Final UFC Fight Night Predictions & Updated Odds for Emmett vs Vallejos Main Card

• Kevin Vallejos is a -550 moneyline favorite over Josh Emmett in the headline bout at tonight’s UFC Fight Night
• Emmett is 1-4 in his last five fights, while Vallejos has won six straight
• See my UFC Fight Night Prelims predictions, plus updated odds for the Emmett vs Vallejos Main Card

The UFC is back in action tonight, with a Fight Night card headlined by the Josh Emmett vs Kevin Vallejos featherweight bout.

Online sportsbooks have pegged Vaellejos as a sizeable -550 moneyline favorite, against a man 17 years older than him. I’m inclined to agree, and while there’s no value on Vallejos winning outright, there’s at least one of his props that’s worth wagering on.

The UFC Fight Night Main Card bouts are set to begin at 5:15 pm PT, 8:15 pm ET on Paramount+, with Emmett and Vallejos expected to make their entrance two and a half hours later.

Here are my UFC Fight Night predictions, plus the updated odds for the Emmett vs Vallejos Main Card.

UFC Fight Night Predictions: Kevin Vallejos Method of Victory

Vallejos is 17-1 as a pro, with his lone loss coming as a 21-year-old by close decision. He’s never been knocked down, let alone finished, and I don’t believe Emmett poses any real threat to him, despite still packing a bit of pop in his hands.

Vallejos is fresh off a 2nd round knockout of Giga Chikadze last time out, giving him 14 finishes in 17 career bouts. He’s won six straight fights overall, five by knockout or submission, and I don’t envision many scenarios where Emmett can last five rounds with him.

Emmett vs Vallejos Tale of the Tape

The 24-year-old boasts eight first round finishes on his resume, but I expect him to feel out his opponent for the first round or so, just like he’s done in his last two bouts. From there, he’ll rev up the intensity and striking, and it’s only a matter of time before he floors his opponent.

Vallejos averages 2 more significant strikes per minute than Emmett, while the ladder’s defense is far from top notch. He absorbs 4.5 significant strikes per minute of fighting, which has led to him being finished on three separate occasions prior to tonight.

• UFC Fight Night Picks: Kevin Vallejos to Win by KO/DQ or Submission (-140 at Bet365)

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UFC Main Card Odds

Odds as of March 14 at DraftKings. Check out the best UFC betting apps for UFC Fight Night on Saturday.

UFC Fight Night Predictions: Bruno Gustavo da Silva Moneyline

Next up, I’m targeting Bruno Gustavo da Silva as an underdog versus Charles Johnson. Simply put, this line makes absolutely zero sense to me. Johnson was just brutally knocked out by Alex Perez six weeks ago, and he’s already stepping back into the cage.

Johnson has been one of the flyweight division’s most active fighters over the last year, and the volume may be catching up to him. He’s dropped two of his last three fights, and is just 5-5 in his last 10 professional bouts.

His opponent, on the other hand, is 5-2 in his last seven fights, losing only to top flyweight contenders. He’s faced several fighters of Johnson’s caliber and beaten them all, finishing each of his last five victories inside the distance.

• UFC Fight Night Picks: Bruno Gustavo da Silva Moneyline (+145 at DraftKings)

UFC Fight Night Predictions: Gillian Robertson to Win by Finish

Last but not least, I’m betting Gillian Robertson to finish Amanda Lemos. The Canadian has ended 10 of her 16 victories inside the distance, and boasts better striking and grappling metrics than Lemos across the board.

Robertson is also 8 years younger than her opponent, and enters the octagon on the strength of four straight victories.

Lemos meanwhile, has dropped two of her past three bouts, and has been finished three times prior to tonight. Her biggest issue is defending on her feet, as she boasts just a 45% striking defense. If you want to exploit that, you could target a Robertson knockout at +350, but I’ll stick with the Canadian to simply win by any kind of finish.

• UFC Fight Night Picks: Gillian Robertson to Win by Finish (+180 at Bet365)