UFC 327 Prelims Predictions & Picks – Best Bets Include Holland vs Brown

• Saturday’s UFC 327 Prelims feature seven fights, including Kevin Holland vs Randy Brown
• Holland is looking to bounce back from back-to-back losses
• See my UFC 327 Prelims predictions and picks for Holland vs Brown and more

UFC 327 goes down Saturday night in Miami, headlined by the Jiri Prochazka vs Carlos Ulberg light heavyweight title fight. Before we get to the main course however, we have to discuss a seven-fight Prelims card loaded with betting opportunities.

My favorite fight to target is the Kevin Holland vs Randy Brown welterweight bout, as I see real value on Holland to snap a mini-two fight losing streak and score a victory.

The UFC 327 Prelims are set to get underway at 5:45 pm ET on Paramount+, with the Main Card fights starting at 9:15 pm ET also on Paramount+.

Here are my UFC 327 Prelims predictions and picks for Holland vs Brown and more.

UFC 327 Prelims Predictions: Kevin Holland Moneyline

• UFC 327 Pick #1: Kevin Holland Moneyline (-105 at Bet365)

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Holland may have dropped two straight fights, but you can poke holes in each result. He took a bout versus Daniel Rodriguez on short notice, and went toe-to-toe with him just six weeks after his previous fight. He then lost a decision to Mike Malott, in a fight where his opponent should have been disqualified for multiple low blows. Those shots clearly affected Holland, who chose to gut it out as opposed to throwing in the towel.

Since then, he’s had a full six months off to recover, and should be more well rested than he’s been in years. At age 33, he’s entering his fighting prime, and can use his massive reach to its full advantage versus Brown.

As for Brown, while Holland is used to taking on some of the best the UFC has to offer, Rude Boy’s resume has been padded by taking down lower tier fighters. Brown has dropped two of his last three fights, and was knocked down in the other.

Neither one of these two are looking to spend much time of the mat, so this could turn into a stand up war. That suits Holland just fine, who’s proven he’s got one of the most durable chins in the division. Holland can dictate range in this fight, forcing Brown to operate outside of a typical boxing distance which is his strength.

UFC 327 Prelims Predictions: Francisco Prado Method of Victory

• UFC 327 Pick #2: Francisco Prado to Win by KO/TKO or DQ (+240 at DraftKings)

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Next up, I’m betting Francisco Prado to knock out Charles Radtke. The ladder has been finished in both of his losses, while his four wins have come versus some of the welterweight’s least talented fighters.

The knock on Prado has been his size, but he’s just 23-years-old and reports are that he’s added some muscle to his frame since his last fight. He’s never been finished in his five career UFC bouts, and boasts a superior engine to his opponent. I’m banking on that coming into play on Saturday, as Prado will withstand Radtke’s early pressure, before finishing him late.

UFC 327 Prelims Predictions: Mateusz Gamrot Moneyline

• UFC 327 Pick #3: Mateusz Gamrot Moneyline (-190 at Bet365)

Finally, I’m also banking on Mateusz Gamrot’s elite wrestling skills to carry him to a win over up and coming Esteban Ribovics. The ladder is a very exciting prospect at 155 pounds, fresh off three straight “Fight of the Night” peformances.

However, this will be his first time facing a top-10 fighter in the lightweight division, while Gamrot is much more battle tested having fought the best of the best in the class.

Ribovics is a dangerous striker who does virtually all of his damage on his feet. The problem is, we’ve never seen him against a wrestler of Gamrot’s caliber. Gamrot’s grappling is so dominant that it puts opponents on their heels, as they’re constantly worried about making a mistake that sees them wind up on the ground.

Gamrot will inevitably get his opponent to the mat and when he does, Ribovics is going to spend a ton of time on his back. The control Gamrot demonstrates on the ground is suffocating, and it will result in either a submission, or enough points to carry him to a decision.