Final UFC 327 Predictions, Picks & Latest Odds – Prochazka vs Ulberg Main Card

• Tonight’s UFC 327 is headlined by the Jiri Prochaza vs Carlos Ulberg light heavyweight title bout
• Roughly 75% of the moneyline bets are on Prochaza, but the line is moving towards Ulberg
• See my final UFC 327 predictions and picks, plus the latest odds for the Prochazka vs Ulberg Main Card

The vacant light heavyweight title is on the line tonight at UFC 327, as former champ Jiri Prochazka takes on Carlos Ulberg. Prochazka is currently listed as a -120 moneyline favorite, which is down about 12 cents since opening odds were released.

The UFC 327 prelims are already underway on Paramount+, with the main card fights scheduled to start at 9:15 pm ET, also on Paramount+.

Here are my final UFC 327 predictions and picks, plus the latest odds for the Prochazka vs Ulberg main card.

Latest UFC 327 Odds

Odds as of April 11 at DraftKings. Check out the best UFC betting apps for UFC 327 on Saturday.

What’s fascinating about the Prochazka vs Ulberg odds movement is that the line is moving towards Ulberg despite Prochazka receiving roughly 75% of the moneyline bets so far. That means big money bettors are backing Ulberg, and those who wager the most are usually the professionals.

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UFC 327 Final Predictions: Carlos Ulberg Moneyline

I’m following the perceived professional steam on Ulberg, and betting his moneyline. He’s 10-1 in the UFC to date, and enters this bout on a nine-fight winning streak. However, I’ll be the first to admit this is not a slam dunk.

Jiri Prochazka vs Carlos Ulberg Tale of the Tape

That’s because Ulberg excels in clean fights, but can lose his composure when things get chaotic. Prochazka’s fighting style epitomizes chaos, often striking at weird and unpredictable angles.

Another issue to consider is Ulberg’s engine, as he’s never been tested over five rounds. His opponent, on the other hand, has a ton of experience in championship-level bouts. There’s also some concern that Ulberg hasn’t faced a ton of high-level grapplers, but he does boast an 87% takedown defense rate. He also outwrestled Da Woon Jung, the one man who’s taken him to the mat so far.

While all of those concerns are valid, there’s also plenty to like about Ulberg. He’s the cleaner, more composed striker, and Prochazka’s durability isn’t exactly elite. He’s suffered four knockout losses in his career and has been knocked down or stunned plenty of other times.

Prochazka also has a track record of starting slow, even losing multiple early rounds in fights before battling back and stealing a victory. You can only play with fire so many times before it burns you, and I’m banking on Ulberg exposing his opponent’s poor striking defense by jumping on him early and scoring a victory.

• UFC 327 Final Pick #1: Carlos Ulberg Moneyline (+100 at Bet365)

UFC 327 Final Predictions: Josh Hokit Moneyline

Another fascinating odds movement case is going on in the Curtis Blaydes versus Josh Hokit heavyweight bout. Blaydes opened as roughly a -122 moneyline favorite, but is now an underdog at some sportsbooks. One exception is at Bet365, where Hokit is still a small ‘dog, and that’s where I’ll be betting on the former NFL practice squad player.

Hokit is the smaller man, but he’s much younger and significantly faster. He’s undefeated in eight professional fights, including three at the UFC level, finishing his opponent each time out. In addition to almost making it as a football player, he’s also a former collegiate wrestler, and there are major concerns about Blaydes.

For starters, he’s been finished twice in his last four fights, each time in the opening round. He also suffered an MCL injury in his last bout, and that’s a tough issue to overcome as a 260-pound human.

What Hokit gives up in power to Blaydes, he makes up for in quickness and durability. As a fighter on the rise, I expect him to emerge victorious in this bout, and to continue to climb the heavyweight ladder.

• UFC 327 Final Pick #2: Josh Hokit (-105 at Bet365)