy Vidal and Levi Rodrigues headline the season finale
• See all the Dana White’s Contender Series Week 10 odds, picks and predictions below

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Dana White’s Contender Series wraps up Season 9 with Week 10 on Tuesday, Oct. 14. The finale brings six fights instead of the usual five, and I’ve found some solid value plays across the card for my DWCS betting picks.

The light heavyweight main event features fan-favorite Freddy Vidal returning just five weeks after his comeback win, this time facing knockout artist Levi Rodrigues. It’s the last chance for fighters to impress Dana White this season. Tuesday’s Contender Series fights start from the UFC Apex at 8:00 pm ET on ESPN+.

Let’s break down my Dana White’s Contender Series Week 10 predictions and best bets for the season finale.

Dana White’s Contender Series Week 10 Odds

Odds as of October 14, 2025, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim a DraftKings promo code to wager on the DWCS.

Marwan Rahiki is the biggest favorite on the card at -410 over Ananias Mulumba. The undefeated Australian prospect from Hex FC looks like a showcase fight waiting to happen.

Meanwhile, I’m eyeing the chaos in the welterweight matchup between Michael Oliveira and Victor Valenzuela. Both guys finish fights violently, and someone’s getting put away early in my Dana White picks.

Freddy Vidal vs Levi Rodrigues Prediction

Freddy Vidal (4-0) became a fan favorite five weeks ago when he gutted out a rear-naked choke with 12 seconds left against Felipe Franco. The Long Island gym teacher took that fight on short notice, looked gassed, and somehow found a way to win. This time he’s got a full camp and better conditioning.

Levi Rodrigues (5-0) has finished every opponent inside three rounds, with four coming by knockout. The Brazilian trains out of an LFA background and brings fast hands with legitimate power. He’s also posted images recently showing he’s only a blue belt in jiu-jitsu, so his ground game remains a question mark.

🚨Light Heavyweight, Levi “Baby Monster” Rodrigues will join DWCS this season.

(via IG/allinsportsmgmt) pic.twitter.com/Wcr2r1vlQT

— COMBAT SPORTS TODAY (@CSTodayNews) September 12, 2025

Vidal’s only path here is immediate takedowns and top control. His striking is virtually non-existent, and Rodrigues will knock him out if this stays standing for more than a minute. The problem? Rodrigues is younger, faster, and has real knockout power.

If Rodrigues stuffs the first few takedown attempts, this ends violently and quickly. Vidal’s story was fun, but this feels like matchmaking designed to eliminate him rather than give him another contract opportunity.

• Pick: Levi Rodrigues Wins by Finish (-105)

Kwon Won Il vs Juan Diaz Pick

Kwon Won Il (14-5) brings ONE Championship experience and an 86% knockout rate to the bantamweight division. The South Korean throws with bad intentions, lands in combinations, and pushes forward relentlessly. His only concern is durability – he’s been finished to the body twice in his career, both times in round one.

Juan Diaz (14-1-1) has never been finished and trains at Entram gym in Mexico with UFC-level grapplers. He’s patient with solid boxing and excellent takedown defense, but his recent fights have gone to decision. Seven of his last fights went the distance, showing a methodical approach rather than finishing mentality.

Juan Diaz is the LUX bantamweight champ 👑 #LUX047 pic.twitter.com/dE8ZHXInW3

— UFC FIGHT PASS (@UFCFightPass) November 2, 2024

Kwon’s power and variety should create problems for Diaz’s patient style. The Korean’s aggressive combinations and body work will force exchanges, and Diaz hasn’t shown he can match that finishing ability. Kwon needs a spectacular performance after losing his last fight, and his killer instinct makes him dangerous.

This should be violent. Neither guy will let it get boring on the season finale.

Picks:

• Kwon Won Il (-185)
• Fight Not to Go Distance (-220)

Marwan Rahiki vs Ananias Mulumba Prediction

Marwan Rahiki (6-0) might be the real deal. The 22-year-old Australian prospect is the current Hex FC featherweight champion with five knockouts in six pro wins. His striking looks way too polished for someone who just turned pro last year. He attacks the body viciously, lands in combinations, and has genuine finishing power.

Ananias Mulumba (9-2) brings more experience at 11 fights and a dangerous submission game with five finishes by rear-naked choke. He’s physically strong, can take damage, and has the wrestling to get this fight to the mat. His best path is making this ugly and hunting for the back.

Rahiki’s takedown defense looked workable in limited tape, and his athletic ability should help him scramble back to standing. If he keeps this upright, his technical striking and body shots will break Mulumba down. The Australian is long and rangy at 5’10”, using his frame well to create distance.

Mulumba is a live dog if he can make this a grappling match, but Rahiki’s finishing ability makes him the right side for my DWCS predictions.

