Dana White Contender Series Week 4 Odds, Predictions and Best Bets

• Dana White’s Contender Series Week 4 kicks off from the UFC Apex on Tuesday, September 2
• A welterweight fight featuring Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani and Jack Congdon headlines the card
• See all the Dana White’s Contender Series Week 4 odds, predictions and best bets below

Week 4 of Dana White’s Contender Series arrives Tuesday night, and we finally got some closer matchups after last week’s blowouts. Dana handed out all five contracts last week, so you know fighters will be going for finishes at the risk of going home empty-handed

We’ve got a welterweight showdown tonight with BJJ black belt Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani going up against karate striker Jack Congdon. It’s a classic grappler versus striker matchup. The fights start at 8:00 pm ET on ESPN+ from the Apex in Vegas.

Let’s dive into the Dana White Contender Series Week 4 odds, along with our predictions and best bets.

Dana White’s Contender Series Week 4 Odds

Odds as of September 2, 2025, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim a DraftKings promo code.

Jack Congdon is sitting at +350, which gives him the longest odds on the Dana White Contender Series card. Meanwhile, his opponent, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani, is the big favorite of the night at -520.

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Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Jack Congdon Prediction

Lebosnoyani is stepping into Tuesday’s main event with the kind of skills that Dana White is looking for. The 8-2 welterweight has racked up five submission wins and has recently been packing a serious punch, dropping opponents with uppercuts before going for the chokes. He trains at a top-notch camp and offers the complete package.

Jack Congdon (7-1) stands 6’2″ and throws from a wide karate stance that works great when he’s dictating range. The thing is, his footwork just isn’t smooth enough to keep that distance when he’s up against pressure fighters. He lets his hands drop when he kicks and doesn’t quite have the quick reflexes of top karate guys like Wonderboy or MVP.

Lebosnoyani’s game plan writes itself. Get inside, crack Congdon with power shots, then either finish standing or hit a takedown and submit him. Congdon is tough and is always coming forward, but that should actually work in Lebosnoyani’s favor tonight.

The -520 moneyline is too steep, but Lebosnoyani inside the distance is a value bet for a fighter seeking that highlight reel moment.

• Pick: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani by Any Knockout, Submission or DQ (-225)

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David Mgoyan vs Tommy McMillen Best Bet

This featherweight opener pits two undefeated prospects against each other. David Mgoyan (7-0) brings the wrestling pedigree, training with UFC lightweight contender Arman Tsarukyan at American Top Team. The 21-year-old Russian has that Dagestani-style pressure that breaks opponents down round by round.

Tommy McMillen (8-0) models himself after Sean O’Malley, complete with the hair and tattoos. He’s got three state wrestling titles but prefers throwing hands these days. All eight of his wins came in the first round, but the competition has been thin. His striking gets wild when he smells blood, which could cost him against better opposition.

McMillen’s dangerous early with his guillotines and front chokes. If Mgoyan shoots carelessly, he could get caught. But if this gets past five minutes, Mgoyan’s conditioning and control take over. He went three hard rounds earlier this year and kept the same pace throughout.

Trust the better camp and proven cardio. I predict Mgoyan gets this done.

• Pick: David Mgoyan ML (-188)

Cezary Oleksiejczuk vs Theo Haig Pick

Cezary Oleksiejczuk follows his brother Michal’s path to the UFC, bringing improved striking and serious knockout power. The 15-3 middleweight has eight first-round knockouts and just flattened UFC vet Tom Breese with a clean left hand. He’s tighter technically than his brother and moves better, too.

Theo Haig (6-0) has won every fight by submission, training out of AKA with high-level wrestlers. On paper, his grappling should give Oleksiejczuk problems. In reality, Haig’s competition has been terrible. Only two opponents had winning records, one at 1-0.

This fight comes down to whether Haig can get it to the mat. Oleksiejczuk’s grappling is his weakness, but Haig has to survive the striking to exploit it. One clean shot changes everything, and Oleksiejczuk has the power to end it instantly.

The sportsbooks got this right with the under 1.5 rounds at -145. Someone’s getting finished quick, and the obvious bet is the right one to make here.

• Pick: Fight ends under 1.5 rounds (-145)
• Lean: Oleksiejczuk To Win By KO/TKO/DQ (-175)

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Eduardo Henrique vs An Tuan Ho Prediction

You don’t often see this kind of finishing power at 125 pounds, but both flyweights have it. Eduardo “Chapolin” Henrique (14-2) is coming off a knockout win just two weeks ago and took this fight on short notice. The Brazilian throws wild combinations and has a way of turning fights into messy brawls, where his experience starts to take over.

An Tuan Ho (7-1) got knocked out cold by Lone’er Kavanagh on last season’s Contender Series but bounced back with a 16-second KO in his return. Training at MMA Lab, he’s got crisp Muay Thai and dangerous kicks, but tends to admire his work after landing clean shots.

Neither of these guys has a boring fight in them. They throw hard and always look for finishes. But when things get rough, they tend to break. The short notice might hurt Henrique’s gas tank, but I don’t expect this fight to make it to round three anyway.

I predict this fight is another one where the Under hits comfortably. There is heavy juice to pay at -215, but it’s a perfect addition to any parlay you build tonight.

• Pick: Fight goes under 2.5 rounds (-215)

Samuel Silva vs Mandel Nallo Odds & Pick

It’s a showdown between two seasoned lightweights, bringing a combined 34 pro fights into the cage. Samuel Silva (13-4-1) is fresh off a gritty five-round war where he claimed the Cage Warriors title, proving he can go the distance against tough opponents. The Brazilian blends sharp boxing with well-timed takedowns and loves to take the back when the fight turns chaotic.

Mandel Nallo (13-3) is training at Tristar with Firas Zahabi and has a 75-inch reach for his weight class. The Canadian had a 4-3 record in Bellator, but he’s been looking pretty sharp lately, finishing four in a row in the first round.  His calf kicks are lethal, and his reach causes problems at distance.

The main issue with Nallo is that he got submitted twice in Bellator. When the grappling gets intense, he tends to panic and make bad decisions. Silva’s the type to capitalize on that. Plus, Silva’s been in wars, five-rounders, and dealt with adversity. That experience counts for something.

Silva is younger, has momentum, and is coming off that title win. I predict he finds a way to get the job done against Nallo.

• Pick: Samuel Silva ML (-140)