Pick:

• Best Bet: Marwan Rahiki to Win by Finish (-225)

• Better Value: Marwan Rahiki To Win By KO/TKO/DQ (-175)

Michael Oliveira vs Victor Valenzuela Pick

Michael Oliveira (8-0) is the Brazilian paratrooper with seven knockout finishes and a physique that looks like young Anthony “Rumble” Johnson. He stalks behind a long jab at 6’1″ with a 77.5-inch reach, then explodes with heavy power shots. His lead-leg head kick is nasty, and he carries enough power to drop fighters with his jab alone.

Victor Valenzuela (12-3) fights like his hair is on fire. Every single one of his fights ends in a finish – he has a 100% finish rate across 15 pro bouts. The Chilean stands just 5’9″ with a 70-inch reach, giving up massive size, but he doesn’t care. He darts in with big hooks and knees, happy to eat three shots to land one.

It looks to me like Victor Valenzuela is BEGGING to be KO'd by Michael Oliveira tomorrow at #DWCSWeek10…

Throws WAY too wildly in the pocket and is getting his chin checked CONSTANTLY… pic.twitter.com/ctBKWDad5v

— Finz Chats MMA (@finz_the) October 13, 2025

This is a car crash waiting to happen. Valenzuela’s reckless style against Oliveira’s size and power creates violence. The problem for Valenzuela is his defensive structure – he keeps his chin high and blocks punches with his face. That doesn’t work against someone who hits as hard as Oliveira.

Both guys will meet in the middle and throw down. Oliveira’s technical superiority and power edge should end this early and violently in Tuesday’s DWCS betting picks.

• Pick: Fight Under 1.5 Rounds (-188)

Jovan Leka vs Azamat Nuftillaev Prediction

Jovan Leka (10-2) is the younger, bigger fighter at 6’5″ with serious reach advantages. The Serbian uses his jab well, maintains space, and has shown solid clinch work when pressured. He’s comfortable breaking away and getting back to striking range where his length matters. His last three opponents had winning records, showing legit competition.

Azamat Nuftillaev (17-1-1) prefers grappling and ground control, but his record has questions. Four of his past bouts got tagged as potentially illegitimate on Tapology, and his competition level outside of Ares FC is suspect. His only real tests were a loss to Olympic wrestler Slim Trabelsi and one other Ares FC win.

Ahead of the last 2025 ep of #DWCS tonight, we at Sherdog Fight Finder conducted audits into the records of heavyweights Azamat Nuftillaev and Jovan Leka. We determined that Azamat's record stands at 13-1-1 after removing fake fights on his profile, and added a missing W to Leka.

— Jay Pettry (@jaypettry) October 14, 2025

Against Trabelsi, Nuftillaev got reversed quickly and spent most of the fight eating shots from bottom position before getting pounded out. His striking at range is nearly non-existent, and his cardio fades fast even by heavyweight standards.

Leka’s size edge and technical striking should control this fight. If he stuffs the early takedowns and starts landing leg kicks, Nuftillaev has no backup plan. This is the season finale, and both guys need a finish. Leka has the tools to get it done for my Dana White picks.

• Pick: Jovan Leka (-142)

Wes Schultz vs Mario Mingaj Pick

Wes Schultz (7-2) returns to the Contender Series after losing to Mansur Abdul-Malik last season. The D3 All-American wrestler brings legitimate grappling credentials and six finishes on the ground. Both his losses came against current UFC fighters – Malik and Dylan Budka – so he’s been tested against legit competition.

Mario Mingaj (7-0) has four triangle choke wins and virtually no striking game. The 6’4″ Italian immediately rushes into clinches, pulls guard, or jumps guillotines to get to his back. From there, he hunts triangles while eating damage in bottom position. That strategy works against regional fighters but has a limited shelf life.

Wes Schultz postures up in mount pummeling a trapped Adland Benson with brutal GNP for the KO #LFA181 pic.twitter.com/r3SXvFvb7J

— caposa (@Grabaka_Hitman) April 6, 2024

Schultz’s guard passing looked solid in previous fights, and that’s the easiest way to shut down bottom submissions. Once he’s in side control, Mingaj loses his primary weapon. Schultz should rack up control time and either finish with ground and pound or cruise to a decision.

Mingaj’s one-dimensional approach won’t cut it against a wrestler who knows how to pass guard.

Pick:

• Wes Schultz (-225)
• Fight Goes the Distance (+150)

DraftKings Parlay Opportunities

DraftKings has some pre-made parlays for the season finale:

“Contenders>Pretenders” Parlay (+1355): Oliveira, Rahiki, Kwon Won Il to win, plus three more legs. The favorites should handle business, so it’s worth a sprinkle. Keep in mind, there’s always typically one upset nobody sees coming.

“Triple Dog Dare!” (+919): Vidal, Leka, and Mingaj all to win. I’d fade this completely – Vidal and Mingaj both have serious problems.

“Winning Ways” (+700): Rodrigues by KO/TKO and Diaz by decision. The Rodrigues finish makes sense, but Diaz getting a decision against Kwon’s power feels optimistic.

My Custom Parlay: Rodrigues inside distance + Oliveira/Valenzuela Under 1.5 + Schultz ML pays solid value around +350. Three high-confidence spots where violence is expected on the finale.